Santa Anita - Thursday 2/15

[Rootdog1]

Ok, lets keep it rolling. Start the discussions on tomorrows SA card. I have looked at the 5th for 30 minutes and I have NO FREAKING CLUE......guess that means there could be some prices $$$$$

Three plays so far...
R5 American Officer (5-1)
R6 Camelita (5-1)
R7 Runaway Cozzene (8-1)

[Rootdog1]

ONE WORD.........CARRYOVER!!!!!!!!!!!

This card is impossible, I am not willing to put my $ and confidence in any of these low priced horses so I am swinging for the fences today guys.

[Rootdog1]

Ok, so not much chatter yet.....everyone must be capping away.

Thoughts

5) Here are the ones that I think can win this: ALL (except Killer Bees) I think I will not be using Baffert or Carava, as those will be low priced and not better then the rest. Looking at using 1 (1st time gelding),3,5,10,12,13 With my top selection being SNARK.

6) More Angels should get a great trip off of Velvet, and I gotta use the class coming off the pace, Karlee Kitten. I also am going for a price here with Beyla. Better then looked last race on the turf now moving back to where she is comfortable on the dirt. Will be flying late with CNAK. Using 7,1,4

7) Very Difficult race with a TON of speed, and many of these speedsters coming off the bench. Top selection is easily Squeeze me Tight, as she is fit and can stalk and finish. I will also use Keladora, Frankel import, as she looks live to come from off the pace and Categorize just entered Frankels barn from the suspended Dutrow - I like route speed horses cutting back and coming down the hill, as they usually are fit enough to run at the end. May also use Moon Han's Runaway Cozzene in pk3's as those 5f works look like she is holding form, and JOHNNY COURT knows how to win down the hill.

8) A Cluster FK of a race, similar to the 5th. Really not interested in One Sock Wonder. Our Partner is a first time gelding dropping in class and I will use but 8-5 is too low. Like some prices, using Flying Up as he should like the stretch out and again using a Han Moon horse, Aspen High, as I smell something here. In pick 3's I will use the plodder Evident or Warrens Charm. This race looks to be ripe for the taking by a horse who can improve on a strech out

[Rootdog1]

Ok, good luck...I am putting some expensive pk3 tickets together leaving chalk out as I think this is going to be a wild day with some great prices. Worth a shot

5)1,3,5,10,12,13
6)1,4,7
7)3,6,9
$54

6)1,4,7
7)2,3,6,9
8)2,5,8,9
$48

5)10
6)1,4,7,8
7)2,3,6,9
$16


ADD PK4
5)1,3,5,10,12,13 (may sub in the 4 for one of these once I see odds and DD and pk3 willpays)
6)1,7
7)3,6,9
8)5,9
$72

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Late P4

4/ALL/7/9

4/1/ALL/9

Late Pick 4
3,4,9
1,4,6
6,10
4,9

[Rootdog1]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

Ok, good luck...I am putting some expensive pk3 tickets together leaving chalk out as I think this is going to be a wild day with some great prices. Worth a shot

5)1,3,5,10,12,13
6)1,4,7
7)3,6,9
$54

6)1,4,7
7)2,3,6,9
8)2,5,8,9
$48

5)10
6)1,4,7,8
7)2,3,6,9
$16


ADD PK4
5)1,3,5,10,12,13 (may sub in the 4 for one of these once I see odds and DD and pk3 willpays)
6)1,7
7)3,6,9
8)5,9
$72

Looks like we will be pulling against each other today Scuds......what do you see in the #4 that leads you to single him in the 5th?

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

Looks like we will be pulling against each other today Scuds......what do you see in the #4 that leads you to single him in the 5th?

Well,he broke 10th from the 2 hole,but was able to get to the front.Then battled hard with others the whole way,and got beat by a parasite sitting behind that battle.I think this horse is probably better off the lead,but Flores had to get some position last time(to avoid getting stuck behind/inside horses.)I am not gunna throw a ton of money into this late p4.It isn't justified.

[Rootdog1]

what I dont get are the SLOW works for the #4 once he started racing....he had the regular Bulllet Bob Baffert workouts before he started racing but those last two were really slow.....I am thinking maybe some injury hiding in there

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

what I dont get are the SLOW works for the #4 once he started racing....he had the regular Bulllet Bob Baffert workouts before he started racing but those last two were really slow.....I am thinking maybe some injury hiding in there

He was working at Anita(the fast works,)but when they started racing at Anita,they sent him to HWD(slow works at that track .)

This first leg is screwball. Wouldn't be surprised to see a bomb hit.

[SCUDSBROTHER]

p4 will pay nice.That was just the morning line 2nd choice,but nobody wants to put their money on a horse that far outside.I have never won a dirt sprint with a horse that had a 13 or 14 post.

[Rootdog1]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

what I dont get are the SLOW works for the #4 once he started racing....he had the regular Bulllet Bob Baffert workouts before he started racing but those last two were really slow.....I am thinking maybe some injury hiding in there

I have been wrong about everything except this. I knew something looked funky with those works...........he pulled up early in the race

[Rootdog1]

Like the 5 in the last - $20 win

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

I have been wrong about everything except this. I knew something looked funky with those works...........he pulled up early in the race

Doesn't matter(no way I use a 14 horse in a sprint.)