#1
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Saratoga Jockey with most $20 and up Wins
Prediction
Manny Franco |
#2
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Dylan Davis
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Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!" |
#3
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I'll take Luis Saez since it doesn't look like Cohen will get a license to ride
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"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato |
#4
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I’ll throw a different name out and say Jose Lezcano.
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#5
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#6
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He really impressed me this spring. The fact that he has 5 mounts on opening day makes me think that he's going to get opportunity in what is a very deep room.
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Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!" |
#7
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Junior Alvarado.....easily.
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Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window! Ed |
#8
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After Week 1
Code:
Jul-01-2018 to Sep-01-2018 Saratoga 3 1 Geroux Florent 7/23/2018 7 5.5 Turf STK 8-Ruby Notion Miller Darrin $56.50 1 Lezcano Jose 7/20/2018 10 8.5 Turf C40 6-Cape Angel Sharp Joe $21.40 1 Ortiz Jose L. 7/23/2018 8 9 Wet Dirt STR 8-Indigo Yankee Wilkes Ian R. $21.40 Last edited by jms62 : 07-24-2018 at 12:10 PM. |
#9
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After 40 races at Saratoga, some interesting numbers : Only 6 winners have paid $5.00 or less and as posted above, only 3 winnners at 9-1 or greater. 14 winners have paid between $5.00 and $10.00 with 17 winners in the $10.00 to $20.00 range.
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#10
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Same choice here based on talent, but after four days and 1-for-19, I need to see if he has been on very many live mounts. Kendric Carmouche is also an option if the track turns speed favoring later in the meet.
With Joe Bravo (2 wins) and Ricardo Santana (3 wins) picking up mounts, jockeys like Dylan Davis are getting squeezed for quality rides. By the way, Indigo Yankee should have been 30-1 against that field on Monday and was one of Jose Ortiz's three wins in his first 26 mounts. (He is only 7-for-26 in the money in the first four days!) |
#11
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Ricardo Santana Jr.
I know he's starting to get a ton of live ones, but he still rides prices home. -bt- |
#12
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My only problem with Santana is that he always loses when I bet him and always wins when I bet against him.
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#13
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After Week 2
(No Hurdles) Code:
Saratoga 9 1 Cancel Eric 7/29/2018 7 7 Fast Dirt NW1 8-Uno Mas Modelo Quartarolo Anthon $33.20 1 Carmouche Kendrick 7/25/2018 5 5.5 Wet Dirt MSWs 5-Collegeville Girl Vega Richard $20.80 1 Davis Dylan 7/29/2018 6 8.5 Turf NW1 4-Prioritize Bond H. James $27.60 1 Geroux Florent 7/23/2018 7 5.5 Turf STK 8-Ruby Notion Miller Darrin $56.50 1 Hill Channing 7/29/2018 9 9 Fast Dirt GR3 7-Farrell Catalano Wayne M. $20.20 1 Lezcano Jose 7/20/2018 10 8.5 Turf C40 6-Cape Angel Sharp Joe $21.40 1 Ortiz Jose L. 7/23/2018 8 9 Wet Dirt STR 8-Indigo Yankee Wilkes Ian R. $21.40 1 Rosario Joel 7/29/2018 5 5.5 Turf MSW 8-Length Mott William I. $28.40 1 Saez Luis 7/26/2018 9 6.5 Wet Dirt STKs 8-Weekend Hideaway Serpe Philip M. $23.40 |
#14
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Hard to believe that we are 10 days (25%!) through the meeting and only 9 $20+ horses have clicked. Feels low, but the $10-$20 range has remained active.
Great to see Luis Saez at the top of the wins board - his aggressive riding style has been paying off against the clutch-and-grab set. The turf sprint win in the Coronation Cup on Monday was an excellent example. Also, have been very impressed with how well Ricardo Santana Jr. has been riding. |
#15
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Quote:
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#16
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Through Week 3
Code:
Jul-01-2018 to Sep-01-2018 Saratoga 14 Date Race/Dist/Sur/Class Horse Trainer 1 Alvarado Junior 8/5/2018 10 9 Fast Dirt STK 1-Realm Tagg Barclay $27.20 1 Cancel Eric 7/29/2018 7 7 Fast Dirt NW1 8-Uno Mas Modelo Quartarolo Anthon $33.20 2 Carmouche Kendrick 8/5/2018 4 7 Wet Dirt C20 5-Fleet Irish Falcone, Jr. Robert $24.40 7/25/2018 5 5.5 Wet Dirt MSWs 5-Collegeville Girl Vega Richard $20.80 1 Davis Dylan 7/29/2018 6 8.5 Turf NW1 4-Prioritize Bond H. James $27.60 1 Geroux Florent 7/23/2018 7 5.5 Turf STK 8-Ruby Notion Miller Darrin $56.50 1 Hill Channing 7/29/2018 9 9 Fast Dirt GR3 7-Farrell Catalano Wayne M $20.20 1 Lezcano Jose 7/20/2018 10 8.5 Turf C40 6-Cape Angel Sharp Joe $21.40 1 Ortiz Jose L. 7/23/2018 8 9 Wet Dirt STR 8-Indigo Yankee Wilkes Ian R. $21.40 1 Ortiz, Jr. Irad 8/6/2018 6 6 Fast Dirt MSWs 1-Bustin to Be Loved Contessa Gary C. $40.20 2 Rosario Joel 8/1/2018 5 6 Fast Dirt MSW 3-Catoria Dini Michael $49.80 7/29/2018 5 5.5 Turf MSW 8-Length Mott William I. $28.40 1 Saez Luis 7/26/2018 6.5 Wet Dirt STKs 8-Hideaway Serpe Philip M. $23.40 1 Velazquez John R. 8/6/2018 8 5.5 Turf NW2s 10-Eloweasel Donk David G. $20.80 Last edited by jms62 : 08-07-2018 at 08:24 AM. |
#17
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still kicking my ass over Fleet Irish
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"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato |
#18
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Still have a shot at 50
Code:
Jul-01-2018 to Sep-01-2018 Saratoga 18 Race Dist Surface Class Horse Trainer Paid 1 Alvarado Junior 8/5/2018 10 9 Fast Dirt STK 1-Realm Tagg Barclay $27.20 1 Cancel Eric 7/29/2018 7 7 Fast Dirt NW1 8-Uno Mas Modelo Quartarolo Anthon $33.20 3 Carmouche Kendrick 8/13/2018 1 5.5 Fast Dirt M50 2-Silver Wings Reven Antonucci Jena $25.40 8/5/2018 4 7 Wet Dirt C20 5-Fleet Irish Falcone, Jr. Robert $24.40 7/25/2018 5 5.5 Wet Dirt MSWs 5-Collegeville Girl Vega Richard $20.80 1 Cohen David 8/11/2018 4 7 Wet Dirt MSW 7-Cairo Cat McPeek Kenneth G $38.20 1 Davis Dylan 7/29/2018 6 8.5 Turf NW1 4-Prioritize Bond H. James $27.60 1 Franco Manuel 8/10/2018 10 5.5 Turf MSWs 3-Veterans Beach Donk David G. $20.60 1 Geroux Florent 7/23/2018 7 5.5 Turf STK 8-Ruby Notion Miller Darrin $56.50 1 Hill Channing 7/29/2018 9 9 Fast Dirt GR3 7-Farrell Catalano Wayne M $20.20 1 Lezcano Jose 7/20/2018 10 8.5 Turf C40 6-Cape Angel Sharp Joe $21.40 1 Ortiz Jose L. 7/23/2018 8 9 Wet Dirt STR 8-Indigo Yankee Wilkes Ian R. $21.40 1 Ortiz, Jr. Irad 8/6/2018 6 6 Fast Dirt MSWs 1-Bustin to Be Loved Contessa Gary C. $40.20 3 Rosario Joel 8/8/2018 6 6 Fast Dirt NW2s 1-Tiznow's Smile Baker Charlton $42.60 8/1/2018 5 6 Fast Dirt MSW 3-Catoria Dini Michael $49.80 7/29/2018 5 5.5 Turf MSW 8-Length Mott William I. $28.40 1 Saez Luis 7/26/2018 9 6.5 Wet Dirt STKs 8-Weekend Hideaway Serpe Philip M. $23.40 1 Velazquez John R. 8/6/2018 8 5.5 Turf NW2s 10-Eloweasel Donk David G. $20.80 |
#19
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Week 5
Saratoga 28 Code:
Dist Surface Class Horse Trainer Paid 1 Alvarado Junior 8/5/2018 10 9 Fast Dirt STK 1-Realm Tagg Barclay $27.20 2 Cancel Eric 8/15/2018 5 6 Fast Dirt MSWs 8-Shesasuperfreak Maymo Alejandro $27.20 7/29/2018 7 7 Fast Dirt NW1 8-Uno Mas Modelo Quartarolo Anthon $33.20 3 Carmouche Kendrick 8/13/2018 1 5.5 Fast Dirt M50 2-Silver Wings Reven Antonucci Jena M. $25.40 8/5/2018 4 7 Wet Dirt C20 5-Fleet Irish Falcone, Jr. Robert $24.40 7/25/2018 5 5.5 Wet Dirt MSWs 5-Collegeville Girl Vega Richard $20.80 1 Cohen David 8/11/2018 4 7 Wet Dirt MSW 7-Cairo Cat McPeek Kenneth G $38.20 2 Davis Dylan 8/18/2018 5 6 Wet Dirt C40 1-Elizabeth Nicole Contessa Gary C. $42.60 7/29/2018 6 8.5 Turf NW1 4-Prioritize Bond H. James $27.60 2 Franco Manuel 8/19/2018 3 5.5 Turf MSW 10-Tap Tap Taparoo Toner James J. $21.60 8/10/2018 10 5.5 Turf MSWs 3-Veterans Beach Donk David G. $20.60 1 Geroux Florent 7/23/2018 7 5.5 Turf STK 8-Ruby Notion Miller Darrin $56.50 1 Hill Channing 7/29/2018 9 9 Fast Dirt GR3 7-Farrell Catalano Wayne M $20.20 3 Lezcano Jose 8/20/2018 4 5.5 Turf MSW 2-Concrete Rose Arnold, II George R $26.40 8/19/2018 10 6 Fast Dirt C25 9- Blinded Vision Toscano, Jr. John T. $31.40 7/20/2018 10 8.5 Turf C40 6-Cape Angel Sharp Joe $21.40 1 Maragh Romero Ramsay 8/20/2018 9 9 Turf M40s 7-Won't Be Missed Ferraro James W. $98.00 2 Ortiz Jose L. 8/19/2018 8 7 Fast Dirt CLF 6-Petrov Moquett Ron $21.40 7/23/2018 8 9 Wet Dirt STR 8-Indigo Yankee Wilkes Ian R. $21.40 3 Ortiz, Jr. Irad 8/16/2018 1 6.5 Fast Dirt M40 2-Seauxtale Moquett Ron $24.80 8/15/2018 9 5.5 Turf STK 8-Stillwater Cove Ward Wesley A. $22.40 8/6/2018 6 6 Fast Dirt MSWs 1-Bustin to Be Loved Contessa Gary C. $40.20 3 Rosario Joel 8/8/2018 6 6 Fast Dirt NW2s 1-Tiznow's Smile Baker Charlton $42.60 8/1/2018 5 6 Fast Dirt MSW 3-Catoria Dini Michael $49.80 7/29/2018 5 5.5 Turf MSW 8-Length Mott William I. $28.40 1 Saez Luis 7/26/2018 9 6.5 Wet Dirt STKs 8-Weekend Hideaway Serpe Philip M. $23.40 1 Santana, Jr. Ricardo 8/20/2018 2 6 Fast Dirt M25s 5-Third Card Down Baker Charlton $32.20 1 Velazquez John R. 8/6/2018 8 5.5 Turf NW2s 10-Eloweasel Donk David G. $20.80 |
#20
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Tells me when to bet not who
With the three leaders being Carmouche, Ortiz, and Lezcano you know they are very good and professional, you are going to get a good ride on them and the true stat would be the return on investment when they have a $20.00 horse.
Of course, you would have to factor in multiple entries that are running under the same conditions I.E. two more horses that will pay $20.00 or more with one of the other two riders aboard
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Any Day Above Ground Is A Good Day |