Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #81  
Old 05-27-2009, 09:18 AM
South Beach Luv's Avatar
South Beach Luv South Beach Luv is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Chicago W Burbs
Posts: 2,630
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK
Can someone tell me again, how do you put a poster on the iggy list??



Seriously!!!
http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/pro...t=ignore&u=735
Reply With Quote
  #82  
Old 05-27-2009, 09:31 AM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
The Derby wasn't too big a jump for Summer Bird...
Steve, this opinion was nagging away at me last night and I am curious if you would like to expand your thoughts on this.

Summer Bird to me made a rapid progression(beyer and competition wise) from his Mdn win to ARK derby in a very short time, I thought he had every reason to regress in the Derby. The Derby was a big race for him given he ran well despite not being on the best part of the track. I would expect his next race to be his best given he is still lightly raced, and one angle I love is the the Derby to Belmont angle, skipping the Preak. All in all he is a horse with talent, couple that with his stamina pedigree. He is very interesting, I just hope he doesn't become the buzz horse next week, thus RA's projected entry will most certainly be important to value bettors.
Reply With Quote
  #83  
Old 05-27-2009, 01:59 PM
the_fat_man's Avatar
the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 4,676
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC
Summer Bird to me made a rapid progression(beyer and competition wise) from his Mdn win to ARK derby in a very short time, I thought he had every reason to regress in the Derby. The Derby was a big race for him given he ran well despite not being on the best part of the track. I would expect his next race to be his best given he is still lightly raced, and one angle I love is the the Derby to Belmont angle, skipping the Preak. All in all he is a horse with talent, couple that with his stamina pedigree. He is very interesting, I just hope he doesn't become the buzz horse next week, thus RA's projected entry will most certainly be important to value bettors.
I'm trying to understand why this horse interests you so much. That he gained into a race that accelerated the last 1/8th, the ARK Derby, is, at first glance, noteworthy. Yet, I'm not so sure that he didn't get the best of it that day in terms of dynamics. And, he basically ran evenly in the Derby. He never made a more and did nothing more than pass faders, horses that had run earlier.

I can understand why Mine That Bird might not be a solid alternative for some. While he made a ridiculous move in the Derby, he did it on the best part of the track, and while saving ground; and he got the best of it in terms of setup in the Preakness. So I can understand if some still question his ability. But, there's certainly no questioning that he's run better than Summer Bird. I'm not saying that MTB is my choice, as I have to see who ultimately runs.
Reply With Quote
  #84  
Old 05-27-2009, 02:51 PM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
I'm trying to understand why this horse interests you so much. That he gained into a race that accelerated the last 1/8th, the ARK Derby, is, at first glance, noteworthy. Yet, I'm not so sure that he didn't get the best of it that day in terms of dynamics. And, he basically ran evenly in the Derby. He never made a more and did nothing more than pass faders, horses that had run earlier.

I can understand why Mine That Bird might not be a solid alternative for some. While he made a ridiculous move in the Derby, he did it on the best part of the track, and while saving ground; and he got the best of it in terms of setup in the Preakness. So I can understand if some still question his ability. But, there's certainly no questioning that he's run better than Summer Bird. I'm not saying that MTB is my choice, as I have to see who ultimately runs.
The simple answer would be I believe we have yet to see the best from Summer Bird, whereas we have with some of the others and that is the time to bet a horse, if he was a 100% proven commodity at this point he would be of very little interest to me as a betting prospect. We all have taken a liking to a horse at one time or another, these are the calls that make horseracing fascinating and possibly rewarding. There's no point in anyone saying The horse that Borel will ride is the Belmont winner...it's so ho hum...
Reply With Quote
  #85  
Old 05-27-2009, 03:57 PM
the_fat_man's Avatar
the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 4,676
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC
The simple answer would be I believe we have yet to see the best from Summer Bird, whereas we have with some of the others and that is the time to bet a horse, if he was a 100% proven commodity at this point he would be of very little interest to me as a betting prospect. We all have taken a liking to a horse at one time or another, these are the calls that make horseracing fascinating and possibly rewarding. There's no point in anyone saying The horse that Borel will ride is the Belmont winner...it's so ho hum...
I'm certainly not advocating taking the ho hum approach. And, my reasons for being in the game are strictly for the challenge. Any sporting aspect went out the window when I stopped going to the track. As such, it becomes more about making money. If there's a good betting opportunity in the Belmont, I'll be in it. If not, I'll pass, the way I passed the Derby. Unfortunately, I don't have the luxury of betting on horses I've taken a liking to: got that ROI to think about.
Reply With Quote
  #86  
Old 05-27-2009, 04:44 PM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
I'm certainly not advocating taking the ho hum approach. And, my reasons for being in the game are strictly for the challenge. Any sporting aspect went out the window when I stopped going to the track. As such, it becomes more about making money. If there's a good betting opportunity in the Belmont, I'll be in it. If not, I'll pass, the way I passed the Derby. Unfortunately, I don't have the luxury of betting on horses I've taken a liking to: got that ROI to think about.
Perhaps 'liking' was not the right word, let's use the word 'potential'. I think we are all playing the game to make money.
Reply With Quote
  #87  
Old 05-28-2009, 04:20 PM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

I have to say this is a very kind gesture...

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...ksons-decision

“I’m gonna give Calvin (Borel) as much time as possible to ride “Mine” and also to keep him from losing two mounts. It just wouldn’t fair to him if they don’t make a decision until the last minute and decide not to go. He won me the Kentucky Derby and I owe him the opportunity if it’s possible. I don’t want to see him sitting on the sidelines when I get to Belmont.”
Reply With Quote
  #88  
Old 05-28-2009, 05:45 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
Dee Tee Stables
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: The Natural State
Posts: 29,939
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
I have to say this is a very kind gesture...

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...ksons-decision

“I’m gonna give Calvin (Borel) as much time as possible to ride “Mine” and also to keep him from losing two mounts. It just wouldn’t fair to him if they don’t make a decision until the last minute and decide not to go. He won me the Kentucky Derby and I owe him the opportunity if it’s possible. I don’t want to see him sitting on the sidelines when I get to Belmont.”
it is very kind. he certainly is aware that he'll have his choice of jocks if/when he has to name a rider.
Reply With Quote
  #89  
Old 05-28-2009, 08:37 PM
HaloWishingwell's Avatar
HaloWishingwell HaloWishingwell is offline
Ak-Sar-Ben
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: New Jersey
Posts: 654
Default

Why do I feel Borel will commit to MINE THAT BIRD only to see RACHEL ALEXANDRA entered at the last moment in order to get ALBARADO on her.
Reply With Quote
  #90  
Old 05-28-2009, 09:02 PM
Bobby Fischer's Avatar
Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 2,401
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC
Perhaps 'liking' was not the right word, let's use the word 'potential'. I think we are all playing the game to make money.
my father likes Summer Bird a little. After watching the derby blimp replay, he thinks Rosier saw Borel and started his drive. He likes that Summer Bird showed a mild response while wide on the end of the turn.

I'm not too crazy about Summer Bird.
Reply With Quote
  #91  
Old 05-28-2009, 09:53 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
Dee Tee Stables
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: The Natural State
Posts: 29,939
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by HaloWishingwell
Why do I feel Borel will commit to MINE THAT BIRD only to see RACHEL ALEXANDRA entered at the last moment in order to get ALBARADO on her.

if jackson really wanted albarado, he would've named him already. why does everything have to have a conspiracy attached?
Reply With Quote
  #92  
Old 05-28-2009, 10:54 PM
VOL JACK's Avatar
VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: @VOLJACK79
Posts: 2,578
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
if jackson really wanted albarado, he would've named him already. why does everything have to have a conspiracy attached?
Cause it makes things much more interesting...kinda like fighting before $#%
Reply With Quote
  #93  
Old 05-29-2009, 04:13 PM
Smooth Operator's Avatar
Smooth Operator Smooth Operator is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 1,169
Default

They're not gunna run the filly. They'd be insane to bring her right back ... in a 12f contest, no less.

Pletch cherry-picked the event with Roids to Riches. She was well rested … and probly all hopped up on 'roids, to boot.

Granted, RA was superb at Pim, but they were gaining on her at the end. 9.5f is probly her limit against the colts. In fact, 9 panels is likely her best distance ... just like it was for her dad.
Reply With Quote
  #94  
Old 05-29-2009, 04:48 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,403
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Smooth Operator
They're not gunna run the filly. They'd be insane to bring her right back ... in a 12f contest, no less.

Pletch cherry-picked the event with Roids to Riches. She was well rested … and probly all hopped up on 'roids, to boot.

Granted, RA was superb at Pim, but they were gaining on her at the end. 9.5f is probly her limit against the colts. In fact, 9 panels is likely her best distance ... just like it was for her dad.
Eeew go away
Reply With Quote
  #95  
Old 05-30-2009, 09:24 PM
Smooth Operator's Avatar
Smooth Operator Smooth Operator is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 1,169
Default

Yo, hockey...
































I'm back.
Reply With Quote
  #96  
Old 05-30-2009, 10:08 PM
letswastemoney's Avatar
letswastemoney letswastemoney is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Turlock, CA
Posts: 2,561
Default

I think Calvin Borel is destined to win the jockey Triple Crown....everything is going right for him.

And MTB to me is the better Birdstone. His regression should be about as good as Summer Bird's best race.
Reply With Quote
  #97  
Old 05-30-2009, 11:01 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
Dee Tee Stables
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: The Natural State
Posts: 29,939
Default

mine that bird got a shout out tonight after the detroit/pittsburgh game.
Reply With Quote
  #98  
Old 06-01-2009, 10:07 AM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
I'm not too crazy about Summer Bird.
I hope this is the majority in that opinion. I see no reason to retrack now after his final major work Sat, I love his chances.
Reply With Quote
  #99  
Old 06-01-2009, 01:55 PM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC
I hope this is the majority in that opinion. I see no reason to retrack now after his final major work Sat, I love his chances.
They are adding blinkers for the Belmont.
Reply With Quote
  #100  
Old 06-01-2009, 02:26 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,474
Default

Field virtually set now for Belmont... Nowhere to Hide won't run.


1. Brave Victory
Nick Zito
Rajiv Maragh
Robert V. LaPenta

2. Charitable Man
Kiaran McLaughlin
Alan Garcia
Mr. & Mrs. William K. Warren Jr.

3. Chocolate Candy
Jerry Hollendorfer
Garrett Gomez
Craig Family Trust

4. Dunkirk
Todd Pletcher
John Velazquez
Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor, & Derrick Smith

5. Flying Private
D. Wayne Lukas
Julien Leparoux
Robert C. Baker & William L. Mack

6. Luv Gov
D.Wayne Lukas
Miguel Mena
Marylou Whitney Stables

7. Miner’s Escape
Nick Zito
Jose Lezcano
Robert V. LaPenta

8. Mine That Bird
Chip Woolley
Calvin Borel
Double Eagle Ranch & Buena Suerte Equine

9. Mr. Hot Stuff
Eoin Harty
Edgar Prado
WinStar Farm LLC

10. Summer Bird
Tim Ice
Kent Desormeaux
Kalarikkal & Vilasini Jayaraman
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:14 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.