Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 01-08-2009, 07:49 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 1/8: Gulfstream (P4); Santa Anita (C/O)

Had all 6 winners somewhere in selections for the Aqueduct Carryover Wednesday, but going 4 of 6 on the $144 play shows why the workable series produced an overlay return of $20,000+. While it wasn't hard to identify likely winners, it was quite a bit more challenging to build a ticket that included them all... My 3rd choice won 4 of the races, while the 2nd choice won the other pair. That wasn't good enough for the sextet, but it was OK for catching nearly a 5-1 return the $240 Late P4 ($54 play after an early scratch in R6). Hope you did well...

Potentially important 3yo ALW's at Gulfstream today (6th/8th), and the P4 is exceedingly tough. $100,000 Santa Anita carryover may be the play... Both below.


GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N$Y, 3yo, 9f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Free Country 4-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Pressure Point 6-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Stormallory 7-2 6th
Super Add: #3 Sincero 6-1 5th


7th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Ballast 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Just as Well 6-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Jamaludin 4-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Gaelic Storm 20-1 9th


8th: ALW/N$Y, 3yo, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Idol Maker 5-2 4th
Best Value: #8 They're Late 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Danger to Society 4-1 WON
Super Add: #5 A. P. Cardinal 6-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (2-5) Paid $14.30
$1 Trifecta (2-5-8) Paid $115.30
$1 Superfecta (2-5-8-1) Paid $339.70



9th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 1m-T (Super)

Insane nightcap.. Only 9 or 10 seem capable of winning..

Best Value: #11 Sammy's Toy 12-1 10th
Most Likely: #2 Bold Abbott 8-1 WON
Next Best: #8 Aqab 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Rumored Heart 10-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1
7: 5-6-7
8: 1-2-5-8
9: 1-2-8-9-10-11

1x3x4x6 = $72



SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 4yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Blame the Wine 5-2 WON
Next Best: #4 Stormy Racer 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #2 Tuscan Princess 7-2 5th


4th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 White Lace Jimmy 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Prince Novetti 10-1
Next Best: #7 Lacotah 7-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Tavern 6-1 WON


5th: MSW, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Absolutely fascinating race where a case can be made for at least 7 of them.. Brutally tough field to narrow for the '6'..

Most Likely: #7 G's Heavenly Union 7-2 6th
Best Value: #4 The Legal Blonde 30-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Box Office Queen 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Dailies 12-1 5th


6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Dances With Tigers 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Mud Seat 'n Tears 7-2 WON
Best Value: #2 Good Shot Mally 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Ice Lady 9-2 8th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-DHT (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Unusually Hot 6-1 5th
Most Likely: #6 Linda Lou 7-2 4th
Next Best: #9 Theodora 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Excitement 12-1 8th


8th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Best Value: #9 SCR
Most Likely: #4 Busby 7-2 6th
Next Best: #2 Cold Ruler 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Convenient Memory 9-2 4th
Hi-5 Play: #8 El Tajin 6-1 5th


<$200 P6 Play:

3: 4-5
4: 1-4-7
5: 1-4-6-7
6: 1-5
7: 5
8: 2-4

2x3x4x2x1x2 = 96 x 2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

5: 1-4-6-7
6: 1-2-5
7: 5
8: 2-4-6-8

4x3x1x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 01-09-2009 at 09:03 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 01-08-2009, 08:04 AM
sdjcom's Avatar
sdjcom sdjcom is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 2,163
Default Gs 01-08

+ $92.71 in early pre-scratches got to work today good luck


1) $2ex pw 3-7 with 1-2-3-6-7 $5wp 3 lost ex win $22.50 plc $12.00 +$8.50 on race

2) 3-10 with 3-6-8-10-12 $5wp 3 won ex $20.60 lost wp -$5.40 on race


4) 3-6 with 1-3-6-7-8 $5wp 3 lost -$26 on race

6) 1-4 with 1-2-4-7-8 $5wp 1 won ex $27.00 win $17.00 plc $8.50 total $52.50 +$26.50 on race


8) 1-2 with 1-2- 4-5-6 $5 wp 2 scr #7 add #4won ex $28.60 win $11.50 plc $7.00 cash $47.10 +21.10 for race




total bet $ 130 won +$24.70 +$117.41(2009)

Last edited by sdjcom : 01-08-2009 at 05:15 PM. Reason: results
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 01-08-2009, 12:01 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Only Gulfstream SCR's for P4 are the MTO's and AE's...
http://www.gulfstreampark.com/RACING...s+and+Changes/
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 01-08-2009, 02:15 PM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,277
Default

mine

8/7/4
2/7/1/6
6/4/5
6/7/11
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 01-08-2009, 02:52 PM
declansharbor's Avatar
declansharbor declansharbor is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Exit 30
Posts: 6,357
Default

I'm so I could pull a Plexico right now. Get to the Turfy with about 5 mtp for GP R3. Played my 2 P3's starting in races 5 and 6. Bull$hit with my favorite teller there Jack for a minute, and decide to put in a tri bet, keying Hill's charge with 3 other horses.(none of which hit the board) I make the bet, and a few guys behind me is this guy(Warren Sapp look alike to the tee) that I've engaged in conversations with before about Hills on the grass. He asks me if I want to go halves on a $2 ex 4-all and a $1 all-4 bet ..I tell him no thanks, I like him in this spot and all, but I just spent my extra loot on the tri ticket.(actually had about 8 dollars left and wasnt about to tap the Mac there, leaves a paper trail for my woman, as she works at teh bank that I belong to and checks up on $hit like this..different story for a different day)...

Needless to say, he wins, a bomb fills the exacta, and I slink out the door in disgust. As I'm leaving all I hear is "White Mike, White Mike", as he was trying to flag me down. Just a missed opportunity that I wouldnt even have fretted over had the opportunity not just presented itself to me like it did. Basically hit me in the a$$ with it..uggghh...I already know how the rest of my day is going to end.

Better luck to eveyone else playing!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital"

- Nathan Israel
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 01-08-2009, 02:57 PM
TheSpyder's Avatar
TheSpyder TheSpyder is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Nothing could be finer
Posts: 5,128
Default

Race 5: #9 Eldoktori

Obviously something's gone wrong with this horse from starting his maiden career as favorite for Zayat/Mott and getting claimed. Still, the hose shows potential and steady works may bring this one into top form to take these. It's a stab, but arn't they all.

$5 W/P
__________________
Don't sweat the petty things and don't pet the sweaty things.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 01-08-2009, 03:08 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Race 5: Scratch #2 Ermine Slippers, #9 Rare Sparkle

Race 6: No Changes

Race 7: Scratch #11 Grace Anatomy, #12 Ashton Girl, #13 Your Pleasure, #14 Ever So Pretty

Race 8: Scratch #9 Good Newsman; #7 is a regular gelding
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 01-08-2009, 03:10 PM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

Scratch #7 Theregoesjojo out of GP 8th.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 01-08-2009, 03:17 PM
TheSpyder's Avatar
TheSpyder TheSpyder is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Nothing could be finer
Posts: 5,128
Default

Put this one on your watch list. He got clobbered in the stretch to come in 4th and ran a heck of a lot better than 10/1.
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheSpyder
Race 5: #9 Eldoktori

Obviously something's gone wrong with this horse from starting his maiden career as favorite for Zayat/Mott and getting claimed. Still, the hose shows potential and steady works may bring this one into top form to take these. It's a stab, but arn't they all.

$5 W/P
__________________
Don't sweat the petty things and don't pet the sweaty things.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 01-08-2009, 03:24 PM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,277
Default

they better take this 4 down
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 01-08-2009, 03:25 PM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,277
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
they better take this 4 down
yes!!
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 01-08-2009, 03:28 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Scratch #7 Theregoesjojo out of GP 8th.
Goes 7f instead in a hot ALW Saturday (10th race).
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 01-08-2009, 03:29 PM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

Race 6
$1 P3
1,4 / 5,6,7 / 1,2,6
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 01-08-2009, 03:35 PM
herkhorse's Avatar
herkhorse herkhorse is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Gonesville
Posts: 11,422
Default

GP pic 4 stab 2-8/1-5-6/2-3-6/2-6-11
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 01-08-2009, 03:59 PM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,277
Default

congrats too those who had the 1 he had a ton of horse..
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 01-08-2009, 04:06 PM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
congrats too those who had the 1 he had a ton of horse..
I thought so too and was expecting Free Country to win off, but Atomic Rain fought him tooth and nail.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 01-08-2009, 04:17 PM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,277
Default

lol thats pure lescano...pitts is great..
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 01-08-2009, 04:20 PM
docicu3 docicu3 is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,778
Default

Sambino did nada....value was there boys and girls!! Tough tough race.....love GP!! It's like root canal without anesthetic sometimes..
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 01-08-2009, 04:22 PM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,277
Default

doc franks move is second start..but he figured and was wideeeeeeeeeeeeeee
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 01-08-2009, 04:53 PM
herkhorse's Avatar
herkhorse herkhorse is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Location: Gonesville
Posts: 11,422
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Gulfstream late 4

.50

1,3,7,8
2,4,5,6,7
2,5
2,6,7,10

$80

Good luck Hoss, bring it home!
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:28 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.