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#1
06-26-2009, 06:55 AM
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6/26: BEL (P4); CD ($33k C/O); PrM (Stakes/P4)
Fun afternoon of racing at Belmont finished up OK with modest $230 P4 hit that covered the day's investment adequately. On top nightcap winner I've Got Speed also keyed a similar payoff for the $1 Super. Missed the early P4 though, a chalky $50 sequence, when stupidly overlooking the KMc baby Dahlgren Chapel. Hope you did well on a good prequel to another big Friday night of racing with Belmont (Twilight card), Churchill (Night card and $33k C/O), Prairie Meadows (3yo Stakes card) and Hollywood (Late night card) keeping you busy from 3pm-1:30am EST!
BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 6th (5:32pm): NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 7.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #3 A Word to the Wise 6-1 5th Most Likely: #2 Saarlandisourland 5-2 WON Next Best: #7 World Express 7-2 3rd Super Add: #4 Lyrical Bobcat 15-1 2nd 7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) A very difficult group with potential for 'jump-up' horses.. Most Likely: #2 Chinese Whisper 5-2 2nd Best Value: #7 Hot Pace 8-1 4th Next Best: #10 Alabama Man 3-1 3rd Super Add: #11 Triple Honor 10-1 5th 8th: The Perfect Sting, 3yo-F, 8.5f-IT (DD, Super) Best Value: #6 Strike the Bell 8-1 2nd Most Likely: #10 Dynaslew 7-2 5th Next Best: #2 Dame Ellen 4-1 WON Super Add: #8 Fast Tigress 5-1 6th 9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (Super) CANCELLED Most Likely: #5 Tobruk 5-1 Best Value: #10 Munition 12-1 Next Best: #2 Woodrunner 7-2 Super Add: #7 Puregoodniss 20-1 <$75 P4 Play: Very challenging sequence.. 6: 2-3-7 7: 2-7-10-11 8: 6-10 9: 2-5-10 3x4x2x3 = $72 CHURCHILL DOWNS PRE-SCRATCHES 4th (7:29pm): ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Fortheboysatthebar 7-2 6th Best Value: #9 Quiet Alice 9-2 4th Next Best: #4 Alley Theater 4-1 WON Super Add: #7 Suz Slew 5-1 5th 5th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Five Plus Five 7-2 WON Best Value: #3 Oscar De La Thorn 15-1 8th Next Best: #5 McTapit 8-1 6th Super Add: #2 Missaintbehavin 15-1 9th 6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super, Super High 5) Most Likely: #8 Feminine Flair 5-2 WON Best Value: #3 Hyper Hannah 12-1 3rd Next Best: #5 See the Future 5-1 9th Exotics Use: #9 Turn to Bernstein 4-1 10th High 5 Play: #7 How Regal 10-1 4th 7th: S/ALW, 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Candid Image 4-1 WON Best Value: #5 Charlie V 4-1 2nd Next Best: #3 My Little Connor 2-1 5th Super Add: #6 An Heir of Magic 9-5 3rd <$75 P4 Play: 4: 2-4-9 5: 1-2-3-5-6-7-9-11 6: 3-5-8 7: 4-5 3x8x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 .50 Pick 4 (4-1-8-4) Paid $243.15 8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Son of a Chief 3-1 6th Best Value: #4 Checksandbalances 6-1 WON Next Best: #2 Essence of Speed 3-1 5th Super Add: #7 Ksar Ghilane 5-2 3rd 9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Autry 3-1 WON Best Value: #1 Captain Bayne 12-1 7th Next Best: #8 All West 5-2 3rd Super Add: #6 Matching Whites 5-1 6th 10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Blue Whistler 7-2 4th Best Value: #3 Tar Beach 6-1 6th Next Best: #2 Miro 5-2 5th Super Add: #5 Zion 5-1 3rd 11th: MSW, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5) Most Likely: #12 Capt Obvious 6-1 2nd Best Value: #6 Begriff 8-1 7th Next Best: #7 Baku Breeze 7-2 3rd Exotics Use: #8 John Kelly 9-2 WON High 5 Play: #1 Option 8-1 9th <$75 P6 Play: 6: 8 7: 3-4-5-6 8: 3-4 9: 1-5-8 10: 3-7 11: 6-12 1x4x2x3x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 8: 2-3-4-5-7 9: 1-5-8 10: 2-3-5-6-7 11: 6-12 5x3x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75 PRAIRIE MEADOWS PRE-SCRATCHES 7th: 16th Saylorville, F&M-3+, 6f (.50 P4, P3, Super) Most Likely: #2 Lady Chace 4-1 WON Best Value: #4 Miranda Diane 8-1 6th Next Best: #8 Sly Storm 6-1 7th Super Add: #5 Adhsilver 8-1 5th 8th: 11th Iowa Oaks (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, Super) Best Value: #5 Peach Brew 5-1 3rd Most Likely: #2 Sweet Relish 7-2 2nd Next Best: #4 Hooh Why 3-1 4th Super Add: #7 Hightap 4-1 WON 9th: 11th Iowa Derby, 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super) Best Value: #6 MOONPORT 6-1 4th Most Likely: #7 Duke of Mischief 10-1 WON Next Best: #9 His Greatness 5-1 6th Super Add: #2 Proceed Bee 9-2 5th 10th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-70y Most Likely: #5 Karl's Speed Demon 5-2 6th Best Value: #4 Service Hawk 3-1 3rd Next Best: #1e Richard entry 2-1 2nd/4th <$50 P4 Play: 7: 2-4-8 8: 2-4-5-7 9: 6-7 10: 1-4-5 3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 06-26-2009 at 11:51 PM. 
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#2
06-26-2009, 01:06 PM
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I kind of like Oscar De La Thorn too. Those two 5F works should give her a fitness edge, and the horse she's been working with - Pops Lady V. - would probably fit with these (she's 3, though) even though she's an 8 time maiden $12.5K claimer.
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#3
06-26-2009, 01:46 PM
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Bartletts appears loose in the 7th (unless Alabama Man decides to go). He's a quitter but he should be a decent price.
Last edited by the_fat_man : 06-26-2009 at 08:28 PM.
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#4
06-26-2009, 06:27 PM
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I had $50 wp on the 6
Going nuts. This day is the worst.
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#5
06-26-2009, 06:31 PM
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i had a $10 P3 to hit with the 6, just love this game.
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#6
06-26-2009, 06:33 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
06-26-2009, 06:41 PM
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again thanks steve for your east coast picks, you really help me. i did do a $10 back wheel 2,8,10/6 in the exactas, so that helped. Hollywood is a good track for you, dont forget their P4s. good luck, AZ Dave
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#8
06-26-2009, 07:58 PM
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Not bad.
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#9
06-26-2009, 08:22 PM
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Anyone know why they cancelled the last race today?
Frustrating day for sure, but got out nicely and then some on New Yawker, thank you Andy. It was a race I had absoluely no intention of playing, no strong opinions on and cashed a really nice ticket. The horse that screwed me out of a nice score was Green Harbor. I needed her to win for the 2nd into the 3rd double (many times). Liked La Concerto but didnt play her straight up 
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#10
06-26-2009, 08:30 PM
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Quote:
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#11
06-26-2009, 09:11 PM
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Noticed you were on fire and played the 7th accordingly. Muchos gracias, Senor Byk.
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#12
06-26-2009, 09:14 PM
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Way to conquer the mid pk4, Steve...congrats!
__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
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#13
06-26-2009, 09:30 PM
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I'm rolling with a modified Pick 4. Steve's top 3 choices in the first 3 and top 2 in the last.
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#14
06-26-2009, 09:33 PM
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Just back from dinner in Glens Falls... What did I miss?
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#15
06-26-2009, 09:38 PM
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My pleasure... Nice work utilizing Strike the Bell. I was stunned that she got caught. Passed on HOL tonight with the PrM Stakes action looking interesting. G/L this weekend! Quote:
Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#16
06-26-2009, 09:43 PM
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Just crossed the Missouri river right there. Good start.
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#17
06-26-2009, 09:55 PM
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FYI all.. Crazy overlay at PrM for the Saylorville right now... #5 Adhsilver 25-1 which is psycho as #1 P.S.U. Grad being bet like iron (7-5!)...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#18
06-26-2009, 10:05 PM
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#19
06-26-2009, 10:05 PM
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Borel/Borel, who pulled one off last Friday, being hammered here in the CD 9...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#20
06-26-2009, 10:07 PM
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Quote:
__________________
Good jockeys don't need instructions and bad ones don't follow them
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