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#1
07-09-2009, 07:23 AM
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7/9: Belmont ($35k C/O)
Late action at Belmont, already affected by important scratches in the 6th and 8th, went sideways as feared when hard-to-reach Acclimate won the strangely run sequence starter. When deep tickets only number Ed's Princess took the nightcap, not only was a $35,500 carryover assured, but it tripped the Quad payout to the tune of $9,700. That would mean only an estimated 15 tickets ($2) were able to traverse the skien.
Hope you did OK. Thursday seems more manageable. Also hope you caught Steve Crist on ATR Wednesday night as he introduced Formulator 'TicketMaker' on DRF.com. The new service assists your P3, P4, P5 or P6 ticket building utilizing Crist's A-B-C-X method of main/back-up ducats. Steve also fielded a variety of excellent questions about multi-race wagering. Link to the archives if you missed it: http://www.thoroughbredracingradione...2009&Itemid=35 BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES Serious SCR's impacted the sequence. Revisions made but feeling a lot less confident about the play right now... 4th: S/HCP, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Liquid Amber 5-1 3rd Next Best: #3 Good Prospect 4-1 WON Best Value: #7 Raynick's Fan 6-1 2nd Trifecta Add: #8 Deputyville 10-1 4th Play Against: #5 Fuhrever Dancing 3-1 7th 5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1a (POE) SCR Next Best: #4 SCR Best Value: #6 Edashor 20-1 4th Play Against: #3 Moose Man 5-2 6th 6th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Three Bridge Road 7-2 WON Best Value: #9 SCR Next Best: #1 Cops Fever 2-1 4th Super Add: #2 Always Fishin 15-1 6th Play Against: #10 Big Gavel 4-1 3rd 7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Golden Weekend 2-1 WON Best Value: #10 Vinnies Wild Tale 15-1 8th Next Best: #1a (POE) Marq of Love 5-2 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Hedgefund Investor 5-1 7th 8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD) Most Likely: #1a (POE-Only one goes) Treat Gently 8-5 WON Next Best: #4 Kristi With a K 4-1 4th Best Value: #6 Quarayed 12-1 5th 9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-IT (Super) Most Likely: #3 Winloc's Big D 5-2 2nd Best Value: #9 Ritzy Aly 20-1 WON Next Best: #4 Royal Lord 4-1 3rd Super Add: #2 SCR <$200 P6 Play: 4: 3-9 5: 2-5-6-7 6: 1-3 7: 3 8: 1a-4 9: 3-4-9 2x4x2x1x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192 $2 Pick 6 (3/7/3/2,3,4/1,5/9) Paid $164.00 (5OF6) x 8 = $1,312 $2 Pick 6 (3/7/3/2,3,4/1,5/9) Paid $18,505.00 (6OF6) $19,817 Total <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-3 7: 1-3-5-7-9-10 8: 1a-4 9: 3-4-9 2x6x2x3 = $72 $1 Pick 4 (3/2,3,4/1,5/9) Paid $320.00 (4OF4) Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 07-09-2009 at 05:43 PM. 
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#2
07-09-2009, 11:35 AM
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I like the new "play-against" category Steve. Just as much a reason to play a race as not play a race. If you can eliminate a 4-1 from contention you've already beat the takeout.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#3
07-09-2009, 11:57 AM
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I like the #7 in the fourth, for whatever that's worth!
 Scratches Race 2 #9 Long Island Louie, #10 Lord Jet Race 5 #4 My Golden Opinion Race 6 #9 Wishingonadream, #11 Titletown Tiger Race 7 #2 Golden Caesar Race 8 #5 Fast Tigress Race 9 #2 Southern Spender, #6 Stone Turtle, #7 Court Appointment
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#4
07-09-2009, 12:51 PM
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Very irksome scratches in the 5th that really throw the P6 into slight disarray... Revising, but not nearly as excited about the sequence right now.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
07-09-2009, 01:29 PM
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I am going for the pick 4 ride
Thanks as always for your pics. Just as a heads up the 4 in the 7th race is scratched according to Twinspires.
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#6
07-09-2009, 01:35 PM
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Wow.
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#8
07-09-2009, 02:33 PM
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Belmont Late Pick 4!
6 - 1,3,4,5,8,10 7 - 3 8 - 1,3,4 9 - 3,4,8 $54 for $1 Good luck everyone!
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#10
07-09-2009, 03:26 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#11
07-09-2009, 03:45 PM
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Nice call on your top choice in the 6th, Steve. I hope you crushed him.
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#12
07-09-2009, 03:52 PM
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Quote:
There are few bargains on win prices and exacta payoffs in New York as a rule. How does Three Bridge Road go off at 5-1 in that race?? Nice call Steve..
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#15
07-09-2009, 04:30 PM
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Quote:
Steve taking a STRONG stand against Clemonte... Bring it home!
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#16
07-09-2009, 04:50 PM
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Bring it home Steve
G/L
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#19
07-09-2009, 05:00 PM
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Good luck, Steve.
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#20
07-09-2009, 05:21 PM
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I love it!! Thanks for the pick 4, Steve!
Congratulations. Wow!
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