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Old 09-05-2016, 05:59 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 9/5: Saratoga ~ Day 40 (Hopeful, $75k C/O); Del Mar (Futurity, $547k C/O)

It's been another delightful Spa session and I hope everyone has enjoyed the coverage and had their share of successes.. Big finish appears in store this Labor Day with stakes-dotted carryovers at both Saratoga and Del Mar.


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Gambler's Ghost 7-5 WON ($2.50)
Next Best: #5 American Creed 6-1 2nd


2nd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Home of the $800k New York bred ~ #5 Moondance..

Most Likely: #2 Swing and Sway 4-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Strawberry Tequila 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Mini Megan 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Moondance 3-1 8th


3rd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Very tricky mixed signal reads with some firsters, second timers and pedigrees..

Best Value: #7 Now in a Drive 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 J.S. Choice 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Data Room 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Majestic Tom 6-1 9th


4th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Brown assistant/exercise rider Abreu brings back impressive first out winner Woodville..

Most Likely: #5 Woodville 6-5 WON ($2.50)
Best Value: #4 Frostie Anne 8-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Sing for Beauty 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Sabrina Ballerina 9-2 5th


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Modern Lady 12-1 2nd
Most Likely: #4 Degrees of Freedom 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Undertherain 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Adirondack Luck 12-1 7th


P5 Grid:

1: 1 (A), - (B), 3-4-5 (C)
2: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), 1-5-8 (C)
3: 3-5-7 (A), 1-2-8 (B), 6-10 (C)
4: 5 (A), - (B), 1-3-4-7 (C)
5: 1-4-6-10 (A), 3-5-8-11 (B), 2-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x6x1x8 =144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x3x1x4 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), 1-5-8 (C)
3: 3-5-7 (A), 1-2-8 (B), 6-10 (C)
4: 5 (A), - (B), 1-3-4-7 (C)
5: 1-4-6-10 (A), 3-5-8-11 (B), 2-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x1x8 =144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x1x4 = 36 x .50 = $18


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$75k Must-Pay C/O starts here..

Best Value: #7 La Coronel 5-1 WON ($15.00)
Next Best: #9 New Money Honey 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Its Only Fair Late SCR (Gate)
Super Add: #3 Slew of Money 8-1 9th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Vandalize 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #10 Roman Revival 7-2 WON ($8.50)
Best Value: #8 Saratoga Sight 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Eye Love Michael 5-1 4th


8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Ugh.. Murderous group. Looks like at least 7 of them 'can' win..

Most Likely: #6 Cloontia 5-1 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #5 Hurry Up Alan 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Dream Doctor 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Tiz a Chance 10-1 5th


9th: Bernard Baruch (G2), 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Was interested in Reporting Star (20-1) for the Fourstardave and will try him here today instead. Now with added Geroux goodness. Agood deal of pace appears signed on..

Best Value: #9 Reporting Star 20-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Takeover Target 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Jay Gatsby 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #2 Ring Weekend 5-2 WON ($7.90)


10th: Hopeful (G1), 2yo, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Classic Empire 5-2 DNF (Lost rider)
Next Best: #2 Practical Joke 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Best Value: #3 Runaway Lute 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Bitumen 2-1 4th


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f-IT

Best Value: #2 Blenheim Palace 10-1 4th
Next Best: #1a Sassy Little Lila 7-2 WON ($7.50)
Exotics Use: #11 War Baby 12-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Above the Mark 6-1 7th


P6 Grid:

6: 7-9 (A), 10 (B), 3 (C)
7: 4-10 (A), 5-8 (B), 1-7 (C)
8: 5-6 (A), 4-8 (B), 3-9-11 (C)
9: 5-9 (A), - (B), 2-8 (C)
10: 6 (A), - (B), 2-3-4 (C)
11: 2 (A), - (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2x1x1 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A's: 2x2x2x2x1x1 = 16 x $2 = $32


P4 Grid:

8: 5-6-8 (A), 1-4 (B), 3-9-11 (C)
9: 5-9 (A), 2-8 (B), 6-7 (C)
10: 2-6 (A), 3-4-5 (B), - (C)
11: 1-2 (A), - (B), 3-5-7-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x5x2 = 200 x .50 = $100
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/2,10/2/1) Paid $129.75



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: 69th DMR Futurity (G1), 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$547k Must-Pay C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #2 Straight Fire 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 Klimt 2-1 WON ($7.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Chasing Aces 9-5 DNF (Pulled Up)
Super Add: #4 Vegas Itch 20-15th


6th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Dark Energy 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Uncork the York 5-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Hollywood Strike 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Defiantly 7-2 WON ($8.60)
Super Add: #5 Latitude 20-1 7th


7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Saint Dermot 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Banze No Oeste 15-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Knight of Drama 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Brimstoned 8-1 4th


8th: 5th DMR Juvenile Fillies Turf, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 With Honors 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #2 Auntjenn 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Blame It On Alphie 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Noble Dancer 12-1 9th


9th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Big Gray Rocket 9-5 WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #9 Antioch 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 Bird Is the Word 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Predict 6-1 7th


10th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super Hi-5)

$35k Must-Pay Super Hi-5 C/O here..

Best Value: #3 Foray 5-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Bronzino 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Spitfire 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Candy Cowboy 6-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #4 Lamaan 15-1 WON ($40.00)


P6 Grid:

5: 2 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
6: 1-4-8 (A), - (B), 2-5-11 (C)
7: 3 (A), 5 (B), 1-4-7-10 (C)
8: 13 (A), 2 (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 8 (A), - (B), 5-9 (C)
10: 3-5 (A), 9-11 (B), 1-4-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x2x1x4 = 144 x $2 = $288
All A's: 1x3x1x1x1x2


P4 Grid:

7: 1-3-5 (A), 4-7-10 (B), 6-9 (C)
8: 2-13 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 8 (A), 5-9 (B), 1 (C)
10: 3-5-9-11 (A), - (B), 1-4-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve



JON WHITE P6 PLAY:

5: 1-2-6
6: 1-2-5-8-11-12
7: 1-3-10
8: 13
9: 8
10: [3]-5-9-11

Full: 3x6x3x1x1x4 = 216 x $2 = $432
Budget (Singling 3 in 10th): 3x6x3x1x1x1 = 54 x $2 = $108

$2 Pick-6 (6/11,13,14/10/3,13/8,10,11/4) Paid $102.00 (5OF6) x 4 = $408.00
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 09-05-2016 at 09:48 PM.
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  #2  
Old 09-05-2016, 10:01 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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SAR SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 09-05-2016, 11:27 AM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
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Location: florida
Posts: 16,277
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steve, thanks again for your insight and continued dedication to the sport.Having seen you do the capping part for a whole toga season it boggles the mind how you can still do the show and the capitol otb and everything else
it is a grind..thanks hooves
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  #4  
Old 09-05-2016, 06:31 PM
tomm5647 tomm5647 is offline
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Posts: 220
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Congrats Steve: It looks like you are leaving with bags of loot. It couldn't happen to a more deserving guy. Thanks for an enjoyable Spa meet. It was lots of fun following you.
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Old 09-05-2016, 09:51 PM
tanner12oz tanner12oz is offline
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Posts: 1,412
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Nice tab on the #4 in the dmr finale
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  #6  
Old 09-05-2016, 10:18 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead View Post
steve, thanks again for your insight and continued dedication to the sport.Having seen you do the capping part for a whole toga season it boggles the mind how you can still do the show and the capitol otb and everything else
it is a grind..thanks hooves
Matt-O.. Thanks a lot buddy. Was another thrill ride! Hope you and everyone enjoyed.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #7  
Old 09-05-2016, 10:19 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tomm5647 View Post
Congrats Steve: It looks like you are leaving with bags of loot. It couldn't happen to a more deserving guy. Thanks for an enjoyable Spa meet. It was lots of fun following you.
Tomm.. Thanks for the well wishes and kind words. Got it going the 2nd half of the meet. Hope you enjoyed and did well!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #8  
Old 09-05-2016, 10:20 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tanner12oz View Post
Nice tab on the #4 in the dmr finale
Yeah, thanks, but didn't have positioned properly. Has been a bugaboo all summer.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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Old 09-06-2016, 12:58 AM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
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Fantastic capping by you all summer Steve at what was a very challenging meet.. Great job by J.White with the Del Mar P6. Shows how difficult and frustrating it can be to hit one. Who ever was alive to the 6 at 99-1 must still be banging his head vs the wall.
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Old 09-06-2016, 09:04 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ADJMK View Post
Fantastic capping by you all summer Steve at what was a very challenging meet.. Great job by J.White with the Del Mar P6. Shows how difficult and frustrating it can be to hit one. Who ever was alive to the 6 at 99-1 must still be banging his head vs the wall.
Thanks A.. Was a fun season. Felt badly for Jon who built a nice ticket. That 6 would have actually paid 5/6.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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