SAT - Churchill (Kentucky Derby) R4-R13

[Bogey]

Happy Derby Day


Churchill Downs


R4 - OC 80k/N3X

#8 Snow Top Mountain (5-2)
#1 Riviera Chic (6-1)
#4 Persuading (4-1)
#2 War Tigress (10-1)

R5 - OC 75k N1X

#4 Depeche Chat (4-1)
#6 Lee Chapel (15-1)
#3 Fusa Code (7-2)
#2 Saratoga Red (3-1)

R6 - G3 Turf Sprint (Turf 5F)

#8 Bridgetown (5-2)
#5 Chamberlain Bridge (2-1)
#3 Custom for Carlos (3-1)
#2 Regally Ready (3-1)

R7 -G1 Humana Distaff

#3 Evening Jewel (5-1)
#7 Hilda's Passion (6-5)
#6 Twelve Twenty Two (8-1)
#4 Amen Hallelujah (5-1)

PK4 - 1 4 8 / 2 3 4 6 / 2 3 5 8 / 3 7 = $48 ($.50 play)

R8 - G2 Churchill Distaff Turf Mile (Turf 8F)

#5 Aviate (GB) (5-1)
#2 Upperline (9-2)
#1 Tapitsfly (7-2)
#6 Aruna (4-1)

R9 - Churchill Downs Handicap

#4 Captain Cherokee (6-1)
#6 Capt. Candyman Can (9-2)
#2 Smiling Tiger (7-2)
#10 Noble's Promise (10-1)

R10 - Woodford Reserve Turf Classic (Turf 9F)

#8 Doubles Partner (6-1)
#9 Al Khali (10-1)
#12 Court Vision (4-1)
#6 Smart Bid (8-1)

R11 - G1 Kentucky Derby

#1 Archarcharch - Dreadful post hurts his chances drastically.
#2 Brilliant Speed - Albertrani might be doing a rain dance for his closer.
#3 Twice the Appeal - Looks to be the underlay of the century.
#4 Stay Thirsty - No where in the Florida Derby and barely kept pace with the injured Uncle Mo in latest workout.
#5 Decisive Moment - Handled correctly for Derby start, but seems way overmatched.
#6 Comma to the Top - Pace setter will struggle turning for home.
#7 Pants On Fire - Rosie has an outside shot to make history.
#8 Dialed In - Should get a nice step up from a great draw. No excuses.
#9 Derby Kitten - Hard to imagine anything better than a mid-pack finish.
#10 Twinspired - Takes a plunge into the deep waters.
#11 Master of Hounds - Doesn't seem that O'Brien came across the pond for the Mint Juleps.
#12 Santiva - Better than his dull performance in the Blue Grass.
#13 Mucho Macho Man - Hard knocker has to be considered underneath.
#14 Shackleford - Showed some serious grit in FL Derby and has been training well.
#15 Midnight Interlude - Carries the Apollo jinx and will be overbet after his stablemate took the KY Oaks.
#16 Animal Kingdom - No question that this versatile runner can handle the distance, now what about the dirt?
#17 Soldat - Interesting to see what tactics are employed. Moves up if wet.
#18 Uncle Mo - Scratched
#19 Nehro - Nakatani can't afford to make a mistake from tough post.
#20 Watch Me Go - Beaten 17 lengths in weak IL Derby. Pass.

#19 Nehro
#16 Animal Kingdom
#8 Dialed In
#17 Soldat
#14 Shackleford

PK4 - 1 2 6 8 11 / 2 4 6 10 / 5 9 / 8 16 19 = $60 ($.50 play)

R12 - Alw 53.5k

#1 After Shock (4-1) - Possibly properly named after Derby 137.
#6 Firm Resolve (12-1)
#4 De Price (6-1)
#7 Lou Brissie (10-1)
#9 Streakin' Mohican (2-1)

R13 - MSW 49k

#3 Shrill (4-1)
#4 Scuff (6-1)
#1 Gentle Tap (3-1)
#9 Bonaroo (10-1)

PK4 - 5 6 8 9 12 13 / 8 16 19 / 1 4 6 / 3 4 = $54 ($.50 play)

Good Racing Luck

[Athanasor]

My choice for this Derby is the ALL key on the machines.

A note on Al Khali - I saw this horse up close and personal and I saw a horse with the physical ability and absolutely no interest in racing.

[The Devil]

Happy Derby Day to you too Gus

[herkhorse]

Originally Posted by Athanasor

My choice for this Derby is the ALL key on the machines.

A note on Al Khali - I saw this horse up close and personal and I saw a horse with the physical ability and absolutely no interest in racing.

he's won over 500,000, but has no interest in racing?

[herkhorse]

Good luck today Gus!

[Sethcarter]

Gus..

Great job yesterday... I really appreciate your insights....

(In the 8th race.... You have Aviate as the five... ) Just in case you have it wrong on your spread sheets...

Good luck today...

Seth

[Cajungator26]

Good luck to you today, Gus ... gotta ask though ... what were you looking at when watching Stay Thirsty and Uncle Mo? In my opinion, Stay Thirsty had the better work?

[atolunch]

Great job yesterday, and BOL today!!

Please check, in the 8th, Aviate is the #8, not #5 as listed, and also in the 10th, Doubles Partner is the #8 not #5 as listed. Please also double check the P4 as I think you have the numbers mixed in the Woodford.

Let's bring home that double!!!

[MaTH716]

Gus Congrats on being all over the Derby. I hope you played some sort of exotic. Also congrats on the Oaks Derby double. Just another fantastic performance!

[randallscott35]

Hands down the best handicapper on this site is Bogey.

Great job as always, Mr Chicago.

[Cajungator26]

You are the MAN, Bogey.

[Heels1989]

Great job Gus.

[Bogey]

Thanks everybody, best cash out day ever.

I'm going to go ahead an REDBOARD, I hit the Oaks/Derby Double multiple times along with the Exacta ($20), Trifecta $2, and Superfecta $1.

By far my biggest score ever. I hope some jumped aboard.

[Bogey]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

Hands down the best handicapper on this site is Bogey.

Thanks Randall, I told you Animal Kingdom would go off at in the 20-1 range.. OK, I know you're going to come back and tell me the price came down because Johny V.

Thanks for the Kudos

[herkhorse]

Originally Posted by Bogey

Thanks everybody, best cash out day ever.

I'm going to go ahead an REDBOARD, I hit the Oaks/Derby Double multiple times along with the Exacta ($20), Trifecta $2, and Superfecta $1.

By far my biggest score ever. I hope some jumped aboard.

That's Awesome Gus! Congrats!

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by Bogey

Thanks Randall, I told you Animal Kingdom would go off at in the 20-1 range.. OK, I know you're going to come back and tell me the price came down because Johny V.

Thanks for the Kudos

He was available at 40-1 offshore a few days ago...Kudos you deserve. This is a tough board with capable people but you are seriously the most consistent great player around. So treat yourself to something nice with the winning.

[dellinger63]

Originally Posted by Bogey

Thanks everybody, best cash out day ever.

I'm going to go ahead an REDBOARD, I hit the Oaks/Derby Double multiple times along with the Exacta ($20), Trifecta $2, and Superfecta $1.

By far my biggest score ever. I hope some jumped aboard.

Congrats twice... Baby gets a new pair of pink golf shoes!

[stevepopyak]

Fantastic work !!!

[Bogey]

[quote=randallscott35;775176]He was available at 40-1 offshore a few days ago...Kudos you deserve. This is a tough board with capable people but you are seriously the most consistent great player around. So treat yourself to something nice with the winning. [/QUOTE

Thanks Randalll. Matt. and Steve