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#1
07-28-2010, 04:44 AM
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7/28: Saratoga (Day 5-Lake George)
Strong start over the first quartet of days at Saratoga ended with the bankroll in very good stead on the strength of a $696 late P4 and big score in the 7th keyed by $25 Best Value 2nd choice Honorable Truth ($243 tri). While I was confident enough to include Honorable Truth in the quad play, I tried to get away with singling runner up Platinum Plus in the P6, and that resulted in getting 5 of 6 ($200 conso for $192 play) on the second carryover in the meet's opening salvo. As is typical at Saratoga, finding one horse like Honorable Truth or one overlaid multi-horse/multi-race result regularly, is what you need to boost the mutuels in your favor. Sunday, A Smart Judge (27-1) was the right horse to have with 4-5 Cody Samora ($38 exacta), while the $67.75 ($1) Sanford exacta and $150.75 ($1) nightcap triple kept the day's investments liquid. Saturday, the early P4 ($359) carried the day, while Friday's opener (Dontstealmyland $48.60; $953 tri) set the tone. The big pools are your friend, and justify your commitment to continuing to fire when things don't always go your way immediately. It doesn't take but one well-placed bet to make your day, week or meet at Saratoga...
"Week 2" starts today, the traditional opening day, and a slippery card is at hand to get it going. Hope you did well Monday and over the first four days! SARATOGA POST-SCRATCHES 1st: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+. 7f (P3, DD, Super) Nicely matched group of state bred ALW types that almost all run similar Beyer par; Schosberg sends uncoupled pair as ML faves, but neither are more appealling than some of the price alternatives including Heavenly Blaze that I've chased before and want to try to get involved here.. Most Likely: #8 Zosogood 4-1: Draws ideally for classic 7/8's stalking trip.. WON ($11.60) Next Best: #7 Fortunate Run 6-1: That Maragh sticks here is encouraging.. 4th Best Value: #5 Heavenly Blaze 15-1 7th Super Add: 2 Hittin the Note 5-2 3rd 2nd: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Include the Cat 3-1: Dollase trims price; Style suits Solis.. 2nd Best Value: #6 Amazing Lauren 6-1: Figures with improvement as first time 3yo.. 3rd Next Best: #4 Grosse Pointe Anne 5-2 WON ($5.90) Super Add: #7 E Street 4-1 4th 3rd: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Very tricky set considering $12.5k sale price; There are 'real' horses here, all 5 or 6yo's in fact, that have won 41 races between them.. Best Value: #2 Motown Shuffle 12-1: Doesn't he exit series of tougher races? 6th Next Best: #4 Shyrock 6-1: Well-spotted since moving to Wally.. 7th Exotics Use: #5 Aquino 5-1 WON ($7.60) Super Add: #6 Not for Money 5-2 3rd 4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Hard-pressed to lean on 3-1 On Vacation who couldn't fend off the notoriously win-shy Key Victory last time or 4-1 Overlap who needs to improve to best several well-priced options; Good betting race.. Best Value: #1 Nacho Corona 5-1: Drops in and saves ground under Leparoux.. 3rd Next Best: #4 Quick Delivery 4-1 WON ($7.70) Exotics Use: #7 Cops Fever 12-1 6th Super Add: #10 Motion Play 5-1 2nd 5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Bad horses win bad races, and this P4 anchor could be a prime spot for that axiom; Won Token may be the most likely, but she's not the most reliable.. Best Value: #2 Great Cliff 6-1 6th Most Likely: #8 Won Token 3-1 3rd-DH Next Best: #1 La Belle Gabrielle 4-1 5th Super Add: #10 Money Charger 12-1 3rd-DH <$75 P4 Play: 2: 3-4-6 3: 2-4-5 4: 1-4-7-10 5: 2-8 3x3x4x2 = 72 6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5fIT (P4, P3, DD, Super) Nice wagering race with even group of turf maidens.. Most Likely: #8 Fancy Fiona 7-2: Makes rare 2nd/layoff start start; Brings Court.. 4th Best Value: #10 Much Fanfare 6-1 WON ($9.90) Next Best: #12 Conspicuous 8-1 2nd Super Add: #7 Charmed 5-1 6th 7th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Yet another of the races on today's slate that has a chaotic feel, and you know Dunvegan will be overbet by virtue of Rice.. Most Likely: #6 Crowned General 3-1 WON ($5.80) Best Value: #1 King Rock 6-1 3rd Next Best: #3 Flatter Than Me 8-1 Super Add: #10 Coronation Day 5-1 4th 8th: 15th Lake George (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD, Super) With sister race Boiling Springs, one of the best targets for 3yo old fillies to gain black type, and this mind-bending edition has lured soph missies from the hinterlands; Wide, wide open and a nearly impossible event to decipher; No opinion or conceivable scenario should be dismissed.. Best Value: #6 No Explaining 12-1: Forward going & relished stretchout; Gets lost on tote? 3rd Next Best: #12 Bay to Bay 4-1: Consistent Lynch miss can rally into any pace.. 9th Exotics Use: #9 Dynazapper 12-1: Doubt price holds; Best of first run options.. 6th Super Add: #11 Caminadora 12-1: Broke through in last; Got 7 weeks to recoup.. 10th 9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Super) Best Value: #7 Broken Dreams 6-1 WON Next Best: #10 Royal Fortune 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Easy Ashley 5-1 3rd Super Add: #3 Colour the Wind 3-1 $1 Exacta (7-10) Paid $19.10 $1 Trifecta (7-10-1) Paid $93.50 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 8-10-12 7: 1-6 8: 2-5-6-9-11-12 9: 7-10 3x2x6x2 = $72 $1 P4 (10/4,5,6/5/7) Paid $923.50 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 07-28-2010 at 05:38 PM. 
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#3
07-28-2010, 10:43 AM
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Quote:
was just thinking the same thing
__________________
“To compel a man to furnish funds for the propagation of ideas he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.” Thomas Jefferson
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#5
07-28-2010, 11:33 AM
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SARATOGA -- Wednesday, July 28, 2010
FAST/FIRM 1 No Changes 2 Why Then scratched 3 No Changes 4 Love and Havoc scratched Runweiser scratched 5 No Changes 6 Autumn Light scratched Miss Nepal scratched Royalstraightflush scratched 7 Count Catamount scratched 8 Ambitoness scratched Kittylicious scratched Queen Hazel scratched 9TH Crimson Glory scratched Echt scratched Speckledbird scratched
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#8
07-28-2010, 01:58 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#10
07-28-2010, 03:26 PM
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Tremendous work by Serling finding the Roy Lerman...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#12
07-28-2010, 05:29 PM
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Quote:
More importantly... fantini (Ed) is here with wife and son and is having a HUGE day... Is live to 6 horses here in the nightcap in the P4 including one for $5,500. I'd prefer the 7 or 10 that I have, but would be pleased for Ed who already has had at least 2 signers already today!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#17
07-28-2010, 05:53 PM
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Congrats, you are in the ZONE!!!!!!! (exacta in the last adds style points)
__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
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#18
07-28-2010, 05:57 PM
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Groundhog Day
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#20
07-28-2010, 06:17 PM
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Congrats Steve. Keep it going
 
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