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#1
09-18-2008, 08:31 AM
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9/18: Belmont (4th-9th)
Left irksome Peleliu off the P4 ticket opener Wednesday, while running 2nd-3rd-4th-5th. That came ahead of three straight on top winners, and while the Quad was just $104.50+ ($1), I was still upset that I made the wrong call regarding the wire job frontrunner. Upon second glance, the first off the claim Persaud grey was more dangerous as nearly lone speed than perceived.
The day wasn't lost though, as I was able to offer up a juicy bingo in the feature when "Most Likely" Blitzen Too and "Next Best" Absolute Heaven did their job 1-2 and 45-1 "Exotics Use" Western Slang morphed the triple into a $214.50 score for each dollar ($429.00 for $2). Hope you did OK... Absolutely terrific Thursday card at Belmont... Deep and challenging fields with superior horseflesh and serious race conditions including 3 ALW's, a state bred turf sprint stake, MSW lawn route and a mind-numbingly deep $25k/N3L at 1 mile on the main. Should be fun! BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES Intriguing maiden event, and among those being left out are Baffert's Indian Blessing's brother (#3 Spaniard) moving to lawn, and 15-1 Hennig firster (#5 Awesome Mich) whose dam hit '02 Schylerville board and got good on turf at 4.. 4th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD) Best Value: #7 Indy World 12-1: Seewald clever; colt OK for lawn.. 11th Most Likely: #1e Pletcher entry 2-1: More/Ready firster + solid debuting barnmate.. 2nd/7th Next Best: #8 Pynaformer 4-1 9th Exotics Use: #11 Prince of Wealth 12-1 10th 5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD) Tricky read here with ML fave #2 Cool Tales (5-2) a bit of a mystery. J. Jerkens wheels back in a week and jumps a condition with mud and turf flops in rear view mirror off break. Always gets bet and looks tough to embrace having faced mediocrities even in his good races.. Most Likely: #4 Defrereoftheheart 9-2 WON ($15.60) Best Value: #1a (POE) Flash of Victory 6-1 2nd Next Best: #5 No More Green 3-1 3rd Exotics Use: #8 Ship's Piano 4-1 7th $1 Exacta (4-1) Paid $48.00 $1 Trifecta (4-1-5) Paid $156.00 6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super) SCR #5 Ballast 5-1 Most Likely: #3 Al Basha 7-2: Wasn't 100% for West Point try.. WON ($8.30) Best Value: #1 Whata Ya Mean 15-1: Tired in Travers Day comebacker.. 7th Next Best: #10 Pick Six 8-1 4th Super Add: #8 Gran Estreno 30-1 3rd (at 35-1!) 7th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #1 Success Fee 7-2 WON ($9.50) Most Likely: #9 Coastal Drive 2-1 2nd Next Best: #6 Borrowing Limit 3-1 7th Super Add: #5 See More Spirit 30-1 4th $1 Pick 3 (4/3/1) Paid $177.75 8th: The Jack Better Be Right, NYB-3yo F, 6f-IT (DD) Best Value: #3 LOST WITHOUT YOU 5-1 WON-DQ'd to 2nd Most Likely: #1e Rice entry 3-1 2nd, put up to WIN Next Best: #6 Remarkable Remy 7-2 3rd $1 Exacta (1-3) Paid $8.10 $1 Trifecta (1-3-6) Paid $17.70 $1 Pick 3 (3-1-1) 3 Correct Paid $53.25 9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super) Fanstastic, wide open ALW to end a real day of racing.. Most Likely: #3 Baletti 3-1 5th Best Value: #1 Baronial 15-1 9th Next Best: #7 Mr. Sidney 9-2 WON ($7.80) Super Add: #8 Valtrus 8-1 4th; #5 Rogue Victory 6-1 7th <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-3 7: 1-6-9 8: 1-3 9: 1-3-5-7-8-11 2x3x2x6 = $72 $1 Pick 4 (3/1/1,4,7/7,9,13) Paid $367.00 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 09-18-2008 at 05:47 PM. 
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#2
09-18-2008, 11:17 AM
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LMAO.... I was hoping to get some guidance on the 9th.... instead I find the form peppered with bird shot.... but I came up with same 5 or 6....lol
__________________
I feel sorry for people who don't drink. They wake up in the morning and that's the best they are going to feel all day. Frank Sinatra
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#4
09-18-2008, 01:43 PM
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Two absolutely perfect trips in a row and now she steps up in class. She's up against it.
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#5
09-18-2008, 02:00 PM
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The scratch of Canadian Ballet changes the pace scenario here quite a bit, but I'm quite content to anticipate successful runs from horses like Lost Without You regularly.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#6
09-18-2008, 02:22 PM
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#9
09-18-2008, 03:27 PM
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 Always feels particularly good getting it right when excluding a horse (Cool Tales) you find suspect as chalk.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#10
09-18-2008, 03:39 PM
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My horizontal plays for the day:
P4: 1,3,4,10 / 1,6,9 / 3,6 / 35 P3's starting in R7: 1,3,7,9 / 1,6 / 3,5 and 1,4,9 / 3,6 / 3,5,6,8,10,11 and 1,3,6,7,9 / 1,3,6 / 5 $118 total...R9 vertical plays to come. GL all!!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#11
09-18-2008, 04:17 PM
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steve on fire!
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#12
09-18-2008, 05:09 PM
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Taking a shot with the balance in my account, so hopefully, I hit these or the P3's or else my weekend wagers will be VERY limited. Will be at Pha for The Cottilion with a few buddies.
$1 tri key 5 in all 3 spots with 1,3,8,10 and key again with 3,7,11 $4 tri 3,5 with 3,5 with 8,10,11 $5 ex box 5 with 3,8 $5 ex box 1,5 $14 to WIN on 5 $122 total, which leaves my account bone dry @ .40 cents. Need a winner, winner, chicken dinner!! GL all!!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#15
09-18-2008, 05:34 PM
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Nice job on the P4 Steve!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#17
09-18-2008, 05:48 PM
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 any plans for B.C. party? only a few weeks away.P.S. the Chiefs are awful!  and so are the Seahawks ! 
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
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#19
09-18-2008, 05:55 PM
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It's kind of funny...I got knocked out of two pools in two weeks. It was dumb for me to pick the stinking Chiefs, but after watching Oakland the week before I thought they'd be a sure winner. Oh well! Yes, BC party at Tom's again this year.......................JUST Bring the EARPLUGS because you know who will be there. 
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#20
09-18-2008, 06:26 PM
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Nice work w/the P4 SLB.
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