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#1
06-13-2015, 11:01 AM
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Noah!
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#2
06-13-2015, 11:06 AM
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Damn Autoincorrect.
I tried to name the title of this thread Woah, not Noah. I'd like to take 8/1 on under 175k.
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#3
06-13-2015, 11:33 AM
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Quote:
__________________
facilis descensus Auerno
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#4
06-13-2015, 12:52 PM
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Quote:
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#5
06-13-2015, 02:04 PM
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Agree with Thoroughbred Fan, but not sure P of the Nile will get all that. The first 3 years for AP (2016-17-18) are mostly marketing and recruiting. For any stallion to have a chance, they have to get prod ucing mares to him and that often entails making some deals. Likely they'll see what he has as far as the book he can cover. They'll want over 100 and could consider shuttling, it's up to the libido and marketability of the horse. By year 3 he has his first test, the sales.
By the next year, you will start seeing how they run in 2018 as 2YO's. That would make him hotter or colder, but by that time. If you filled his book at $100K, then, even with discounts, you've nabbed over $20 million. You could either end up with a Tapit or Smarty.
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#6
06-13-2015, 03:21 PM
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How is the Mystical Derby even on the list? Triple Crown winner to Canterbury Park for an ungraded 200k race on Aug 29th, the same day as the Travers seems like 999-1 rather than 20-1.
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#7
06-13-2015, 05:41 PM
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Canterbury is definitely out. They'd have to sacrifice their entire meet to lure him. However, I can't fault them for injecting themselves into the mix and bringing some attention to their racing. A good PR guy there is drumming up some attention for them. Parx is going to make a real play for him and I think they'll likely get him. Haskell and PA Derby. I think Materialiy may go in the Jim Dandy and Travers, Frosted will run in the Travers and Baffert may sent Dortmund to the Travers. Not a lot to beat there for a lot of money. AP get $300K for just showing up at Parx. More if he wins the Haskell and they bump that up. Plus the purse. I think they'll probably make it worth close to $1 mil to show up and $2 mil to win at Parx. Hard to ignore. Dortmund may run in the Los Al Derby with Firing Line, but I think they'll keep the latter out there.
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#8
06-13-2015, 11:53 PM
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look for awhile like a chinacat sunflower............................
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#9
06-15-2015, 11:22 PM
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Quote:
Mystical Derby set at 2 million dollars if American Pharaoh shows up,
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