8/2: Saratoga (Day 10); 60-P6

Kasept · #1 08-02-2008, 04:13 AM

Excluded two plausible horses from early and late P4's respectively Friday which cost $3,000 ($2,300/$787). Pat Kelly's Weekwee (8-1), who was hustled to the event by the racing office to get a full field of 8, broke her maiden in the last stride collaring the 3-2 single Afleet Aya. Luck Money was a classic first lasix Euro 'Mystery Horse' from Pletcher that won the Majestic Light at 5-2 over Prussian. The best play on the day came especially in the 6th where on top 'Best Value' tab Final Refrain paid $19.00 and keyed the $32.00 exacta (Jibboom) and $101.50 tri (Queen Joanne). Hope you did well!

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Fun way to start the day..

Most Likely: #3 Mogul Man 3-1
Best Value: #6 Riz Sauvage 30-1
Next Best: #7 Cinder Cone 10-1
Super Add: #2 Hall of Famer 9-2

2nd: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Nowhere to Hide 4-1
Best Value: #3 Keeping the Honor 15-1
Next Best: #4 Viscount 8-1

3rd: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 I'm So Lucky 8-5
Best Value: #3 Sale Pending 8-1
Next Best: #7 On Board Again 2-1

4th: The Flanders, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Lovely Isle 5-2
Best Value: #3 SCR
Next Best: #7 Irish Smoke 9-2
Super Add: #6 More Happy 3-1

5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 BIGGERBADDERBETTER 8-1
Most Likely: #8 True Dancer 3-1
Next Best: #2 Perfect Bullet 6-1
Super Add: #4 Blazing Dynamo 5-1

@$50 P4 Play:

2: 3-4-6
3: 3-6-7
4: 5-6-7
5: 3-8

3x3x3x2 = $54

60 MINUTE P6

A) SAR 6th (3:37): NYB-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Murderously tough start to the 60-6.. Few are without chance here.. Watch board for clues, but doubt even that helps here.. Toner's firster (#8 Bullstar) is the curious ML favorite who you can include in the multis as a cover, but is hard to embrace strongly as win candidate against several more experienced runners..

Most Likely: #1 SCR
Best Value: #6 Stoliatsiros 12-1
Next Best: #9 Can't Buy Love 5-1
Super Add: #5 Pano's Love 6-1

B) MTH 7th (3:50): NJ-bred MSW, 3+, 1m-70y (P4, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Twisted Heart 4-1
Best Value: #9 Hav'n a Fog Attack 20-1
Next Best: #3 Refuge 4-1
Super Add: #8 Heartbreakin Love 7-2

C) DEL 8th (3:56): 3+, 5f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 SCR
Most Likely: #7 SCR
Next Best: #6 X Rated Cat

D) PHA 9th (4:02): OC/N3X, 3+, 6f

ML fave #7 Mobo is a BIG play against as a regression candidate..

Most Likely: #2 Spirit of Gulch 3-1
Next Best: #3 Night Stand 5-1
Best Value: #1e Vaders entry 6-1 (#1 Talkisfree ONLY)

E) SAR 7th (4:09): ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 COMPROMISE 8-5
Best Value: #2 Quasicobra 12-1
Next Best: #7 Shive's Success 8-1

F) MTH 8th (4:20): The Colleen, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3)

Most Likely: #1 Fools in Love 3-1
Next Best: #4 Love That Dance 3-1
Best Value #8 During Deputy 8-1

<$200 60-6 Play:

A: 5-6-7-8-9-11
B: 3-4-8-9
C: 2-6
D: 2-3
E: 5
F: 1-4

6x4x2x2x1x2 = $192

8th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5fT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Heather's Angel 2-1
Best Value: #6 Zip by You 6-1
Next Best: #4 Catty Madeline 5-1
Super Add: #9 Mercy's Delight 30-1

.10 SUPER PLAY: Key 10 over 1-4-6-9-11-12 (1x6x5x4 = 120 x .10 = $12.00)

9th: ALW/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 National Pride 2-1
Best Value: #7 The Darp 6-1
Next Best: #3 West Express 4-1
Super Add: #1 Super Shape 15-1

10th: 93rd Test (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Indian Blessing 3-5
Best Value: #1 Tequilas Dayjur 15-1
Next Best: #2 Palanka City 8-1

11th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super)

What a way to close out the day. Absolutely nuts finale.. The "Sore Horse Derby".. Check back to see if scratches impact selections with 4 on the AE list..

Most Likely: #7 More Than Coolin 7-2
Best Value: #2 Felinefelon 8-1
Next Best: #10 Artytheonemanparty 15-1
Super Add: #5 SCR

<$50 P4 Play:

8: 10 (1-4-6-9)
9: 4
10: (1) 2-6
11: 2-3-7-10

CORE: 1x1x3x5 = 15 x $2 = $30
BACKUP: 4x1x1x5 = $20
TOTAL: $55

<$50 BACKUP P3 (9-10-11):

9: 1-3-7
10: 1-2-6
11: 2-3-7-10

3x3x4 = $36

Good luck!
Steve

swedejxn · #2 08-02-2008, 06:43 AM

An eye to the sky ... at 7:45 am Eastern... decent batch of showers with an embedded heavy t-storm due in SPA area in 2-3 hours. The heavy storm capable of an inch of rain...

Bogey · #3 08-02-2008, 07:07 AM

Steve, According to DRF.com Legs C & D in the 60min6 need to be switched. The 60min6 website has it the other way.

DRF.com

Philadelphia Park - R9 - Post Time - 3:50pm eastern
Delaware Park - R8 - Post Time - 3:54pm eastern

The discrepancy is with the start time for Philly's Race 9. - 3:50pm or 4:06pm?

The sequence is tough enough.

Kasept · #4 08-02-2008, 07:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by swedejxn

An eye to the sky ... at 7:45 am Eastern... decent batch of showers with an embedded heavy t-storm due in SPA area in 2-3 hours. The heavy storm capable of an inch of rain...

Willie,

You forgot to include the hail possibility...

Day could fall apart quickly. And there's was big a.m. Influx of patrons too. A tad frustrating to be honest.

Bogey · #5 08-02-2008, 07:23 AM

According to Equibase the start time for the Philly race is 3:50pm eastern. What a mess

herkhorse · #6 08-02-2008, 07:27 AM

Storms beginning to roll in here already... 60 mi. west of Saratoga

Kasept · #7 08-02-2008, 08:02 AM

Will call Sal Sinatra at Philly Park for definitive sched.

Kasept · #8 08-02-2008, 08:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

Will call Sal Sinatra at Philly Park for definitive sched.

Correct as laid out above.

SAR 6
MTH 7
DEL 8
PHA 9
SAR 7
MTH 7

Jersey Shore also expecting rough weather according to Sinatra. Philly and DelPark to be spared.

Bogey · #9 08-02-2008, 08:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept

Correct as laid out above.

SAR 6
MTH 7
DEL 8
PHA 9
SAR 7
MTH 7

Jersey Shore also expecting rough weather according to Sinatra. Philly and DelPark to be spared.

Thanks Steve, I stand corrected and will adjust may sequence.