Showvivor 2 @ Santa Anita - Page 8

rontheman1964 · #**141** 03-14-2007, 12:37 AM

I may use Jungle Girl in the 2nd race. A class dropper loose on the lead....looks good to me. Hey, why is the track listed inder my name "Sam Houston?" I typed Lone Star Park at first and have recently changed it to AkSarBen. Does anyone know how to update it in my profile? I have never even bet a race at Sam Houston.

jman5581 · #**142** 03-14-2007, 09:34 AM

That race, although it is a short field, looked too risky for me. That Jungle Girl will probably get the lead but I worry about getting used up and having nothing left, especially since she's showed no ability to "run away" with one in the past.

I think Theverythoughtof U is well placed. Typical Ellis, should win, I think the odds of hitting the board are about 75-80% (considering racing luck, injury etc), I'll take that. I think a lot of people will pick that one, so I guess I'm going with the crowd today.

Lemon Law was another one I considered, but decided to go with TVTofU.

jman5581 · #**143** 03-14-2007, 01:24 PM

Well, I was really comfortable with my selection today until I just noticed Brad Free gave it the curse. I've got some pretty strong opinions about race 7 going 1 and a quarter on the lawn.

jman5581 · #**144** 03-14-2007, 07:28 PM

I don't believe anyone has been eliminated today. As Chris Tucker would say, "Daaaaaaaaamn!!"

PPerfectfan · #**145** 03-15-2007, 01:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jman5581

I don't believe anyone has been eliminated today. As Chris Tucker would say, "Daaaaaaaaamn!!"

Gosh I love Chris Tucker. one funny dude. Congrats on Showviving another day!

SCUDSBROTHER · #**146** 03-15-2007, 05:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jman5581

I don't believe anyone has been eliminated today. As Chris Tucker would say, "Daaaaaaaaamn!!"

Ellis has been way off this meet,but this takes the cake.No way that filly should have been out there.Totally unprepared to run.Same for Datticus,and multiple times with Declan's Moon.He must have lost a key person in his barn.He better find somebody who knows what they are doing.Been a good trainer for a while now,but I have never seen him send so many flops out there.WTF is going on there? Better clean up his act,or the Fat Lady that owns JMS is gunna have to get somebody who knows that the horses atleast aren't gunna embarass her.

jman5581 · #**147** 03-15-2007, 08:53 AM

I didn't get to see the race, just the last few strides on the workout cam.

I like California Sky today in the first. In the second, Bit of Folly should get a piece of the money after a "freshening" but Barynya is the chalk.

Ron, we've come too far to go out in the 13th round.

i think Fete is going to be the most selected today, anybody else agree?

jman5581 · #**148** 03-15-2007, 09:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER

Ellis has been way off this meet...Been a good trainer for a while now,but I have never seen him send so many flops out there.WTF is going on there? Better clean up his act,or the Fat Lady that owns JMS is gunna have to get somebody who knows that the horses atleast aren't gunna embarass her.

LP3 and Siegel were discusssing yesterday how some of the "top" trainers %'s have been down this meet. They attributed it to field size.... a lot of the guys that normally are up around 15-20% are down in the 9-10% range.

SCUDSBROTHER · #**149** 03-15-2007, 12:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jman5581

LP3 and Siegel were discusssing yesterday how some of the "top" trainers %'s have been down this meet. They attributed it to field size.... a lot of the guys that normally are up around 15-20% are down in the 9-10% range.

That isn't the reason Ellis' percentage is down.He is sending horses out there that have no gas in the tank. That filly had nothing yesterday.Incredibly hard work to get 3rd.Seems like his wins at the meet have been from claims that he rested for a month or two,and then dropped down to get a win with.It wasn't that long ago that he was winning like at well over 50% clip at a Del Mar meet.No,this is weird.He has sent D. Moon out there with nothing.Sent Datticus out there (twice) with nothing.Sent this filly out there yesterday with nothing.This is highly atypical for this barn.

jman5581 · #**150** 03-15-2007, 12:55 PM

well hopefuly California Sky has a little gas in the tank for Doug O'Neill...just happy to get by yesterday having selected the chalk with 48% of contestants. Could have been ugly...

jman5581 · #**151** 03-15-2007, 03:01 PM

Screw it, I'm going with the Frankel horse in the 2nd race.

jman5581 · #**152** 03-15-2007, 06:56 PM

who all's still alive? Ron, you alive??

ArlJim78 · #**153** 03-15-2007, 07:09 PM

are both of "the men" alive today?

rontheman1964 · #**154** 03-15-2007, 07:26 PM

yep, still alive....had the Frankel / Gomez horse in the 2nd.....my ranking has dropped to #86....haven't had a winner for about 3 days...

......gonna be out of town for the weekend....hafta see if i can get internet access and stay alive....

ArlJim78 · #**155** 03-15-2007, 08:04 PM

Good deal! Frankel looks to have a sure thing in the second tomorrow, Price Tag.

jman5581 · #**156** 03-15-2007, 10:54 PM

alive, had that same horse, Barynya ("buryin' ya")

or however you say it.

jman5581 · #**157** 03-16-2007, 12:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

Good deal! Frankel looks to have a sure thing in the second tomorrow, Price Tag.

2/5 ML

jman5581 · #**158** 03-16-2007, 12:32 PM

Looking over the card, I would have to be dumb to try to beat either Price Tag or Idiot Proof, so I'll take the turfstress in the 2nd, Price Tag, to stay alive in Round 14. Ron, good luck to us this weekend. 142 players remaining...

nwaryas · #**159** 03-16-2007, 12:47 PM

Always look for the Sadler (hot trainer)/Gomez connections. This duo has been hot.

jman5581 · #**160** 03-16-2007, 03:54 PM

60% of showvivors are hanging their hopes on PRICE TAG....I'm with the crowd.
35% Idiot Proof