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  #1  
Old 01-29-2007, 05:55 PM
MISTERGEE MISTERGEE is offline
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Default These Are The Best?

Did Any Of You Happen To Notice The First And Second Winners In The Drf Handicapping Championship. I Was Just Wondering About The Setup That Makes Most Likely Someone Who Stabs At Mccanns Mojave, Or Picks Crusader Rabbit At Gulfstream On Saturday The First And Second Place Finishers In A Handicapping Contest. I Am Wondering If The Type Of Handicapping That Would Lead You To These, ( I Have No Idea What Type ) Really Means You Are A Good Long Term Handicapper
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Old 01-30-2007, 08:44 PM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MISTERGEE
I Am Wondering If The Type Of Handicapping That Would Lead You To These, ( I Have No Idea What Type ) Really Means You Are A Good Long Term Handicapper
The objective in those handicapping tournaments is to basically stab at longshots. It's better to be lucky than good in events like that.

There are always going to be problems with formats in tournaments that don't go on over long periods of time.

When I was 18 years old, I won a Penn National tournament, where you start with a mytical bankroll. I used some pretty slimy tactics to win it (outright pool manipulation) I basically forced everyone else in the tournament off a specific horse I liked, and bet my entire mytical bankroll on that horse. When that horse won, and he was far from a big price, there was a decisive swing in the standings which put me in 1st place going into the last race. In the last race, you could only bet 10% of your bankroll---and though I could have been run-down, I had made myself a prohibitve favorite to win it...and no one was able to catch me.

In that style tournament....it was better to be slimy than lucky or good.
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Old 01-30-2007, 08:49 PM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
The objective in those handicapping tournaments is to basically stab at longshots. It's better to be lucky than good in events like that.

There are always going to be problems with formats in tournaments that don't go on over long periods of time.

When I was 18 years old, I won a Penn National tournament, where you start with a mytical bankroll. I used some pretty slimy tactics to win it (outright pool manipulation) I basically forced everyone else in the tournament off a specific horse I liked, and bet my entire mytical bankroll on that horse. When that horse won, and he was far from a big price, there was a decisive swing in the standings which put me in 1st place going into the last race. In the last race, you could only bet 10% of your bankroll---and though I could have been run-down, I had made myself a prohibitve favorite to win it...and no one was able to catch me.

In that style tournament....it was better to be slimy than lucky or good.
You know what they say about Karma...

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Old 01-31-2007, 10:21 AM
MISTERGEE MISTERGEE is offline
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My Thinking Would Be To Have All Your Picks Turned In Ahead Of Time Before The Tournament Starts. This Would You Are Truly Handicapping Not Just Taking Stabs Based On Standings Or Thinking Someone Will Eventually Just Get Lucky With A Crazy Longshot. More Power To The Guys Who Came 1 And 2 In The Drf, But If Was Handicapping That Helped Them Make Those Last Minute Stabs God Bless Em, But I Just Dont See It. I Know They Say Youd Rather Be Lucky Than Good, But It Would Be Nice If These Tournaments Measured Skill. If Not Lets Just All Play The Lotto And See Whos "best"
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Old 01-31-2007, 06:24 PM
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pmayjr pmayjr is offline
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As a person who plays bombs in my normal betting style, I love playing handicapping tourneys for the same reason. If you're all about bettin the 5-2 favorite everytime, or playin those 6 horse fields at Bay Medows, these contests aren't for you.

Also, a part of betting bombs, is watching the odds about 5 minutes til post. Morning Lines aren't accurate enough. As I said, if you can't adapt your style, then don't play.
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  #6  
Old 01-31-2007, 07:18 PM
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2MinsToPost 2MinsToPost is offline
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The topic of conversation for a good 10 - 15 minutes at our table at Beulah today was what did he see in McCann's Mojave?
A C horse no?
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Old 01-31-2007, 07:53 PM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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He was the last of a trio of No Cal horses who went off, in upset victories, in the Sunshine Millions.

But yeah, he was pretty hard to have in my opinion.
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