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  #1  
Old 04-22-2010, 05:35 PM
munster705 munster705 is offline
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Default Derby Long Shot
With the Derby right around the corner and everyone saying that this Derby is top heavy and that it is going to be chalky, I was wondering who your longshot is as of today. Without knowing post, works anything like that.......
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  #2  
Old 04-22-2010, 06:11 PM
johnny pinwheel johnny pinwheel is offline
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awesome act....provided that leparoux doesn't ride him like a goat again. it was not all his fault because the pace in the wood was a joke. but that horse could get the 10 furlongs at a price.
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  #3  
Old 04-22-2010, 06:15 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Give me Mission Impazible and Super Saver.
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  #4  
Old 04-22-2010, 06:18 PM
johnny pinwheel johnny pinwheel is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
Dublin, if he is taken back and allowed to make one long run.
oh no, you just crapped on one of my future tickets
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  #5  
Old 04-22-2010, 06:19 PM
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3kings 3kings is offline
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Mission Impazible & Endorsement
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  #6  
Old 04-22-2010, 06:22 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Super Saver.
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  #7  
Old 04-22-2010, 06:23 PM
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3kings 3kings is offline
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Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
I play pick 3's and 4's thats really it, I will be using no more then 3. Dublin, Sindeys Candy and Eskendereya.
Even if he is ridden with the one run you desire ,do you think he get the distance?
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  #8  
Old 04-22-2010, 06:39 PM
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saratoga chuck saratoga chuck is offline
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Ice Box
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  #9  
Old 04-22-2010, 06:55 PM
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booner booner is offline
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I'm watching 3 right now - Endorsement, Icebox and Mission Impazable.
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  #10  
Old 04-22-2010, 07:19 PM
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letswastemoney letswastemoney is offline
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Does anyone like Devil May Care's chances? Might be a good year with such a weak field for a filly to win
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  #11  
Old 04-22-2010, 07:30 PM
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Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav View Post
Give me Mission Impazible and Super Saver.
Two I'm trying to make a case for, but I just can't get past Super Saver's finish at Oaklawn. I want to puke when somebody says that was an improvement. You let a longshot sizzle fast fractions and can't get past him in a 38+ final 3 panels. You have to believe the pedigree and love of Churchill will push him through.

MI and IceBox have at least run by other horses in the stretch, so if this is as quick early as everyone thinks, they have a punchers chance.
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  #12  
Old 04-22-2010, 07:32 PM
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Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
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Originally Posted by letswastemoney View Post
Does anyone like Devil May Care's chances? Might be a good year with such a weak field for a filly to win
I'm not crazy about her like I have been the two big fillies in the past couple of years, but this field is so weak that I would put her on the fringe of my top 5.
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  #13  
Old 04-22-2010, 07:33 PM
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3kings 3kings is offline
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Originally Posted by letswastemoney View Post
Does anyone like Devil May Care's chances? Might be a good year with such a weak field for a filly to win
I doubt she will be entered. Will cross that bridge if she is.
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  #14  
Old 04-22-2010, 07:35 PM
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randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
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A Lion
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  #15  
Old 04-22-2010, 07:48 PM
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jwkniska jwkniska is offline
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A Lion
I hope so. Got a future bet on the Lion.
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  #16  
Old 04-22-2010, 07:49 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
I play pick 3's and 4's thats really it,
They got you trained real well, DRF boy.
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  #17  
Old 04-22-2010, 08:02 PM
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Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
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Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
What is all this **** about how bad the field is? Eskendereya is as good as anyone at this point in at least the past 7 years. Bafferts horse is really good, he is a champion and his dirt race really sticks out. I dont get why all the bashing. Eskendereya has done a lot more then Big Brown to this point, He has done more then Mine that Bird, he has done more then Giacomo. I just dont agree with all the hate for this group.
No problem with the top 2, but the rest of the crop have huge question marks. Your 3 examples are all from other weak crops this decade. Big Brown's group was pretty much garbage. Giacomo was in with Afleet Alex, but I can't think of anyone else from that group that made an impact. MTB was fortunate not to catch the best 3yo's when I Want Revenge and Quality Road had injuries, and Rachel Alexandra went to the Oaks.

Who knows anymore what synthetic efforts mean as it relates to dirt racing? I just wish everyone would quit treating it as a dirt equivalent. They might as well be prepping on the weeds.
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  #18  
Old 04-22-2010, 08:20 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
Ok but up to this point I think Eskendereya is a better looking prospect then anyone you named.... Rachel,QR, IWR and Afleet Alex. Eskendereya has been awesome.
What? I really like Eskendereya but why are his credentials for the Derby any better than Quality Road's were a year ago? Quality Road ran a huge race in the FOY last year as he ran against the race flow and dominated the field. To channel my inner Fat Man, he wiped out the field that day.

NT
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  #19  
Old 04-22-2010, 08:30 PM
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Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
Ok but up to this point I think Eskendereya is a better looking prospect then anyone you named.... Rachel,QR, IWR and Afleet Alex. Eskendereya has been awesome.
Ok, but when somebody says the crop is below par, they are talking about the depth of quality prospects. You have one, arguably two, that have clearly separated themselves thus far, and the depth, well, I just don't think it's there. We are looking at 20 entries and could only have 2 below 10-1 (I think Candy will be 8-1 or so).
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  #20  
Old 04-22-2010, 10:24 PM
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ninetoone ninetoone is offline
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Rule & Super Saver
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