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#1
12-07-2007, 03:09 PM
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12/7: Delta Downs (Stakes Quad)
Fun evening of racing at Vinton, LA tonight with $1,000,000 Jackpot and at least two KY Derby slots the highlight.. Ran dry halfway through Hollywood P4 Thursday. Tonight's quad a tricky venture...
DELTA DOWNS 5th: Treasure Chest, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3) Best Value: #6 Game for More 6-1: Never off board this trip, oval.. 2nd Most Likely: #4 Coolwind 9-5: Gr. Stakes experienced but a big underlay.. WON Next Best: #5 Mykindofsaint 3-1: Cascio filly may be uncatchable here.. 4th 6th: Delta Princess, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, Super) Best Value: #7 Lady on Holiday 6-1: McPeek miss has been very professional.. 3rd Most Likely: #9 Sky Mom 2-1: Asmussen bay has slight class edge.. Next Best: #2 Miss Missle 6-1: Bay demolished local prep including next out winner.. 2nd Super Add: #8 By the Light 6-1: Dutrow predictably scary showing up here.. WON 7th: Sam's Town, 3+, 7f (P3) Best Value: #4 SCR Most Likely: #7 Thunder Mission 9-5: Amoss 5yo just missed FG opening stake score.. 2nd Next Best: #6 Jonesboro 8-5: Venerable Morse 5yo rarely misses a check.. WON 8th: 6th Delta Jackpot (Gr. III), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, Super) Best Value: #1 Betatron 10-1: Big shot and bargain anything close to ML.. 8th Most Likely: #6 Cave's Valley 6-1: Trombo colt may be really special; Adjusts to pace.. 7th Next Best: #7 Racecar Rhapsody 7-2: Late-running McPeek bay gets target to chase.. 4th Super Add: #2 Golden Yank 8-1: Undefeated Okie won prep; Fits near these.. 3rd <$50 P4 Play: 5: 4-5-6 6: 2-7-8-9 7: 7 8: 1-2-6-7 3x4x1x4 = $48 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 12-08-2007 at 06:17 AM. 
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#3
12-07-2007, 06:49 PM
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Delta Downs
R5 - Treasure Chest #4 Coolwind - Has the back class to handle this bunch. #2 Ruling Class - Two good races at DeD. #6 Game for More - Never off the board at DeD or distance. R6 - Delta Princess #8 By the Light - Nicely bred New Yorker is undefeated without really being challenged for Dutrow. #7 Lady On Holiday - Gets a better post and should have no problem with the extra distance. #10 Champagne Eyes - Cali invader for O'Neill is still a maiden, but can graduate here. #9 Sky Mom - Asmussen filly won the KyCupJuv at TP and made a nice account for her versus graded company. R7 Sam's Town Stakes #6 Jonesboro - Won his only start at DeD and brings a ton of back class to this affair. #7 Thunder Mission - Amoss tabs top local jock Gerard Melancon. 3rd in Thanksgiving Day Handicap at the FG. R8 - Delta Jackpot $1 Million #9 Turf War - Canadian invader failed at odds on in G3 Grey BC, but has the talent to take his picture in this event. As noted by Steve on the show, full brother to Grasshopper. #6 Cave's Valley - Trombetta runner is undefeated in 3 starts and is training well at LRL. #7 Racecar Rhapsody - Moving well late in G3 KyJockClub for McPeek, who won this race last year. #4 Z Humor - Rail and slop excuse in BC Juvy and should bounce back to Champagne effort. PK4 - 2 4 6 / 7 8 9 10 / 6 / 4 6 7 9 = $48 Good Racing Luck
__________________
Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them
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#4
12-07-2007, 06:59 PM
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ATR note... Hammerle gives out a push on the #1 Alina (10-1) in the Princess..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
12-07-2007, 07:59 PM
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Off from work until Sunday morning, looking to spend some of that fresh, hard earned greenback. Spendin cheddar in hopes to make more of it. Playing tonight at Delta with 2/3 of my account, saving the rest for Hollywood tomorrow. In Rafey I trust.
Race 8 1$ Pick 4 3,5,6 // 1,2,4,8 // 6 // 3,4,6 = 36$ 1$ superfecta 6 over 1,2,3,4 4 over 2,3,6,7 = 48$ 1$ trifecta 6 over 1,2,7 4 over 1,7,8 4 over 1 over 7 6 over 7 over 1 2$ trifecta 7 over 6 over 1 = 16$ Totaling a yard. Best of luck this weekend!!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#8
12-07-2007, 10:24 PM
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Cave's Valley, Z Humor/Cave's Valley, Z Humor, Racecar Rhapsody/Cave's Valley, Z Humor, Racecar Rhapsody, Betatron, Cudjo
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#9
12-07-2007, 10:43 PM
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just watching this one as a fan only , but after a look at the tote here I would box 34678 in an exacta and play an ALL with 3,8 exacta , as well as considering some tri's with that 8 horse st joe in the mix.
maybe see something like cave's valley out-gaming st.joe in my head , but this is pretty wide open.
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#11
12-07-2007, 10:53 PM
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wild race
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#12
12-07-2007, 10:56 PM
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maybe a dead heat
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#13
12-07-2007, 10:57 PM
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dead heat
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#14
12-07-2007, 10:58 PM
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Quote:
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#16
12-07-2007, 11:24 PM
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Bigs
Quote:
You playing Tampa tommorrow? Would love to see it! ...Gilbert
__________________
Eddie Mush was a degenerate gambler. He was also the biggest loser in the whole world. They called him Mush because everything he touched turned to mush. He would go to the racetrack and the teller would give him his tickets already ripped up."
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#18
12-08-2007, 02:41 AM
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Good grief - who dumped $5K in the win pool on the 1 horse in the 6th? 7th? race?
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"Have the clean racing people run any ads explaining that giving a horse a Starbucks and a chocolate poppyseed muffin for breakfast would likely result in a ten year suspension for the trainer?" - Dr. Andrew Roberts
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#20
12-08-2007, 06:10 AM
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Superb job by Gus not only using Turf War, but building the ticket... And once again, he and all P4 players that had that clever opinion, are screwed by ridiculous rules that deliver a common quad payoff instead of splitting it proportionately between those that had Z Humor and those that had Turf War.
Steve Crist has written about this repeatedly, and never has it been more clear than in this dead heat finish. The 3-2 favorite and 8th betting choices are inseperable at the wire and no matter which one you had the payoff was $127.60 ($2). Outrageous... The parlay to Bill Mott's winner, off at $1.50-1 was about $60. Those that found Mark Casse's brother of Grasshopper appealing at $39.70-1 were scheduled for a $950.00 P4 reward based on the parlay. And based on the seperately paid P3 prices, it likely was much, much more. The P3 pools? $31.80 to Z Humor; $402.40 to Turf War. How is it possible that in an era where the computerized pools can track anything, that those that took less risk betting to Turf War in P3's are rewarded three times greater than those that risked, and spent, more betting to Turf War in P4's? Yet another insult to those that put money through the windows. Feel compelled to write about this in a column. More after I figure out the math.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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