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#1
08-13-2008, 06:32 AM
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8/13: Saratoga (Week 3- $55k C/O)
First half of meet ended Monday with another messy slopfest card featuring 4 off turf events. Next three weeks figure to provide better scenario given the Alabama, Travers and Woodward Saturdays and an increasingly improving weather forecast. Enjoyed a more-than-solid initial 18 days (17 really), and hope you're doing well at the midpoint of this unusual Spa session. Week 3 starts with an excellent quality card and $55,200 carryover that looks very tough. Weather calls fot OK day with slight chance of isolated t-storm. Rain yesterday may move the 2 non-MSW grass races off the turf, but we'll see about that as soon as we get to the track around 7am.
SARATOGA RACE COURSE ALL SCHEDULED GRASS RACES ARE OFF THE TURF PRE-SCRATCHES 1st: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 5.5f (P3, DD) OFF THE TURF Most Likely: #1 SCR Best Value: #5 Weekwee 15-1 2nd Next Best: #7 C. T. Phone Home 4-1 WON Exotics Use: #6 Odetta One 12-1 3rd $1 Exacta (7-5) Paid $20.50 $1 Trifecta (7-5-6) Paid $84.50 2nd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Celestial Diamond 3-1 5th Best Value: #1 Capt. Candyman Can 12-1 WON ($40.80) Next Best: #4 Laver 2-1 4th Exotics Use: #2 SCR $1 Daily Double (7-1) Paid $70.25 3rd: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Fearless Vision 2-1 6th Best Value: #4 Loose Leaf 8-1 WON ($22.00) Next Best: #2 Extreme Supreme 6-1 3rd $2 Pick 3 (7-1-4) 3 Correct Paid $584.50 $1 Daily Double (1-4) Paid $206.00 4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD) OFF THE TURF 1.) #4 Silver Reunion 6-1 WON ($10.80) 2.) #6 Jehan 5-1 3rd 3.) #8 Ain't Love Grand 8-1 2nd $1 Exacta (4-8) Paid $16.60 $1 Trifecta (4-8-6) Paid $36.75 $1 Pick 3 (1-4-4) 3 Correct Paid $1,357.50 $1 Daily Double (4-4) Paid $55.25 5th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD) This is some way to open a P6.. Utterly impossible collection of what-not.. Watch board before submitting your play.. Most Likely: #3 Tactical Discovery 5-1 10th Best Value: #9 Uno Royale 15-1 6th Next Best: #8 Who Plays Brahms 8-1 3rd Exotics Use: #10 Spina 10-1 WON ($36.60) $1 Pick 3 (4-4-10) 3 Correct Paid $717.00 $2 Daily Double (4-10) Paid $76.25 <$75 P4 Play: 2: 1-2-4-6 3: 2-4-5 4: 4 5: 1-2-3-8-9-10 4x3x1x6 = $72 $1 Pick 4 (1-4-4-10) 4 Correct Paid $11,859.00 6th: CLM, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD, Super) OFF THE TURF 1.) #2b Bill Place 12-1 2nd 2.) #14 Take the Bluff 8-1 WON 3.) #5 Role Play 20-1 4th $1 Exacta (14-2) Paid $10.80 $1 Pick 3 (4-10-14) 3 Correct Paid $407.50 $1 Daily Double (10-14) Paid $109.50 7th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #9 Sneakin Up 3-1 6th Next Best: )#7 Speed Dating 4-1 4th Best Value: #10 SCR-Late Super Add: #1e Pletcher entry 7-2 3rd $1 Consolation Pick 3 (10-14-10) Paid $105.50 8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD) A Gr. III quality event.. Terrific betting race.. Most Likely: #6 Premium Wine 2-1 WON Best Value: #1e Badgett entry 8-1 3rd/4th Next Best: #5 Shone 10-1 5th Exotics Use: #2e Levine entry 4-1 6th 9th: 92nd Adirondack (Gr. II), 2yo-F, 6.5f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Bold Union 5-2 4th Best Value: #8 Mani Bhavan 5-1 WON Next Best: #4 Simplify 4-1 5th Super Add: #6 Garden District 3-1 6th 10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m (Super) OFF THE TURF 1. #9 Castle Harbour 5-2 7th 2. #4 All the Way Home 12-1 6th 3. #14 Little Wise Guy 5-1 WON $1 Pick 3 (6-8-14) 3 Correct Paid $60.75 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-3-7-9-10 8: 1-2-5-6 9: 2 10: 1-9-14-15 5x4x1x4 = $80 $250 P6 Play: 5: 3-9 6: 2-14 7: 3-7-9-10 8: 1-6 9: 2 10: 1-4-9-14 2x2x4x2x1x4 = 128 x $2 = $256 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 08-14-2008 at 06:45 AM. 
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#2
08-13-2008, 10:33 AM
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It's OFF the turf, according to NYRA.com.. sigh...
__________________
Alcohol, the cause and solution to all of life's problems. -Homer Simpson
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#3
08-13-2008, 10:58 AM
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#5
08-13-2008, 11:15 AM
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Hey there's still a few weekends left. Positive thoughts guys lulz.
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#6
08-13-2008, 11:40 AM
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Quote:
If I wanted that, I would just focus on California races. 
__________________
Alcohol, the cause and solution to all of life's problems. -Homer Simpson
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#7
08-13-2008, 11:49 AM
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Changes -
R1) 1 Skipping Class Early
1A Smartgabrielle Early 2B Jocassee Early 3 Maggie's Miracle Early 3X Demaliat Early 8 Our Montana Dream Early R2) 2 Pop Artist Early R4) 1 (poe) Platinum Girl Early 2 (poe) Dynaslew Early 3 Palmeto Princess (ARG) Early 5 Americas Dreaming (IRE) Early 7 Warm Shower Early R6) 1 L'Oiseau d'Argent Early NO SUPERFECTA; NO TRIFECTA 1A Forget the Judge Early 2 (poe) Terrific Storm Early 4 Real Quality Early 7 Certain Circles Early 8 Bon Marie Early 9 Dr Rico Early 10 Rio Mistico (CHI) Early 11 Big Bold Place Early 12 Rock Lobster Early 13 Mr. Madison Early R7) 1A Anjorie Early 8 Alexandra's Halo Early R8) 2B Callmetony Early 4 Diamond Isle Early R10) 1A Pegasian Early NO SUPERFECTA 2 Mail Heroics Early 3 Winloc's Saint Ray Early 6 Marra Marra Early 7 Subversive Action Early 8 Quite Apt Early 10 Look Now Early 13 Coaltown Legend Early 15 El Tamberito Early JOCKEY CHANGES Race Program # Horse Changes R6) 14 Take the Bluff Rajiv Maragh MISCELLANEOUS CHANGES Race Program # Horse Changes R5) 5 Gossip Gil BLINKERS ON
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#8
08-13-2008, 11:57 AM
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Look at those scratches. They should just cancel.
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#9
08-13-2008, 12:55 PM
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#10
08-13-2008, 01:34 PM
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4th race: Did anyone else find it interesting that Pletcher started with two horses (before scratches) and neither had Velazquez who was suppose to ride the Penna horse. Just thought that a bit odd.
Spyder
__________________
Don't sweat the petty things and don't pet the sweaty things.
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#12
08-13-2008, 02:15 PM
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Back to Back Best Value Plays 19-1 and 8-1.
Hope you're crushing it! Ravel hit the wall on the turn, yikes.
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#13
08-13-2008, 02:15 PM
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And follows it up w/ 10-1 Best Value play in the 3rd - early p3 pays 584 for a buck! Well Done, Steve!!
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#17
08-13-2008, 03:17 PM
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#19
08-13-2008, 03:20 PM
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__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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