Current Derby Field

[stonegossard]

Originally Posted by jms62

How can you bash a guy for projecting a horse as a contender in January that hasn't progressed? I guess you have a futures ticket that you bought in December on the winner.

Dude....the same guy had Brother Keith at # 5. At least Bittle Road won races on grass, although last time I checked the Kentucky Derby was run on dirt.

I don't play the Derby futures, I think they are a horrendous bet when you take into consideration risk vs reward. Unless you are getting huge odds (25-1 or more) imho, they are a sucker bet.

[Ogygian]

Derby Super plus a couple flyers....

Desert Party
Freisan Fire
I Want Revenge
POTN

Hold Me Back
Win Willy
Square Eddie

[ninetoone]

Garcia on Regal Ransom & Dominguez on Desert Party...

[PatCummings]

I think the Godolphin jockey assignments are right on.

Not sure if people realize it, but the final time of the UAE Derby was really around 1:48 not the 1:50 it is listed at on the PPs. The track that day brought the front-runners home like no other during the 21 days of racing in Dubai this year, a product of four days of occasional rains and the track being sealed otherwise. The four lengths that Desert Party made up in the race are just about the most of anyone the entire day...if not the most.

Frankie was overly confident on Desert Party...that is practically undeniable.

Both Desert Party and Regal Ransom accomplished their tasks without race day medication and routinely dispatched with older horses (Southern Hemisphere 3YO).

I think both of them have a solid chance.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by PatCummings

I think the Godolphin jockey assignments are right on.

Not sure if people realize it, but the final time of the UAE Derby was really around 1:48 not the 1:50 it is listed at on the PPs. The track that day brought the front-runners home like no other during the 21 days of racing in Dubai this year, a product of four days of occasional rains and the track being sealed otherwise. The four lengths that Desert Party made up in the race are just about the most of anyone the entire day...if not the most.

Frankie was overly confident on Desert Party...that is practically undeniable.

Both Desert Party and Regal Ransom accomplished their tasks without race day medication and routinely dispatched with older horses (Southern Hemisphere 3YO).

I think both of them have a solid chance.

I think Desert Party has a shot in the derby. But to cite the fact that he and Regal Ransom beat "older horses" in the UAE Derby seems a little absurd.

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I think Desert Party has a shot in the derby. But to cite the fact that he and Regal Ransom beat "older horses" in the UAE Derby seems a little absurd.

You also add in the fact that...

http://www.nytimes.com/1998/10/09/ny...o-5-years.html

now scroll to breeder...

http://www.kentuckyderby.com/2009/ra...ty/connections


and you have the makings of a heartwarming derby story.

Here is some detail on what the guy did for GTech..

http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortu...8202/index.htm

His former boss, Guy Snowden, is also a horse breeder. D'awesome.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I think Desert Party has a shot in the derby. But to cite the fact that he and Regal Ransom beat "older horses" in the UAE Derby seems a little absurd.

but you're forgetting the 'lack of raceday medication'. had the two lost, the fact they lost to older would have been cited. if you like them, you'll justify it. if you don't, it's not a big deal. they seem decent horses-my lack of interest is due to the fact that their approach to the derby has not had past success.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Coach Pants

You also add in the fact that...

http://www.nytimes.com/1998/10/09/ny...o-5-years.html

now scroll to breeder...

http://www.kentuckyderby.com/2009/ra...ty/connections


and you have the makings of a heartwarming derby story.

Here is some detail on what the guy did for GTech..

http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortu...8202/index.htm

His former boss, Guy Snowden, is also a horse breeder. D'awesome.

Cheaters always win. Especially in this game.

[brockguy]

Its quite an achievement for 3 year olds to beat older horses this early in the season - but the "Classic" generation this year in Dubai was to put it mildly - woeful.

I think Regal Ransom has no shot at staying 10f, so Desert Party seems to be the one for me.

[PatCummings]

Originally Posted by brockguy

Its quite an achievement for 3 year olds to beat older horses this early in the season - but the "Classic" generation this year in Dubai was to put it mildly - woeful.

I think Regal Ransom has no shot at staying 10f, so Desert Party seems to be the one for me.

Please share your rationale for why Regal Ransom can't stay 10 furlongs.

[PatCummings]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I think Desert Party has a shot in the derby. But to cite the fact that he and Regal Ransom beat "older horses" in the UAE Derby seems a little absurd.

Seriously? Southern Hemisphere 3YO have romped in Dubai the last few years, including Asiatic Boy, Honour Devil, Royal Vintage, etc. They took a handful of chances throughout the campaign...but Desert Party and Regal Ransom handled them well throughout three races.

Granted, they were lightly raced (but everyone is) - but the age and maturity factor plays a role. I just don't think there is anything absurd about that particular fact.

[tector]

In a year when the US contingent is better than it has been in years, people are seriously considering the towelhead horses? NOW?

[PatCummings]

Originally Posted by Coach Pants

You also add in the fact that...

http://www.nytimes.com/1998/10/09/ny...o-5-years.html

now scroll to breeder...

http://www.kentuckyderby.com/2009/ra...ty/connections


and you have the makings of a heartwarming derby story.

Here is some detail on what the guy did for GTech..

http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortu...8202/index.htm

His former boss, Guy Snowden, is also a horse breeder. D'awesome.

Of course, if you speak to Smith's ex-wife, she has more of an emotional story about breeding Desert Party, which she did with her then-husband.

[PatCummings]

Originally Posted by tector

In a year when the US contingent is better than it has been in years, people are seriously considering the towelhead horses? NOW?

Please feel free to not consider them. I'll be happy with a higher price.

[GBBob]

Originally Posted by tector

In a year when the US contingent is better than it has been in years, people are seriously considering the towelhead horses? NOW?

I hope that's your head the gun is pointing at

[PatCummings]

Originally Posted by Danzig

but you're forgetting the 'lack of raceday medication'. had the two lost, the fact they lost to older would have been cited. if you like them, you'll justify it. if you don't, it's not a big deal. they seem decent horses-my lack of interest is due to the fact that their approach to the derby has not had past success.

I can understand your concern based on previous tries - but comparing these two to ANY previous Godolphin Derby horses is a mistake, in my opinion.

The 3YO races in Dubai have increased in quality substantially the last five years through the Carnival, and even more so the past three years with a major influx of horses from the Southern Hemisphere.

If Desert Party and Regal Ransom lost to the older horses in their first or second starts, using age as an excuse is possible, but they handled them well through three consecutive, finishing 15 in front of Soy Libriano in the UAE Derby, an older SH 3YO.

It should be viewed as undeniable that the two horses Godolphin will have in the Derby are their best chances ever, and if you don't believe it, just ask them.

[tector]

Every year people come up excuses for these clowns pissing away a billion dollars with no results. This year will be no different I see.

A $0.00 ROI on the Dubai route to the Derby might just signify something, you know.

[PatCummings]

Originally Posted by tector

Every year people come up excuses for these clowns pissing away a billion dollars with no results. This year will be no different I see.

A $0.00 ROI on the Dubai route to the Derby might just signify something, you know.

Any interest in reviewing the credentials on the horses who have done it before? Going from Dubai to the Derby that is. The list isn't exactly stellar, and it hasn't happened since 2002, when Essence of Dubai went.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by PatCummings

Seriously? Southern Hemisphere 3YO have romped in Dubai the last few years, including Asiatic Boy, Honour Devil, Royal Vintage, etc. They took a handful of chances throughout the campaign...but Desert Party and Regal Ransom handled them well throughout three races.

Granted, they were lightly raced (but everyone is) - but the age and maturity factor plays a role. I just don't think there is anything absurd about that particular fact.

It's absurd because the SH 3yos they beat aren't any good. . .

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by tector

Every year people come up excuses for these clowns pissing away a billion dollars with no results. This year will be no different I see.

A $0.00 ROI on the Dubai route to the Derby might just signify something, you know.

There's also a $0 ROI in the Derby on horses who made their last start on a synthetic surface in California, a $0 ROI on Todd Pletcher trainees, a $0 ROI on Jeff Mullins trainees, a $0 ROI on Larry Jones trainees and La Derby winners dating back to 1996, and a $0 ROI on Ill Derby winners since 2002.

I've now tossed Pioneerof the Nile, Chocolate Candy, Mr. Hot Stuff, Dunkirk, Advice, I Want Revenge, Friesan Fire, and Musket Man using your logic.

The Derby's a really tough race to win.

NT