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Old 06-08-2012, 05:10 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 6/8: Belmont Park ($84k C/O)

Belmont Week has flown by at a scary pace and it seems the quest for immortality in Saturday's feature has everyone associated with the sport in a state of great anticipation. In addition to the main event, Friday has managed to enhance the appeal with a P6 carryover on an outstanding sequence that ends with I'll Have Another pilot Mario Gutierrez getting a 12f audition for the Belmont in the G2 Brooklyn. Sorry to have not been playing the last couple of days, but I hope you've been enjoying the coverage from Elmont. Steve Crist, Rich Migliore, Nick Tammaro, Ed DeRosa, John Perrotta and more this morning on ATR..


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$84k P6 C/O starts here..

Quirky race to start terrific sequence with favorites lukewarm between 7-2 & 4-1. Lightly-raced options are generally appealing in these situations and Angel Penna's Fear Nothing returns to grass after being rained off for last. A horse like Countnickerbocker from clever Domino is worth a flyer here going to the green out of a modest Irish stake winning mare while dropping down out of state bred MSW company..

Most Likely: #5 Fear Nothing 5-1 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #6 Countknickerbocker 30-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Teahuppo 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Hardrocker 4-1 3rd


6th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Brown sharp off layoffs but is Honeymoon Girl that much better here than Julie's Love and the better priced options?

Best Value: #6 Zapparition 5-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Honeymoon Girl 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Julie's Love 5-2 WON ($3.90)
Super Add: #4 Naples Bay 12-1 2nd


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Very tricky group with fast, returning 5yo Akira (Aldebaran) and a host of prospective winners. Stray Bullet -- curiously also an Aldebaran -- has improved tremendously since Jacobson aquisition. City Scamper is headed in the right direction as well and Strikeslinethruit gets a rider upgrade from Curatolo. Mostess Hostess returns as a 4yo and you're not obligated to use her, but I am. Her dam (Twinkie Zone) was one of my favorite horses to be around in the Del Carroll barn..

Most Likely: #5 Akira 4-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Stray Bullet 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Strikealinethruit 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 City Scamper 4-1 10th


8th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Unremarkable group of state breds. Wouldn't take much progress for Verde Mont to eclipse these moving to lawn. Lakeman has improved All Zipped Up with turf tries. Bond's Solengo klogical 2nd of break with Ramon. Snicker Kid is around the money every time and needs to be in exotics should turf suit at all..

Most Likely: #6 Verde Mont 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 All Zipped Up 15-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Solengo 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #2 The Snickers Kid 7-2 WON ($8.00)


9th: 29th Jaipur (G3), 3+, 7f-T (DD)

Fell short with old friend Bergerac in Kentucky, but he looks nicely drawn for this spot for Pompa/Brown. Yield Bogey back for 8yo debut and working well..

Most Likely: #7 Bergerac 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Yield Bogey 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Right One 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Upgrade 6-1 WON ($12.00)


10th: 124th Brooklyn H. (G2), 3+, 12f (Brooklyn-Belmont Double)

Entertaining edition of this standard features winners from last 2 years in Birdrun and Eldaafer, both seemingly far off form. #1a Balladry will be SCR'd..

Best Value: #7 Golden Gulch 12-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Eye On Jacob 5-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Redeemed 5-2 WON ($6.50)
Super Add: #1 Arthur's Tale 8-1 3rd


<$25 Brooklyn-Belmont Double Play:

1-4-5-7-10 with 1-3-4-5-9 = $25 ($50 for $2)


<$300 P6 Play:

5: 2-5-6
6: 5-6
7: 3-5
8: 6-7-10
9: 7
10: 1-4-7-10

3x2x2x3x1x4 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-10
8: 6-7-10
9: 2-4-5-7
10: 1-4-7-10

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-09-2012 at 04:40 AM.
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Old 06-08-2012, 06:24 AM
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Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
Newmarket
 
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Brooklyn / Belmont double play : 1-4-5-10 with 1-3-9-11
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  #3  
Old 06-08-2012, 08:34 AM
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Gate Dancer Gate Dancer is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
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Location: SW Nebr
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Rooting hard for Naples Bay in the 6th today. The breeder of this filly lives right here in Great Falls. Her best number puts her right in the mix here. Love your exacta in the Brooklyn as those two look solid and offer some value.

Great job all week from Belmont..........if you don't hear it enough Steve, your hard work is very much appreciated and the 'guest' lineup this week was superb!!
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Old 06-08-2012, 09:49 AM
cal828 cal828 is offline
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Steve, noticed that you multiplied by 3 in your Brooklyn/Belmont double. Is that a minimum $3 bet? Haven't played a double in years, but I thought the minimum was $2 or even a $1 at some venues.
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Old 06-08-2012, 10:56 AM
kp319 kp319 is offline
Morris Park
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cal828 View Post
Steve, noticed that you multiplied by 3 in your Brooklyn/Belmont double. Is that a minimum $3 bet? Haven't played a double in years, but I thought the minimum was $2 or even a $1 at some venues.
I think he is just playing $3 dd's.
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Old 06-08-2012, 11:12 AM
cal828 cal828 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kp319 View Post
I think he is just playing $3 dd's.
Yes. I'm sure you are right. Bogey made a $2 play.
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Old 06-08-2012, 01:42 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gate Dancer View Post
Rooting hard for Naples Bay in the 6th today. The breeder of this filly lives right here in Great Falls. Her best number puts her right in the mix here. Love your exacta in the Brooklyn as those two look solid and offer some value.

Great job all week from Belmont..........if you don't hear it enough Steve, your hard work is very much appreciated and the 'guest' lineup this week was superb!!
She looks really good her first 2 career races. I like her a lot today. Using just her with the chalk. Good luck.
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