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Old 10-21-2012, 11:50 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 10/21: Santa Anita ($61k C/O)

SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$61k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #1 Megastar 8-5 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #3 Unusual Jazz 10-1 (B) 3rd
Next Best: #7 Green Secret 4-1 (C) WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #5 SCR


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Somenchanted Evenin 6-1 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #5 Sweetrayofsunshine 3-1 (A) WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Burton's Angel 6-1 (B) 3rd
Super Add: #3 Itsphun 7-2 (C) 6th


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Downhill always super-competitive and will pass on short price returnee Eula B. off the break..

Most Likely: #6 Point Cadet 9-2 11th
Next Best: #13 (AE) SCR
Exotics Use: #1 Urania 4-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Pogonip 6-1 WON ($17.80)
SCR Sub: #8 Corinthian Melody 20-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Only 4 have experience in this group but there are debuting filles that could pop. Breeding on display with Baffert firster Heartless, a half to speedy Force Freeze, and Escape Act, half to Papa Clem for Bo Hirsch and Gary Stute..

Most Likely: #4 Lady Rosamond 7-2 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #10 Imwiththeblonde 3-1 (A) WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #11 Heartless 5-1 (B) 9th
Best Value: #2 SCR


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #6 No Silent 9-5 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #7 Accelerant 9-2 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Starspangled Heat 9-2 (C) WON ($9.20)


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #14 Awkward Mondays 3-1 (A) WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #8 Coranto 6-1 (B) 5th
Next Best: #10 Goodbye Charlie 8-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Late SCR
Super/Hi-5: #6 Star of America 4-1 (C) 7th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1
5: 4-5
6: 1-6-13 (1-6-9 if 13 not in)
7: #2 SCR-4-10-11
8: 6
9: 8-10-14

1x2x3x4x1x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-6-13 (1-6-9 if 13 not in)
7: #2 SCR-4-6-8-10-11
8: 6-7
9: 4/Late SCR-8-10-14

3x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 10-21-2012 at 08:24 PM.
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Old 10-22-2012, 10:40 AM
dino dino is offline
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Great job Steve.
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Old 10-22-2012, 04:44 PM
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fantini33 fantini33 is offline
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Location: Boston
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Congrats! Ausable gets it done up at the Lakes after getting pounded at the windows!
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Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window!

Ed
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Old 10-22-2012, 05:36 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dino View Post
Great job Steve.
Quote:
Originally Posted by arizonadave View Post
When Steve does his picks on a carry over day in California, they are gold.Belmont has been a mess with all the rain and off tracks. Keenland too has been a tough track. Give Steve a reason to handicap Santa Anita and look at all that red. Thanks Steve.
dino.. dave..

Thanks very much. As I said on ATR today, I was quite disappointed to miss the big one but it was a fun afternoon with the some nice results. As Dave suggests, I've come to really enjoy the SA seasons and frequently have a lot of confidence going into their sequences. (As part of that, I will say straight out that Andy Harrington's National Turf clocker reports have been a HUGE asset playing California.)

Hope everyone did well!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 10-22-2012, 05:37 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fantini33 View Post
Congrats! Ausable gets it done up at the Lakes after getting pounded at the windows!
'tini!

THX a lot.. She actually floated up after opening at 3-2.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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