Derby Graded Earnings List (Through 4/24)

[Kasept]

Derby Contenders PP's

1 Lookin At Lucky $1,480,000
2 Noble's Promise $738,000
3 Sidney's Candy $630,000
4 Line of David $600,000
5 Mission Impazible $473,434
6 Ice Box $457,500
7 Stately Victor $450,000
8 Endorsement $400,000
9 Conveyance $386,000
10 American Lion $378,000

11 Dublin $373,208
12 Super Saver $363,832
13 Devil May Care $363,000
14 Discreetly Mine $355,000
15 Dean’s Kitten $326,475
16 Interactif $292,950 "Doubtful" according to Pletcher via Jay Privman
17 Awesome Act $285,000
XX Aikenite $267,806
18 Paddy O'Prado $250,950
19 Homeboykris (g) $250,500
20 Jackson Bend $230,000
------------------------------------------------------------------
21 Backtalk $222,566
22 Make Music for Me $218,750
23 Pleasant Prince $189,278
24 Exhi $180,358
T-25 Setsuko $180,000
T-25 A Little Warm $180,000

[blackthroatedwind]

The battle for last just got more heated.

[JerseyJ]

The last place trifecta is a doozy this year...ton's of contenders:

Rule
Line of David
Mission Impazible
Stately Victor
Endorsement
Conveyance
American Lion
Super Saver
Discreetly Mine
Dean's Kitten
Interactif
Homeboykris
Paddy O'Prado

How the hell can you identify three out of that group let alone one...

[Merlinsky]

I guess what with Pleasant Prince being so far down now, Dean's Kitten is that much more likely to go.

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

I agree, but thats what we all said last year with MTB. I think its a 2-4 horse race at most, and one of those for me is still Dublin off the wide, once again not taken back and be allowed to make one run race he had today.

I wouldn't go with Dublin. Who are the other three contenders you like for last?

[ryonker1]

One of these days, I will come to the website and check.... before doing all the math myself- thanks Steve!

Ron

[JerseyJ]

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane

I wouldn't go with Dublin. Who are the other three contenders you like for last?

I hate to say it but you have to leave Dublin in the mix underneath at the very least because of this year's field, very few horses have actually shown any ability to pass other horses in the stretch...at least Dublin can run from off the pace which is likely to be a mandate this year to have any chance.

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by JerseyJ

I hate to say it but you have to leave Dublin in the mix underneath at the very least because of this year's field, very few horses have actually shown any ability to pass other horses in the stretch...at least Dublin can run from off the pace which is likely to be a mandate this year to have any chance.

I agree. I thought we were talking about the contenders for last.

[JerseyJ]

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane

I agree. I thought we were talking about the contenders for last.

I pointed out we have 13 contenders who must be left in the hopper to finish last and if Sidney's Candy can't rate he's in that mix too...this year's pace is going to be frantic...I would say something like 22 flat, 45 flat, 1:09 flat...very few horses have a chance to even hit the board unless they learn how to rate. Like I said, I am having trouble indentifying my last place trifecta, let alone trying to figure out who will actually finish last...as of now my leaders in the clubhouse for the tri are Line of David, Dean's Kitten, and Homeboykris.

[tjfla]

All I know is with the pace horses will be dropping like flies FAST


Any horses that are in Top 20 that might not go to the Derby?

Would love to have Jackson Bend add more front speed

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane

I wouldn't go with Dublin. Who are the other three contenders you like for last?

He likes Eskendereya, Sidneys Candy and Lookin at Lucky.
Good luck with any of them running last.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Tom Albertrani just said on ATR that another option for Odysseus is the Street Sense approach to Derby via the Blue Grass. He said while he isn't a fan of racing on synthetics, the benefit is a single ship to Kentucky rather than one to NY for Wood and then a second one to KY for Derby.

Originally Posted by philcski

Graded stakes money? He's at $180k, but is that a lock to make the field? If he bombs on the poly (certainly a possibility), then what?

Street Sense was obviously the leading money earner going into that race so the money meant nothing.

I hate to say "I told you so"... but I told you so.
Obviously I follow Keeneland very closely now since I practically live behind it, and I was afraid this was going to happen. The surface is unlike any other in North America.

[chucklestheclown]

Originally Posted by JerseyJ

The last place trifecta is a doozy this year...ton's of contenders:

Rule
Line of David
Mission Impazible
Stately Victor
Endorsement
Conveyance
American Lion
Super Saver
Discreetly Mine
Dean's Kitten
Interactif
Homeboykris
Paddy O'Prado

How the hell can you identify three out of that group let alone one...

Is this a Vegas bet?

[Travis Stone]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

The battle for last just got more heated.

So true.

[Travis Stone]

The Derby is no longer "if you belong" and is now "if you qualify." 1997 wasn't that long ago when they only needed one gate, and it produced one of the more exciting renewals ever.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by Travis Stone

The Derby is no longer "if you belong" and is now "if you qualify." 1997 wasn't that long ago when they only needed one gate, and it produced one of the more exciting renewals ever.

Travis could you get me an industry job?

[Travis Stone]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Travis could you get me an industry job?

I'll see what I can do. Post your top five skills.

[3kings]

Originally Posted by Travis Stone

I'll see what I can do. Post your top five skills.

This should be good!

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by Travis Stone

I'll see what I can do. Post your top five skills.

Master Handicapper
Master Money Manager
Master Friendship Counsler
Master Chef
Master of many tasks

[slotdirt]

Interesting that the second place horses from both the Wood and the Santa Anita Derby are going to need some defections to even make the Derby starting gate.