|
|
 |
|
#1
05-13-2010, 09:32 AM
|
||||
|
||||
5/13: Belmont ($23k C/O); Churchill (Late P4)
Some solid opinions of the late action at Belmont Wednesday, but nothing I was thinking was going to land the enormous quad which brought back more than $9,000 ($1). Jimmy Wright's tough to use Kingsdale Ocean wired the nightcap with strong handling from Jorgie Chavez who got his first tally of the meet with the effort. Earlier prices in the 4th and 5th had already set up a carryover, so today's P6 starts out with $23k in the kitty. Very good pair of ALW's inside the late P4 at Churchill today as well. Hope you did OK yesterday and are getting excited about The Susie-Preakness action. Steve Crist, Steve Haskin, Rich Eng, Tony Black, Nick Tammaro, Brian Spencer, Jeff Siegel and/or Laffit Pincay III all on 'ATR' today!
BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 4th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super) Am curious at what point the Rudy Rodriguez magic begins to fade... or is stymied? Imagine having all this training talent to win at 48% and wasting all that time riding.. Best Value: #7 Smile of Success 12-1 4th Most Likely: #1 Timber Cruise 8-5 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Mr. Unstoppable 7-2 5th Super Add: #5 Metulla 8-1 WON 5th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (G/S, P3, DD) Not that enamored with .50 on the dollar Biz Jet who didn't return to the worktab for more than three weeks after the nice fig Gulfstream MDN-breaker. Horse behind her that day ran 72 BSF next out, and only Will Phipps' 6th place runner (Doe Run; #1a-AE in 8th today) has returned to win (1m-T MSW at Tampa-73 BSF). The horses Biz Jet faced in her debut (2nd) have turned out to be nothing special either with just Diosa Indian winning from that heat, (a 65 Beyer performance wiring slugs at DEL). The single everyone will use and the most likely winner, but will you be surprised if she faulters? Most Likely: #6 Biz Jet 1-2 4th Next Best: #1 Hot Trip 5-1 WON Exotics Use: #3 Cape Cod Carrie 6-1 5th 6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Distant Strike 3-1 WON Best Value: #8 Key Victory 5-1 4th Next Best: #9 Live On the Edge 7-2 Super Add: #4 Actor's Groove 20-1 2nd 7th: CLM/N1Y, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #9 Hangingonaprayer 3-1 WON Best Value: #5 Southside Babe 5-1 4th Next Best: #7 SCR Super Add: #3 Eightyfive S 8-1 3rd 8th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Protesting 5-2 WON Next Best: #6 Vee 5-1 3rd Best Value: #3 Rhys 10-1 4th Super Add: #1 Mehndi 12-1 9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super) Yeesh.. Some way to end the multis. Bad bunch of coconuts.. Best Value: #4 Hear Her Roar 6-1 2nd Most Likely: #10 Alwaysinmydreams 4-1 4th Next Best: #7 Conseated Lady 5-2 9th Super Add: #1 Charmed 6-1 5th <$200 P6 Play: 4: 1-4-5-7 5: 6 6: 5-8-9 7: 5-9 8: 6-7 9: 4-10 4x1x3x2x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 4-5-8-9 7: 3-5-9 8: 3-6-7 9: 4-10 4x3x3x2 = $72 CHURCHILL DOWNS POST-SCRATCHES 6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Warshaw 5-2 4th Best Value: #8 Big in Argentina 8-1 8th Next Best: #9 Mayor Tom 3-1 2nd Super Add: #7 Be Rich 10-1 3rd 7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, Super) Best Value: #10 La Gran Bailadora 5-1 5th Next Best: #6 Snow Top Mountain 3-1 WON Exotics Use: #3 Maestro Miss 5-1 6th Super Add: #8 Duomo 6-1 4th 8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Land of the Giants 5-2 5th Best Value: #6 Zion 15-1 6th Next Best: #7 Headache 3-1 4th Super Add: #5 Baryshnikov 12-1 7th 9th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f (Super, Super Hi-5) Most Likely: #2 Forest Lord 3-1 4th Next Best: #7 Home of the Gold 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #1 Betatron 6-1 Super Add: #10 G Areyoukidding 5-1 WON <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-7-8-9 7: 3-6-10 8: 3-6-7-8 9: 1-2-7 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 05-13-2010 at 05:38 PM. 
|
|
#2
05-13-2010, 11:41 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
BEL SCR/CHG'S
4th 6 Vinnies Wild Tale Early 6th 1 Morethan Fourhours Early 12 Giopi (IRE) Early 13 Royal Lord Early 14 Single Malt Early 7th 7 Innovator Early 8 Twisted Version Early 8th 1A Doe Run Early 4 Rumpus Room Early 9 Exiled Princess Early 12 Octomon Early 13 Hey Babe Early 9th 11 Joyful Linda Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
|
|
#3
05-13-2010, 11:46 AM
|
||||
|
||||
|
CD SCR/CHG'S
RACE 6 - LATE PICK 4 BEGINS (50-CENT MINIMUM WAGER) Late Workout #1 Warshaw - April 29, Churchill Downs, 7F, 1:27, breezing SCRATCH #5 Cray Cray RACE 7 SCRATCH AE #1A Queen Hazel (part of entry, #1 Oscar de la Thorn will run) SCRATCH #5 Thunder Way SCRATCH #7 Ithinkihadthatone AE #11 Ice Mist will run AE #12 She Be Classy will run and will now be ridden by Corey Nakatani RACE 8 Late Workout #4 Pathoki - May 7, Victory Haven Training Center, 4F, :49 2/5, breezing SCRATCH #8 Smarten Destiny RACE 9 - SUPER HI-5 / NO CARRYOVER SCRATCH #3 Step to the Music SCRATCH #4 Chesapeake Bay Late Workout #7 Home of the Gold - May 4, Trackside Louisville (CDT), 5F, 1:02, breezing SCRATCH #8 Archie Trucker
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
|
|
#4
05-13-2010, 01:24 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
early pick 4
2,5,6 with 3,4,5 with 3,4,5 with 6
|
|
#5
05-13-2010, 02:05 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Am curious at what point the Rudy Rodriguez magic begins to fade... or is stymied? Imagine having all this training talent to win at 48% and wasting all that time riding..
Steve....that's good stuff right there!
__________________
"I guess it comes down to a simple choice, really. Get busy livin' or get busy dyin'."
|
|
#6
05-13-2010, 02:40 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
 
|
|
#8
05-13-2010, 03:28 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
|
|
#9
05-13-2010, 03:34 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
|
|
#10
05-13-2010, 03:39 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Taking a shot with the 4
$20 wp
|
|
#11
05-13-2010, 04:01 PM
|
||||
|
||||
|
Quote:
Your write up on race 5 interested me in playing the P3 sequence. I was able to cash a couple of tickets, thank you.
|
|
#12
05-13-2010, 04:08 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Quote:
Race 7 $20 win 2
|
|
#14
05-13-2010, 04:42 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Race 8
$10 wps 1 Jara is a horrible turf rider but the odds are too good on this one.
|
|
#15
05-13-2010, 04:49 PM
|
|||
|
|||
|
Yep.
|
Linear Mode
