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#1
05-14-2010, 06:48 AM
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5/14: Pimlico Race Course (1st-13th)
Thursday's action turned into a teeth-gnasher, as Alan Goldberg turf debuter Humble Song upset the 9th at Belmont at 18-1 costing the P4 and a nice P6 conso. Upon further inspection, the $140k KEE September '08 purchase was indeed eligible for a turf jump-up as a half to the nice grass stakes winner Around the Cape. Ninth race 'Best Value' top tab Hear Her Roar was moving best but arrived too late to produce the desired mutuels. Earlier, I certainly felt right about the suspicions I had for Biz Jet in the 5th, and the $28.80 tote on 'Best Value' second choice Hot Trip helped the day along. But, I chose to leave her off the P6 ticket which proved the difference in cashing a conso or not cashing one. Of course I'd be a lot more upset about running 2nd with Hear Her Roar in the nightcap had I been alive for the jackpot at that point... Hope you did well as it wasn't a bad day overall.
Preakness Weekend arrives and the spectre of another day threatened by potential weather issues arrives with it. Serious chance for afternoon thunderstorms today, so let's hope for the best. The good news is that Saturday appears safe from any problem from the elements. Strong cards have been assembled by MJC Racing Secretary Georgeanne Hale for these two biggest days in the Chesapeake, despite budget and horse population problems. It should be a great couple of days, and I'm looking forward to getting down to Pimlico Saturday. Full look at the Black-Eyed Susan card action below, but check back later as I'll monitor the weather regarding the turf and any potential sloppy track inclusions that may arrise from a downpour. Full weekend coverage on ATR this afternoon! HI HO! PIMLICO POST SCRATCHES (12:45am) 1st: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super) Best Value: #8 Call of a Lion 10-1 WON ($18.20) Most Likely: #2 Yogi'ssplashofgold 2-1 3rd Next Best: #6 Tidal Change 9-2 6th Super Add: #3 Regretable Romance 8-1 4th 2nd: MD-S/HCP, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, Super) Most Likely: #11 With Purpose 5-1 WON ($8.80) Next Best: #6 Swear Allegiance 9-2 2nd Best Value: #4 Goodness Greatness 8-1 9th Super Add: #2 May One 4-1 6th 3rd: OC/N2X, 3+, 5f-T (P3, Super) First of 4 turf sprints on the day.. Most Likely: #1 Titanic Win 7-2 3rd Best Value: #14 Wildcat Jessie 20-1 10th Next Best: #8 Lycurgus 6-1 7th Super Add: #12 My Bullet 6-1 WON ($15.40) 4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, Super) A little hard to understand including charity race with retired riders in P4 sequence.. Most Likely: #5 Rasher 5-2 3rd Best Value: #6 Brogue 6-1 6th Next Best: #7 Chapel of Love 4-1 2nd Super Add: #4 Mass Destruction 10-1 4th 5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, Super) Most Likely: #6 Back to Therapy 2-1 2nd Best Value: #7 Staged Affair 8-1 5th Next Best: #3 Alwaysacontest 7-2 WON ($7.40) Super Add: #5 Gift From the Sea 8-1 6th 6th: 11th Very One, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P3, Super) As usual with turf sprint stakes, the favorites look like standouts. But these events are always subject to possible jump up winners, so try to utilize a price or two on multi-race back-up plays, and Linda Rice happens to have two of them in Ahvee's Destiny (SCR'D) and Lady Rizzi. I thought 20-1 Twice as Beautiful and 15-1 Always for Love were interesting bombs in here as well.. Most Likely: #2 Starfish Bay 8-5 WON ($3.80) Best Value: #11 Lady Rizzi 8-1 4th Next Best: #7 Canadian Ballet 3-1 5th Super Add: #14 Always for Love 15-1 8th 7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, Super) After the famed Bermuda interview with me on ATR, it's too bad Kent Desormeaux didn't land the mount here on Pink Sand! Most Likely: #7 Squabble 4-1 WON ($6.20) Best Value: #2 Mac Speed 10-1 5th Next Best: #1 Alpha Darlin 9-2 7th Super Add: #3 Dixieland Melody 5-2 3rd <$50 P4 Play: 4: 5 5: 3-5-6-7 6: 2-7-11 7: 1-2-3-7 1x4x3x4 = $48 8th: 5th Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3+, 5f-T (P3, Super) Best Value: #1 Cardashi 12-1 6th Most Likely: #10 Central City 5-1 WON ($8.40) Next Best: #8 Hero's Reward 4-1 3rd Super Add: #12 Blue Sailor 6-1 5th 9th: 25th Miss Preakness, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, Super) Most Likely: #5 Vindy City WON ($5.00) Next Best: #4 For Royalty 4th Exotics Use: #2 High Five Gal 5th 10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P3, Super) Best Value: #7 Super Chunky 6-1 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Oh My Me My 8-1 9th Next Best: #11 Phosphorescent 5-2 WON ($6.00) Super Add: #12 Conceit 6-1 3rd 11th: 18th Skipat, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, Super) Best Value: #8 All Giving 5-1 5th Next Best: #9 SCR Exotics Use: #10 Rate of Exchange 8-1 6th 12th: 86th Black-Eyed Susan (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (DD, Susan-Preakness Double, Super) Most Likely: #1 No Such Word 7-2 2nd Next Best: #6 Tidal Pool 8-5 3rd Best Value: #2 Seeking the Title 5-1 DNF-Incident Super Add: #5 Harissa 5-1 4th <$75 P4 Play: 9: 4-5 10: 4-7-11 11: 8-9/SCR-10 12: 1-6 (2-5) 2x3x3x2 = 36 x $2 = $72 (ALT: 2x3x3x4 = 72 x $1 = $72) <$50 Susan-Preakness Double Plays:  A: 1 with 8 = 1 x $20 = $20 B: 1 with 7-10-11 = 3 x $4 = $12 C: 2-5-6 with 8 = 3 x $3 = $9 D: 2-5-6 with 7-10-11 = 9 x $1 = $9 13th: 37th Hilltop, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (Super, Super High 5) Most Likely: #6 Smart Seattle 3-1 4th Best Value: #5 Joharmony 5-1 WON ($6.60) Next Best: #11 Potosina 7-2 3rd (DQ'd) Exotics Use: #8 Summer Shade 10-1 6th Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 05-14-2010 at 06:59 PM. 
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#2
05-14-2010, 06:52 AM
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Off to work and won't be playing today at all, just want to extend a 'good luck' to Steve and the fellow horseplayers! The value certainly seems to be there for the taking today. Hit the windows hard ladies and gents.
Lycurgus in the 3rd. Johnny Walker 'neat', DO IT!!
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#3
05-14-2010, 06:56 AM
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Middle 50's and surely "looking like Rain"......bring a sweater today Steve. Completely different feel than last year. Drive safe Rte 95 south has been lined with cruisers from the Delaware line to Rte 695 every AM this week.
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#4
05-14-2010, 07:02 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
05-14-2010, 07:32 AM
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At work myself and won't be able to play today, either. Did give your picks to a friend here at work who is heading to Franklin to play a little.
Hope everyone has a good day!!
__________________
"Success does not consist in never making blunders, but in never making the same one a second time." - Josh Billings
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#6
05-14-2010, 10:46 AM
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PIM SCR/CHG'S
1 12:15 #4 Congar Light 2 12:46 #3 Apron Dancer #8 Valay Cat #12 Devil Denied 3 1:15 4 1:45 5 2:16 #1 Toe Shoes 6 2:45 #1 Daily Candy #3 Rate Of Exchange #13 Life Lesson 7 3:25 8 3:45 #7 Smart Enough 9 4:16 #6 Starlight Starbrite 10 4:47 11 5:20 #2 Sweet Goodbye #3 Dontgetsuspicious #4 Mikeslittlegirl #5 Sterling Vow #9 Rightly So 12 6:00 13 6:30 #1 Worstcasescenario #4 Imanheiress #9 Kawiye
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#7
05-14-2010, 10:52 AM
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I think Awakino Cat will be right there in the 8th Stevie.
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#8
05-14-2010, 11:34 AM
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Quote:
 
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#9
05-14-2010, 11:35 AM
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#11
05-14-2010, 11:45 AM
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#12
05-14-2010, 12:15 PM
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Updated, Big Scratch of the #3 Cuff Me in the 9th:
Scratches Race 1 #4 Congar Light Race 2 #3 Apron Dancer, #8 Valay Cat, #12 Devil Denied Race 3 #9 Norjac, #10 Love Me Later, #13 Stone in Love Race 4 #9 Dance With Butters, #10 Davina's Baby, #11 Sun Dance Moon Race 5 #1 Toe Shoes Race 6 #1 Daily Candy, #3 Rate of Exchange, #5 Ahvee's Destiny, #13 Life Lesson Race 8 #5 Local Celebrity, #7 Smart Enough, #9 Awakino Cat Race 9 #3 Cuff Me, #6 Starlite Starbrite Race 10 #13 Billionaire Bob, #14 Ennis Race 11 #2 Sweet Goodbye, #3 Don'tgetsuspicious, #4 Mikeslittlegirl, #5 Sterling Vow, #9 Rightly So Race 13 #1 Worstcasescenario, #4 Imanheiress, #7 Little Missgrizzly, #9 Kawiye
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#14
05-14-2010, 01:06 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#15
05-14-2010, 01:39 PM
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Quote:
) and no need to deposit.Keep up the great work, I am going to throw a few bucks on some of your best values on top today. Certainly spices up the workday and a lot more fun than the law that I am knee deep in this afternoon!
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