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Old 08-06-2008, 12:03 AM
wac wac is offline
Aqueduct
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 616
Default My Saratoga picks 8/6

Let me first start off by saying that im relatively new to racing so im sure that there are many out there much more skilled then me. I capped tomm cards and am trying to get at least one horse in each race that i think will run better the its odds and hit the board or maybe even win. This is what ive come up with and why:

1)1-Clay county Odd race to start off i know he is 5 and only raced one time but at least he was competitive in the race and i think he has room to improve. m/l fav just loss a 15k when favored. seems to be training pretty good and trainer hs some usefull stats.

2)10-westward Go Good race im hoping that the early speed duel happens b/t 2,5,9 but who knows like the fact that horse has been able to close into some decent fractions and JR riding pretty good right now. Trainer due for some luck on T

3)4-Vicarious think that the 2 will probably win but the 4 has run "ok" on the dirt for this group and trainer 10% TtD. something that jumped out at me probably incorrectly is that cornelio is riding the horse and he and this trainer have had some luck together so maybe they can make it hapen.

4)4-Sol a Pino this looks to be a pretty tough race to figure out but i'l go with billy mott of the bench. He hasnt won to many races so i figure he is due with a horse that has thrown up pretty similar numbers on the T to everyone else except the Frankle thus he's 8-5. Will also try to sell the boss man on the 7 as well.

5)2-yes im clever,5-madison heights,8-thats a good thing. didn't do to good fo a job weeding this race down and still may not a live horse named.the 2 is born to be a sprinter, 5 pretty good trainer and jock combo with ok works,8 asmussen horse was with the pressure at CD and won only to get dq'ed.

6)3-driven by success not a great race but trainer does good with cutbacks horse always seems in the mix. Will try to get him to throw in the 1 as well.as its noted he blew the jump and made up a ton of ground.

7)7-Kensei, this looks like a pretty tough race to figure out as i think there are numerious horses that can win but i'll go with the assmussen 1ster with bridgmahon riding. greeley 11% w ftr. i know the 4 will be the fav and probably should win but im just trying to get a decent number to hit the board for my friend.

8)1-Belle's home and 6 tourism belles home showed some good speed pace pressure and was able to get home but distance may be a question? i just like the 6 for the 2nd time on T angle as he won that race and prado gets back on board

9)3-Gold Vendetta- sprinter going to a route but doesnt run like a sprinter "seems" to have some ability to quicken up. i know cannonball will be the big fav but his trainer said that he may be a better turf sprinter but he may be so much better it doesn't matter.


Well there it is i didn't do last race bc im exhausted. LIke i said im doing this for a friend up there tomm and im not saying i think these horses are gonna win but i think they may run a little bit better then there odds are gonna be and may hit the board and hlep him wiht an ex, tri, super stuff like that. I would appreciate any input on the selections on why you think its good or bad as i stated earlier just kinda getting my feet wet. thanks
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  #2  
Old 08-06-2008, 12:35 PM
MISTERGEE MISTERGEE is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: MIAMI
Posts: 1,978
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nice job, hope you do well
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