Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 05-28-2012, 07:12 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default 5/28: Belmont Park (6th-11th)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Wow.. $79k pot and a race that could easily have a name on it..

Best Value: #9 Star of New York 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Buffum 7-5 WON ($5.70)
Exotics Use: #3 Simba's Story 5-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Star Harbour 12-1 4th


7th: 18th Sands Point (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Somali Lemonade 1-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Preach Tome Daddy 10-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Regalo Mia 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Firehouse Red 6-1 7th


8th: 44th Ogden Phipps (G1), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Top pair obviously stand out on class/accomplishment, but next three (Cash for Clunkers, She's All In, Juanita) all respectable distaffers that are on the improve..

Most Likely: #2 Awesome Maria 4-5 3rd
Next Best: #4 It's Tricky 2-1 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Juanita 12-1 5th


9th: 82nd Acorn (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Contested could get front end company from Aubby K and has to negotiate an added furlong. Respect but doesn't have to win. On Fire Baby cuts back to one mile which may be her ideal scenario..

Most Likely: #1 Contested 7-5 WON ($4.10)
Next Best: #3 On Fire Baby 5-2 4th
Best Zalue: #4 Zo Impressive 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Aubby K 3-1 3rd


10th: 119th Metropolitan H. (G1), 3+, 1m (DD)

As historic and important a race as is run in this country. Caleb's Posse was made the 8-5 ML fave by Eric Donovan, but expect To Honor and Serve (3-1) will draw a lot of money. Pace scenario will be everything here, and if Shackleford and Saginaw don't mix it up too much on the front end, there's no guarantee Caleb's Posse gets his necessary target(s). Could that open the door for Nakatani to pull the same clever stunt with Jackson's Bend that he did in the Carter? Absolutely. Meanhile, Lezcano has his own decisions to make with To Honor and Serve breaking from the rail. Go with Shack a bit early for position before settling for an inside stalking trip? Probably. And don't forget rock solid Caixa Electronica either, 3rd in this a year ago at 8-1, cutting back from the 3 turn Charles Town score and as fast as any here on best. Those complaining about a field of 6 in this august event clearly don't bet. Outstanding edition of one of the best races run in the U.S. and no winner would be a surprise..

Best Value: #2 Shackleford 4-1 WON ($8.80)
Next Best: #3 Caleb's Posse 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 To Honor and Serve 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Caixa Electronica 15-1 4th



<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-6
8: 2-4
9: 1-3-4-6
10: 1-2-3-4-5-6

3x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


11th: NY-MSW, 3+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #5 Windafull 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Late SCR
Next Best: #4 Seljuk 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Barnards Gallery 12-1 7th


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 05-28-2012 at 08:14 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 05-28-2012, 07:45 AM
pucknut pucknut is offline
Hawthorne
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 522
Default

Thanks Steve free squares today are as rare as a guilty man in prison
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 05-28-2012, 09:02 AM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,762
Default

Met Mile is the Race of the Year as far as I'm concerned. This would be the race of the day on Breeders cup day if they were to put that field together. Any horse would not be a shock.
__________________
Game Over
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 05-28-2012, 09:42 AM
pucknut pucknut is offline
Hawthorne
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 522
Default

since 1990 i do not believe a better cast has been assembled and that 1990 edition was star studded:
blacktie affair
easy goer
housebuster and the winner criminal type
small field or not there is no luster lacking on this great day
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 05-28-2012, 01:11 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default

BEL SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 05-28-2012, 06:06 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 1,298
Default

Don't need to bet to enjoy this race. What a great race and once again the Shack shows up to the plate. Who doesn't admire a horse that cut out those fractions and keep going.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 05-28-2012, 06:09 PM
casp0555's Avatar
casp0555 casp0555 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Humble,Texas
Posts: 18,884
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ADJMK View Post
Don't need to bet to enjoy this race. What a great race and once again the Shack shows up to the plate. Who doesn't admire a horse that cut out those fractions and keep going.
Well said AD, The Shack just kept going and going, awesome performance!
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 05-28-2012, 06:09 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ADJMK View Post
Don't need to bet to enjoy this race. What a great race and once again the Shack shows up to the plate. Who doesn't admire a horse that cut out those fractions and keep going.
Im a Shack fan, and not a big Caleb fan. I have more respect for him now, then I did after his HUGE setup BC win. Shack had everything his way, and got it done like a good horse should. Caleb ran really well today.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:13 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.