SAT - Tampa Bay Downs

[GPK]

Late Pick 4

Race 7 - MSW 3YO Fillies 6F

7 - Potenza Bella (12-1 ML) Bet to 3.50-1 in debut in 11 horse field, but disappointed backers with an 8th place finish. I'm willing to use the sloppy track as an excuse. Place and show horse from that race both came back to win next out. Blinks added and Willie jumps on board. Passley has some solid numbers, most impressively winning sprints at 21% (from 61 starters) for an insane ROI of $4.01. I can't imagine this one being anywhere near the ML, but I will have a few tickets built around this gal. She is a full sister to Laughing Matters (40-7-7-6) who had all 7 of her wins in dirt sprints.

3 - Paulette Caveat (5-1 ML) The wildcard in this race. Centeno jumps up for a trainer with no starters last year. Only 2 works showing, both sub :48 halfs at Ocala Training Center, that really don't mean much as that track has traditionally produced fast workout times. Tote board will be the obvious clue as to what this one is about. Dam has dropped 13 foals, 12 of them have race and 11 of them have won, her most productive being Absoulute Heaven (32-9-8-6) 2nd

9 - Line It Up (6-1 ML) Plenty of works on tap for Forest Wildcat gal. Goncalves has yet to ride a winner for Catalano, but both are top notch and too good to ignore.


Race 8 - Starter Handicap 1Mile Turf

Hard not to love a race like this. Bunch of ole hard knockers still going at it. National Hero 9yo, Hunting Print 8yo, Safety Zone 7yo, Almuraad 10yo, Starship Supreme 7yo.

3 - Hunting Print (12-1 ML) Given some time off since mid October and back in the hands of Delacour. Should sit a good trip with a few of these looking like they want the front end. Will need a lot to go his way, but a must include for me at what should be a juicy price.

5 - Safety Zone (3-2 ML) Hot claim box item up North will most likely be odds on at post time as just about any race of races last year at Woodbine take this one easily. Most likely a single for many people. 1st

4 - Baltic Shore (6-1 ML ) Another that should sit a nice trip and may be there at the end should the chalk not fire. 2nd


9th - The Pelican 6F

1 - Wildcat Frankie (3-1 ML) Obvious gate to wire threat. Any slight breather Centeno can give him makes him even more dangerous.

9 - Guam Typhoon (7-2 ML) A real threat should anyone put any early pressure on Frankie. Will be coming on late. 4th

8 - See I A (6-1 ML) Only the great Jamie Ness can take a Lambholm Stable homebred and turn him into a 80's-90's beyer running machine. Comes in off 4 wins in a row. Obvious threat with the juice. 1st


10th - Claiming 10N2L 7F

6 - Zachary Cherryboy (8-1 ML) VET SCRATCH

2 - Lending Freeze (4-1 ML) Dangerous right back. Taylor Hole going for 3rd win of the meet and it's not even Mid-January?!?! 1st

7 - Saint From Spain (15-1 ML) Exacta Bob angle. 4th

11 - Petey Bedouin (10-1 ML) These are the kind that Wasiluk and Centeno normally tear my tickets up. Broke maiden last year for same price with Centeno up. 2nd

[fantini33]

Love the insight!! Good luck today.

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by GPK

Exacta Bob angle.

The "beaten by less than 100 lengths over his last three races" angle? He has many, I wasn't sure which one you were referring to.















Don't dismiss Tommy's Memory in the feature, David Amiss be damned....

[GPK]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

The "beaten by less than 100 lengths over his last three races" angle? He has many, I wasn't sure which one you were referring to.















Don't dismiss Tommy's Memory in the feature, David Amiss be damned....

You're killing me. Raymond is ice cold, so I am staying away. I will let him beat me.

[geeker2]

Kev- if you had to single?

[Rudeboyelvis]

Good luck Kev

I'm w/ Bigs on the 6 - but can also see him getting hooked by Wildcat Frankie on the front - that scenario pretty much sets up Guam Typhoon perfectly.



What's up w/ Ronnie Allen Jr.? Off mounts yesterday and off all again today... Did he get hurt?

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Good luck Kev

I'm w/ Bigs on the 6 - but can also see him getting hooked by Wildcat Frankie on the front - that scenario pretty much sets up Guam Typhoon perfectly.



What's up w/ Ronnie Allen Jr.? Off mounts yesterday and off all again today... Did he get hurt?

Exacta Bob reports that RAJr has the flu.

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by GPK

[/b]


You're killing me. Raymond is ice cold, so I am staying away. I will let him beat me.

Could be an Amiss late double....if The Waz doesn't get him in the last.

[MaTH716]

Wow, it looks like Hossy has broke into Kev's account and is posting from it again.

[GPK]

The Juice works again

[Rudeboyelvis]

Ness........Tampa........7-1......

[Rudeboyelvis]

Bigs and me alive to signers with Tha Waz!!


Bigs says we're crashin' the win photo if he gets home

[GPK]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Ness........Tampa........7-1......

Seriously Dan...do you think Lerman had this in mind when he bred him? Not a chance in hell

[GPK]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Bigs and me alive to signers with Tha Waz!!


Bigs says we're crashin' the win photo if he gets home

Bring it home!!!

I crashed and burned first leg of the pick 4. I leaned real heavy on the 3 and the 7 in the first leg. Had Centeno won that one, I would be alive to the 2, 7 and 11

[GPK]

Originally Posted by GPK

Bring it home!!!

I crashed and burned first leg of the pick 4. I leaned real heavy on the 3 and the 7 in the first leg. Had Centeno won that one, I would be alive to the 2, 7 and 11

I love my life

[Rudeboyelvis]

A valient effort....gets up for 2nd.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by geeker2

Kev- if you had to single?

If I was REALLY pressed to single, I would single the 5 in the 7th, the 5 in the 8th, the 8 in the 9th...and if really feeling ballsy, the 2 in the last. But that's just if I really HAD to.

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

A valient effort....gets up for 2nd.

Alas, no new Avy...

[GPK]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

Alas, no new Avy...

How many wins before a new avy appears?

I think Taylor Hole should be your new avy. 3 wins before Jan. 9th

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by GPK

How many wins before a new avy appears?

I think Taylor Hole should be your new avy. 3 wins before Jan. 9th

The Petey Bedouin win photo with Rudeboy and I in it, was going to be the new avy, but he (Petey) couldn't pull it off for us.

I think I have to keep the avy until Dinner in Odem wins. Therefore, I may have this one for a long, long time, considering he just finished last on Sunday.

Rudeboy Taylor Hole.