5/2 (CD): Kentucky Derby (G1)

[Alan07]

11TH (6:24) Kentucky Derby Presented by Yum! Brands (G1)

1 1/4 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $2,000,000

1 West Side Bernie (Kelly Breen/Stewart Elliott) 30-1
2 Musket Man (Derek Ryan/Eibar Coa) 20-1
3 Mr. Hot Stuff (Eoin Harty/John Velazquez) 30-1
4 Advice (Todd Pletcher/Rene Douglas) 30-1
5 Hold Me Back (Bill Mott/Kent Desormeaux) 15-1
6 Friesan Fire (Larry Jones/Gabriel Saez) 5-1
7 Papa Clem (Gary Stute/Rafael Bejarano) 20-1
8 Mine That Bird (Bennie Woolley/Calvin Borel) 50-1
9 Join in the Dance (Todd Pletcher/Chris DeCarlo) 50-1
10 Regal Ransom (Saeed bin Suroor/Alan Garcia) 30-1
11 Chocolate Candy (Jerry Hollendorfer/Mike Smith) 20-1
12 General Quarters (Tom McCarthy/Julien Leparoux) 20-1
13 I Want Revenge (Jeff Mullins/Joe Talamo) 3-1
14 Atomic Rain (Kelly Breen/Joe Bravo) 50-1
15 Dunkirk (Todd Pletcher/Edgar Prado) 4-1
16 Pioneerof the Nile (Bob Baffert/Garrett Gomez) 4-1
17 Summer Bird (Tim Ice/Chris Rosier) 50-1
18 Nowhere to Hide (Nick Zito/Shaun Bridgmohan) 50-1
19 Desert Party (Saeed bin Suroor/Ramon Dominguez) 15-1
20 Flying Private (D. Wayne Lukas/Robby Albarado) 50-1

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by Alan07

Want Revenge, trained by Jeff Mullins, will be the 3-1 morning line favorite for Saturday's Kentucky Derby.
Churchill Downs oddsmaker Mike Battaglia set the odds this morning before the draw at noon and is not expected to make substantial changes after the post positions are set.

Horse Jockey Trainer Odds
Advice N/A Todd Pletcher 30-1
Atomic Rain Joe Bravo Kelly Breen 50-1
Chocolate Candy Mike Smith Jerry Hollendorfer 42-1
Desert Party Ramon Dominguez Saeed bin Suroor 15-1
Dunkirk Edgar Prado Todd Pletcher 4-1
Flying Private Robby Albarado D. Wayne Lukas 50-1
Friesan Fire Gabriel Saez J. Larry Jones 5-1
General Quarters Julien Leparoux Tom McCarthy 20-1
Hold Me Back Kent Desormeaux Bill Mott 15-1
I Want Revenge Joe Talamo Jeff Mullins 3-1
Join in the Dance N/A Todd Pletcher 50-1
Mine That Bird Calvin Borel Bennie Woolley Jr. 50-1
Mr. Hot Stuff N/A Eoin Harty 30-1
Musket Man Eibar Coa Derek Ryan 20-1
Nowhere to Hide N/A Nick Zito 50-1
Papa Clem Rafael Bejarano Gary Stute 20-1
Pioneerof the Nile Garrett Gomez Bob Baffert 9-2
Regal Ransom Alan Garcia Saeed bin Suroor 30-1
Summer Bird Chris Rosier Tim Ice 50-1
West Side Bernie Stewart Elliott Kelly Breen 30-1

I have never seen a 42/1 morning line....Battaglia is working overtime.

[South Beach Luv]

Chocolate Candy fans have to love that price

[robfla]

Originally Posted by South Beach Luv

Chocolate Candy fans have to love that price

has to be a typo... probably 20:1


I was anticipating 15:1 - 20:1 ML for him

[LARHAGE]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

I have never seen a 42/1 morning line....Battaglia is working overtime.

That absolute pig of Zito's is 50-1 and Chocolate Candy is 42-1 !!!!!! That is insane.

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by LARHAGE

That absolute pig of Zito's is 50-1 and Chocolate Candy is 42-1 !!!!!! That is insane.

I think it was meant to be 12/1.

[Mike]

Originally Posted by LARHAGE

That absolute pig of Zito's is 50-1 and Chocolate Candy is 42-1 !!!!!! That is insane.

That's a must-be mistake.
He's been 15-1 on most people's probable list, and I think with Quality Road out, I'd be lucky to get that(my wagers will revolve around Choco)

[skippy3481]

he is 20-1

[Danzig]

general quarters 20-1. if i was at the track, that would be one horse i would seriously consider betting. musket man is another.
but who i really would put a couple bucks on, just because?


dwl and flying private at 50-1.

[dagolfer33]

Its a good thing Battaglia is a better M/L oddsmaker than track announcer. Or maybe what I meant to say was the other way around? Hmmmm......no he way sucks at both.

[Bobby Fischer]

Originally Posted by dagolfer33

Its a good thing Battaglia is a better M/L oddsmaker than track announcer. Or maybe what I meant to say was the other way around? Hmmmm......no he way sucks at both.

Battaglia Belmont 31 lengths

"And Secretariat in the lead and uh ...
and uh...
gaining ground in sec-ond is
uh...
GAIN -ING GROUND! is uh..
My Gal-lant Gain-ing Ground
Twice-a-Prince is Gain-ing Ground
uh Sec-re-tariat has won"

[jms62]

Originally Posted by LARHAGE

That absolute pig of Zito's is 50-1 and Chocolate Candy is 42-1 !!!!!! That is insane.

Zitos pigs have waddled their way into the Super and crushed my dreams all too often.

[CSC]

Dunkirk's not impossible, however 4-1 is very short. I would have no interest other than a saver exotic bet with him. Looks like his odds are drastically shorter with QR's defection.

[Linny]

I am curious about the difference betwen the 2 Godolphin colts. RR at 30/1 and the hrse he just beat at 15/1. All accounts are the RR looks amazing since his return to KY.
Not sure I like either but the price on RR is interesting.

[jwkniska]

Desert Party's the 'wise guy' horse, so he probably put it alot lower due to that.

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by Linny

I am curious about the difference betwen the 2 Godolphin colts. RR at 30/1 and the hrse he just beat at 15/1. All accounts are the RR looks amazing since his return to KY.
Not sure I like either but the price on RR is interesting.

I agree. If I make a win bet, it'll be on Regal Ransom.

[CSC]

Originally Posted by Linny

I am curious about the difference betwen the 2 Godolphin colts. RR at 30/1 and the hrse he just beat at 15/1. All accounts are the RR looks amazing since his return to KY.
Not sure I like either but the price on RR is interesting.

I prefer Regal Ransom from a pace perspective, there really wasn't much difference between the 2 from their Dubai preps if you exclude the middle race where DP won by 4 1/2, but the best way to decide is view the replays for yourself. I'm going to work both of them into my picks, they are my main plays this year because they offer excellent value, I'll throw in a saver somewhere also.

[tjfla]

Desert Party will be about 7/1 as the wiseguy horse

Dunkirk and Friesan Fire should drop

[cakes44]

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer

Battaglia Belmont 31 lengths

"And Secretariat in the lead and uh ...
and uh...
gaining ground in sec-ond is
uh...
GAIN -ING GROUND! is uh..
My Gal-lant Gain-ing Ground
Twice-a-Prince is Gain-ing Ground
uh Sec-re-tariat has won"

Now that is funny.

[LARHAGE]

Originally Posted by jms62

Zitos pigs have waddled their way into the Super and crushed my dreams all too often.

I'm sure if the other 16 horses have to avoid another road bump like him and fall, he'll hit the super, he would have his hands full with the lead pony.