Pick Three Probable on Belmont Saturday

Scav · #1 10-04-2006, 10:48 AM

HH/EC/Bern, how much does this pay if Bern wins, I am guessing $20 per $1 (If they run these races back to back to back, which I think they might

philcski · #2 10-04-2006, 11:08 AM

Probably like $25 for $2. Bernardini will be an overwhelming single and with two (likely) lukewarm favorites it's not going to pay much...

blackthroatedwind · #3 10-04-2006, 11:11 AM

English Channel looks like a very short priced favorite as well. I don't understand the Henny Hughes thing, but judging from what people are saying here, it's hard for him to be more than 8:5, so assuming these three races comprise a Pick-3 how can it even pay $20?

Thank God we know Henny Hughes is going to lose.

philcski · #4 10-04-2006, 11:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

English Channel looks like a very short priced favorite as well. I don't understand the Henny Hughes thing, but judging from what people are saying here, it's hard for him to be more than 8:5, so assuming these three races comprise a Pick-3 how can it even pay $20?

Thank God we know Henny Hughes is going to lose.

Who are the probables for the Turf Classic?

#5 10-04-2006, 11:25 AM

If those three win, I am thinking it will pay $12 for $2.

SniperSB23 · #6 10-04-2006, 11:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski

Who are the probables for the Turf Classic?

English Channel and his newly purchased rabbit Icy Atlantic, Frost Giant and Royal Highness from Europe. A couple other possibles.

Scav · #7 10-04-2006, 11:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

English Channel looks like a very short priced favorite as well. I don't understand the Henny Hughes thing, but judging from what people are saying here, it's hard for him to be more than 8:5, so assuming these three races comprise a Pick-3 how can it even pay $20?

Thank God we know Henny Hughes is going to lose.

Your not a fan of HH here?

Scav · #8 10-04-2006, 11:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by eurobounce

If those three win, I am thinking it will pay $12 for $2.

way too short given the pool size, at least $15 per $1, $20 per $1 was way out of control....

LOOk at the last time when HH and Bern won on the same day, the pick three paid like $30 I think, I am going to research it right now, probably won't be able to get it from Equibase

SniperSB23 · #9 10-04-2006, 11:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav

way too short given the pool size, at least $15 per $1, $20 per $1 was way out of control....

LOOk at the last time when HH and Bern won on the same day, the pick three paid like $30 I think, I am going to research it right now, probably won't be able to get it from Equibase

I think it paid $9.60 for a $2 bet with Bernardini, HH, and Ashkal Way.

Scav · #10 10-04-2006, 11:32 AM

that was for $1....

Scav · #11 10-04-2006, 11:34 AM

Actually, i just thought of this, I don't think HH and Bern were in the same sequence, there was a race in the middle there I think...

It was Ashkal and Bern and another nut horse

Scav · #12 10-04-2006, 11:36 AM

alright, we have confirmation that it went Ashkal/HH/Bern...I am hoping the replay of the race will show the prices

Scav · #13 10-04-2006, 11:37 AM

f*ck, no prices on the NYRA replay.....

SniperSB23 · #14 10-04-2006, 11:40 AM

I guessed high. It was $7.60 and for a $2 Pick 3.

http://www.drf.com/row/charts/06travers_chart.pdf

Pointg5 · #15 10-04-2006, 11:41 AM

I hope HH is the overwhelming favorite, he's a good horse and it wouldn't be surprised that he won, but I think Silver Train and War Front might have a thing to say about it..

Scav · #16 10-04-2006, 11:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

I guessed high. It was $7.60 and for a $2 Pick 3.

http://www.drf.com/row/charts/06travers_chart.pdf

Thanks Sniper, I'm an idiot, 5/2 was a gift with that the more I think about it. I didn't know Silver Train was running in this race, that sprint might be more wide open then I orginally thought, been out of the loop, might be diving back in this weekend though

Pointg5 · #17 10-04-2006, 11:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dixie Porter

I'm reasonably sure you'll eat that one, but I'll wait till Saturday. Would like him better at 7F, but I guess ya gotta play the cards you're dealt.

Don't know how you guys pick horses when ya don't even know if they'll be ALIVE post time.

Oh well everyone's got an opinion.......................

If you play the pik's, it doesn't matter, you're locked in...The only way to offset the takeout is to play pik's...

blackthroatedwind · #18 10-04-2006, 12:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav

Your not a fan of HH here?

Why would I be? He is facing horses that are faster than he has proven to be...at least so far. I'm not saying he can't win but I have no idea what he has done that people are conceding these races to him. War Front is a very good horse and Silver Train has certainly run a number of very good races. Both horses have run races that are superior to anything Henny Hughes has done. Now, if Henny Hughes was 4-1 or more I would consider using him, but at his likely much shorter price I have no idea why anyone would be excited about betting him.

ateamstupid · #19 10-04-2006, 03:27 PM

I gotta agree with Mr. S on this one.. I like Henny a lot, but he's vulnerable IMO. Silver Train looks like the horse to beat, followed by Henny and War Front. Henny can certainly win, but I would cover all three of those in one way or another.

#20 10-04-2006, 03:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

I gotta agree with Mr. S on this one.. I like Henny a lot, but he's vulnerable IMO. Silver Train looks like the horse to beat, followed by Henny and War Front. Henny can certainly win, but I would cover all three of those in one way or another.

Three good horses in one grade one race, its almost unheard of these days.