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  #81  
Old 06-19-2008, 10:15 PM
DogsUp DogsUp is offline
Detroit Race Course
 
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I wonder if Big Brown will handle the sythetic surface at Santa Anita. I could be wrong, but didn't he win a couple of races on turf? And I guess there might be some connection between success on turf and success on a synthetic surface.
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  #82  
Old 06-19-2008, 10:36 PM
parsixfarms parsixfarms is offline
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Let him go to Monmouth. The Travers would probably be a better race without him.
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  #83  
Old 06-19-2008, 10:42 PM
ELA ELA is offline
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Monmouth to me has always been a take the good with the bad meet. I really like the facility. I always do well there. I enjoy it. However, as great as my horses have run -- the track condition has always been an issue and is something you have to deal with.

If you understand the bias, how the track is playing, etc. -- you deal with it. I got that. But the track condition in the mornings, along with the afternoons, can have a major impact on your horses.

Eric
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  #84  
Old 06-19-2008, 10:47 PM
pgardn
 
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There are more than a few people who said
after the race, more than a day after the race,
SOMETHING HAD TO BE WRONG. And they would
find it.
So now apparently what was wrong was deep track...

At Belmont time we had a horse running with a quarter
crack, that was laboring badly when asked, and filly who
had died at Churchill. The media was all over racing.
Kent pulls the horse up when Brown does not move.
Whats he thinking with his "super horse". I might be thinking,
"OMG this horse has something very wrong, I better take
it easy. What are the repercussions of running the horse
through to the finish line full bore and find an injury after."

I dont blame Kent for this at all.
Who on the board posted or thought
something had to be wrong (medically) with Brown right
after the race...

And now people come back and say the horse is done.
The horse performed very poorly. I find it hard to just
pronounce the horse as done.

What exactly is wrong with him? Was he the only horse
to run all 3 legs of the TC? Seems Belmont was pretty darn
hot that day also.

Last edited by pgardn : 06-19-2008 at 10:57 PM.
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  #85  
Old 06-19-2008, 11:02 PM
RolloTomasi's Avatar
RolloTomasi RolloTomasi is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pgardn
And now people come back and say the horse is done.
The horse performed very poorly. I find it hard to just
pronounce the horse as done.

What exactly is wrong with him? Was he the only horse
to run all 3 legs of the TC? Seems Belmont was pretty darn
hot that day also.
Didn't you just get done saying he had a quarter crack?
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  #86  
Old 06-19-2008, 11:16 PM
pgardn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
Didn't you just get done saying he had a quarter crack?
Apparently that was not a problem.

No problem with that after the race.
I read nothing about it.

Now this problem would go through my head during
the race if I was Kent D.after all the press at the Derby(8 belles)
and during the Belmont when Brown did not move
as before.
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  #87  
Old 06-19-2008, 11:21 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pgardn
Apparently that was not a problem.

No problem with that after the race.
I read nothing about it.

Now this problem would go through my head during
the race if I was Kent D.after all the press at the Derby(8 belles)
and during the Belmont when Brown did not move
as before.
his foot hurt him due to the fact that he lost training time. basically, he was a short horse that day. i read he had one work between the derby and the belmont. his fitness level dropped.
pg, you run-just think if you didn't train for the weeks prior to a race. you're still in shape, but you're not racing fit. how would you do?
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  #88  
Old 06-19-2008, 11:30 PM
pgardn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
his foot hurt him due to the fact that he lost training time. basically, he was a short horse that day. i read he had one work between the derby and the belmont. his fitness level dropped.
pg, you run-just think if you didn't train for the weeks prior to a race. you're still in shape, but you're not racing fit. how would you do?
If my expert trainer told me I was fit.

Dutrow kinda of made some sense saying the horse
was still in very good shape and the extra time (Preakness-Belmont)
gave them far more training options. They would adjust accordingly.

I would expect the heat had to be a factor also.

So when Brown returns in the Haskell on a faster track and most
likely a lower temp., we should expect the same dominant horse?
Or the others have a chance to mature and catch up? Or the others
are so bad its a horse out of the blue?

Or... and I think this is what many think, he was off the roids,
so he did not run well. And he may have had his roid spurt and its over.
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  #89  
Old 06-19-2008, 11:34 PM
pgardn
 
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Z he galloped and such. He just had one sharpening workout.
For humans this might make sense for a longer race upcoming.
"Forget the interval (speed)work, lets just do some endurance
work"
I dont know how it works for horses though.
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  #90  
Old 06-19-2008, 11:36 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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didn't work too well for him.
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  #91  
Old 06-19-2008, 11:46 PM
pgardn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
didn't work too well for him.
Do you think he has been exposed and is done?
That it is more than he was not in shape.

Or you think he lost training...With a bit of rest,
and back to work, he dominates again?

I personally still see a very good delicate horse.(hoof-wise)
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  #92  
Old 06-19-2008, 11:46 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pgardn
Apparently that was not a problem.

No problem with that after the race.
I read nothing about it.

Now this problem would go through my head during
the race if I was Kent D.after all the press at the Derby(8 belles)
and during the Belmont when Brown did not move
as before.
The foot is still by far the most likely culprit for the poor performance. That was a bad quarter crack. Just because it doesn't bother him when he gallops or even works, that does not mean that it won't bother him when is all-out in a race.

By the way, I don't buy the argument that the lack of training hurt the horse. He hardly did anything between the Derby and Preakness and he still ran great in the Preakness. He only galloped 4 days between the Derby and Preakness. He jogged the other days and he never worked between the Derby and Preakness. The horse probably did more between the Preakness and Belmont than he did between the Derby and Preakness. When you are running for the 3rd time in 5 weeks, you don't need to do much training.

I will still be somewhat surprised if that horse runs again. We will see if that foot holds up or not.
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  #93  
Old 06-20-2008, 12:00 AM
pgardn
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I can only hope and pray people think this. I also hope that those same people bet a lot, because IMO that idea is pretty silly. I realize you are just throwing it out there, but anyone thinking Big brown's performance in the Belmont was due to him not getting his Winstrol shot are idiots.
I have seen how much healthier this stuff(Winstrol) and Equipose make debilitated horses improve health wise. I just have no idea what effect it has on animals that are already healthy. (Rupert and I sort of discussed our lack of knowing exactly what it might do)
Both are of course illegal for humans on the track and other sports.
And next year all these testosterone derivatives will be tested for randomly in male and female athletes in all sports in Texas. They would detect both of the above if taken by humans. (Equipose is advertised for humans in body building frequently)
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  #94  
Old 06-20-2008, 12:01 AM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pgardn
If my expert trainer told me I was fit.

Dutrow kinda of made some sense saying the horse
was still in very good shape and the extra time (Preakness-Belmont)
gave them far more training options. They would adjust accordingly.

I would expect the heat had to be a factor also.

So when Brown returns in the Haskell on a faster track and most
likely a lower temp., we should expect the same dominant horse?
Or the others have a chance to mature and catch up? Or the others
are so bad its a horse out of the blue?

Or... and I think this is what many think, he was off the roids,
so he did not run well. And he may have had his roid spurt and its over.
We don't know that he was really off the steroids. When Dutrow mentioned that the horse was on steroids, there was a big backlash. I think the backlash surprised Dutrow since steroids are legal. So then he said that he wouldn't give the horse steroids any more. He might have just been talking to get people to shut-up.

One of my trainers is friendly with Dutrow and talks to him all the time. Now this trainer never talked to Dutrow about whether Big Brown was still getting his steroids or not. But this trainer told me that he would be shocked if BB did not get his regular steroid shot before the Belmont. He said, "Dutrow gives all of his horses steroids. Everything Dutrow had done with Big Brown seemed to be working. The horse won the first two legs of the Triple Crown. Do you really think the guy is going to change his routine while he's trying to win the Triple Crown?"

I'm not saying that he did give the horse steroids after the Derby. I have no idea. But considering that most people don't believe many of the things that come out of Dutrow's mouth, I don't know why you guys would believe him on this. If I had to bet at even money whether the horse got his regualr steroid dose after the Derby, I would bet that he did. I think there is at least a 50% chance that Dutrow was just trying to shut everyone up about it.
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  #95  
Old 06-20-2008, 12:12 AM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
You make a good point. I'm no trainer or vet, but it seemed like his performance was due to a number of things, most notably the foot. I do however think we'll see him again, only because I think they have to run him more to assure some more money in the shed.
I think they want to run him and I think they will run him if they can. But if the quarter crack gets any worse, they're not going to be able to run him.

I am no expert on quarter cracks and there are certainly different opinions out there. But the trainer that I trust the most, took one look at that quarter crack and told me that the horse will need six months off and he didn't see how quarter crack could possibly be healed in 2 months.
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  #96  
Old 06-20-2008, 12:21 AM
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RolloTomasi RolloTomasi is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
You make a good point. I'm no trainer or vet, but it seemed like his performance was due to a number of things, most notably the foot. I do however think we'll see him again, only because I think they have to run him more to assure some more money in the shed.
That's the conundrum. If he runs again this year, it will be a bit difficult to "throw-out" the Belmont from his PPs, if you assume it was the quarter crack that did him in.

It will be interesting to see if the Haskell gets tailored to provide Big Brown with a paid public workout or if it attracts a full field of horses looking to knock him off again.
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  #97  
Old 06-20-2008, 07:58 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
The foot is still by far the most likely culprit for the poor performance. That was a bad quarter crack. Just because it doesn't bother him when he gallops or even works, that does not mean that it won't bother him when is all-out in a race.

By the way, I don't buy the argument that the lack of training hurt the horse. He hardly did anything between the Derby and Preakness and he still ran great in the Preakness. He only galloped 4 days between the Derby and Preakness. He jogged the other days and he never worked between the Derby and Preakness. The horse probably did more between the Preakness and Belmont than he did between the Derby and Preakness. When you are running for the 3rd time in 5 weeks, you don't need to do much training.

I will still be somewhat surprised if that horse runs again. We will see if that foot holds up or not.
from bloodhorse:

'Remember, the quarter crack came after a week of little activity, so he went 17 days following the Preakness without working.'

'...missed days and having only one easy breeze in three weeks '

'Dutrow worked Big Brown twice in five weeks after the colt won the Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (gr. I): a two-furlong work at Pimlico in :25.40 on the morning of the Preakness (gr. I)—a race, not incidentally, in which his Beyer Speed Figure plunged to 100 after reaching a Kentucky Derby high of 109—and a five-furlong move in a minute flat, breezing, four days before the Belmont.'

he tailed off. dutrow is used to having long breaks between races for his horses, and seemingly panicked-by not wanting to tire his horse, he then took it too easy. i think that's why he pointed the finger so harshly at desormeaux, he wanted to deflect attention away from himself.
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  #98  
Old 06-20-2008, 08:17 AM
Antitrust32 Antitrust32 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pgardn
Apparently that was not a problem.

No problem with that after the race.
I read nothing about it.

Now this problem would go through my head during
the race if I was Kent D.after all the press at the Derby(8 belles)
and during the Belmont when Brown did not move
as before.

Just because you read nothing about it does not mean there was not a problem with it......
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  #99  
Old 06-20-2008, 08:20 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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So, am I the only one excited that Kip Deville is deviating from his ambitious three race scheduling and running in the Poker in a few weeks at Belmont?
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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  #100  
Old 06-20-2008, 08:21 AM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
So, am I the only one excited that Kip Deville is deviating from his ambitious three race scheduling and running in the Poker in a few weeks at Belmont?
i hope it doesn't take too much out of him, and he misses the bc...
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