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Old 04-22-2023, 05:53 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 4/22: Keeneland; Oaklawn; Cross Country P5

KEENELAND


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N2X, F&M-4+, 9f-T (Turf P3/5-8-10, P6, P3, DD)

Mise En Scene is supposed to win this, but note that she has had issues early in her races..

Most Likely: #3 Mise En Scene 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Kathaan 20-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Lovely Princess 9-2 WON ($14.20)
Exotics Use: #5 She's Gone 10-1 5th


$3 Turf P3 Grid:

5: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-2-3-5-7-8/Late SCR (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x6x3 = 18 x $3 = $54


6th: MSW, 3yo, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Billy Jack 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 De la Calles 15-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Class Actor 5-2 WON ($9.68)
Exotics Use: #4 Mr. Keating 9-2 2nd


7th: ALW/N2L, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Socially Selective 1-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Devious Stares 4-1 DNF-Pulled Up
Next Best: #2 Unsung Melody Late SCR
Exotics Use: #6 Froshado 8-1 4th


8th: Elkhorn (G2), 4+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Value Engineering 7-2 8th
Best Value: #7 Howe Street 10-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Rising Empire 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Red Knight 5-2 2nd


9th: Ben Ali (G3), 4+, 9.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Skippylongstocking 7-5 5th
Best Value: #6 Happy American 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Rattle N Roll 3-1 WON ($7.98)
Exotics Use: #1 Pioneer of Medina 7-2 3rd


10th: ALW/C, 4+, 5.5f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Beer Can Man 5-1 5th
Best Value: #7 Angaston 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Mark of the Z 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Ice Chocolat 12-1 8th


P5 Grid:

6: 3-6 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
7: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-3-7 (A), 1-5-8/SCR (B), - (C)
9: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x6x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-3-5-7 (A), 1-8/SCR (B), - (C)
9: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-3-7-8 (A), 1-6-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x2x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 1x4x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16



OAKLAWN PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


8th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Kantex 5-1 WON ($9.20)
Next Best: #10 Li'l Grazen 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #12 Perfect Happiness 3-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Unbridled Twister 10-1 6th


9th: Valley of the Vapors, 3yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Merlazza 8-5 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #9 Exponential Star 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Pink Ace 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Santa Fe Gold 8-1 6th


10th: Oaklawn H. (G2), 4+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Stilleto Boy 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Last Samurai 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Charge It 8-5 4th
Super Add: #1 Rated R Superstar 20-1 5th


11th: Bath House Row, 3yo, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Red Route One 2-1 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #9 Tapit Shoes 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Interlock Empire 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Victory Formation 3-1 3rd


12th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6f

Most Likely: #1 Ninja Warrior 2-1 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #3 Navy Seal 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Breslau 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Omaha Red 5-2 4th


P5 Grid:

8: 1-10 (A), 2-12 (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C)
10: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-3 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36


P4 Grid:

9: 2-9 (A), 7 (B), 7 (C)
10: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-3 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x4 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18



CROSS COUNTRY P5


PRE-SCRATCHES


KEE 8: 2-3-7 (A), - (B), 1-5-8 (C)
AQU 8: 3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
KEE 9: 4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 10: 2-3 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
OP 11: 4-9 (A), 1 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x3x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-5-8 in KEE 8)


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 04-23-2023 at 05:46 AM.
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  #2  
Old 04-22-2023, 10:08 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,292
Default

I thought Myriskyaffair was pretty lonely early in the 5th. And her form is a little dirtied up.
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