Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-05-2006, 09:19 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default Belmont: $167,000 C/o

The carryover at Belmont swelled to more than $160,000 Wednesday when Jimmy Ferraro's Salt and Pepper spiced up the P6 stew at $77. The sextet Thursday is torturous with five turf events no less than four maiden events (2 claiming, 2 specials), with one of each featured for state breds. A third carry would not be a surprise given the full fields...

The weekend kicks off Friday night with big stakes at Hoosier (Oaks) and Meadowlands (Pegasus) as well as the opening of Keeneland's fall meet. That card features a quality edition of the 1.5 mile Sycamore (Gr. III), and an incredible gathering of juvy fillies in the Gr. II Alcibiades. Saturday is Gold Cup Day at Belmont with 5 Gr. I stakes lined up, and Hoosier's biggest 48 hours caps the day with the $500,000 Indiana Derby. Full coverage of the weekend starts tonight on "At the Races and Beyond" (SIRIUS 125, 4-7pm EST) and on Derby Trail.com...


SELECTIONS -- Belmont Park, Thurs., October 5, Races 4-9 (P6+)


4th: MSW, 3+, 6f-IT (Superfecta, P6, P3)

Tough way to start a P6 as favorite (#1 Kal El, 3-1) looks very beatable..

1. #9 The Cuban Hawk 12-1: Hushion red hot; tabs Santos (T-J 3/6 @ meet)
2. #6 Tempt Fortune 7-2: Not in love with Pletcher-JV here, but red better on sod
A. #4 One Run Cat 5-1: J. Jerkens lawn firster adds to intrigue with blinks
B. #3 Swinn 8-1: Tab inviting on Lewis Swain bay that exits serious MSW

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #8 Quail Call (15-1) is by serious grass dad War Chant and has had consistant trouble exiting gate.. Threat under Luzzi with good start and predilection for loam..


5th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Grand Slam, P3)

A cluster of losers greets us if we get past Leg A... Five board hits from this group in 58 starts...

1. #4 Cathedral Lodge 7-5: The frog with the fewest worts
2. #7 I'm So Brave 5-1: Campo gelding showed a little in slop last; Mudlark?
A. #1e Paraneck entry 12-1: DeMola/Klanfer pair interesting at tab
B. #3 Lion Song 7-2: Dropper has regularly earn money against state's worst


6th: CLM, 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD, P4)

1. #8 UNBRIDLED BEHAVIOR 7-2: Counting on Bailes dropper as first P6 single
2. #1e Klesaris entry 5-1: #1 Western Missle OK; #1a Mascot tough as draw-in
A. #2 Acadiano 3-1: By Royal Academy, Pletch player away since Gulfstream
B. #4 Humdinger 6-1: Phipps homebred got it right with drop to M/CLM's last


7th: MDN CLM, 2yo fillies, 1m-T (P3)

Always thrilling to find maiden claiming juvy fillies lawn routing in the middle of your P6 play...

1. #9 Il Posto's Bambino 20-1: 1 of 5 droppers, red one of 2 with grass route tries
2. #8 Boxin Bob 7-2: Jump Start killing with grass bows; Hennig miss gets JJ
A. #1e Mott entry 5-2: Firsters from lawn maestro don't have to be stars
B. #4 Kim's Concern 20-1: Bailes Concerto red the other here with lawn route in view


8Th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-T (Superfecta, DD)

1. #1 Fairway Drive 8-1: 2nd single of P6; Gelding returns to prefered surface
2. #5 Cozadoro 10-1: Farro grey has been way better on lawn
A. #10 Here's Ya Souvenir 12-1: No win machine, but ITM 8 of 14 on BEL sod
B. #4 Dixie Baghdad 9-2: Figures in the mix with new technique shown last

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #11 (AE) Please Be Quick (15-1) would be a use if able to get into fray with sire Crowd Pleaser tossing turf winners with alacrity..


9th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (Superfecta)

1. #9 Your Hour's Up 2-1: Hard to argue with Pletcher Freud bay here
2. #5 Logic Way 12-1: 2nd Freud progeny here had debut washed off lawn
A. #6 Sir Cryptomite 12-1: Half to Galloping Grocer stumbled in first start
B. #10 Citifest 3-1: DQ'd from debut win and an underlaid ML 2nd choice
C. #8 Chasing the Crown 8-1: Land here desperate for a 'super' inclusion


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 3-4-6-9
5: 4-7
6: 8
7: 8-9-1e
8: 1
9: 5-9

4x2x1x3x1x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


Good luck..
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 10-05-2006 at 05:21 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-05-2006, 03:37 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

A scratch got Sciacca's Kris Angel into this upcoming 6th at BEL! Yikes.. Include underneath... Has ben in top form... and it's SEE-ACK-AAH!

OR ON TOP!! WINNER!!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 10-05-2006 at 03:41 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-05-2006, 03:46 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
A scratch got Sciacca's Kris Angel into this upcoming 6th at BEL! Yikes.. Include underneath... Has ben in top form... and it's SEE-ACK-AAH!

OR ON TOP!! WINNER!!
Wish we had had the chance to re-check the scratches here.. This horse of Gary's is in fabulous form and was absolutely usable with this group. Wow...

Get knocked out of the "6", but it's OK because it's C-Ack-Ah!!

You can't stop him.. you can only hope to contrain him.. 3rd win of the meet, and Grosvenor Square wins tomorrow for racing's Round Mound of Sound...!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-05-2006, 05:22 PM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Holy cow what a carryover for tomorrow!
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-05-2006, 05:22 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default Start working kids!

$456,000 Carryover Friday...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-05-2006, 05:23 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
Holy cow what a carryover for tomorrow!
PP,

Will reach $1.2-1.5 mill.. They usually triple.. A rarity in NY and I'm shocked no one hit this today...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10-05-2006, 05:26 PM
Coach Pants
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
PP,

Will reach $1.2-1.5 mill.. They usually triple.. A rarity in NY and I'm shocked no one hit this today...
I am too. The payout for 5 has me scratching my head.

Should be an exciting day tomorrow. I'm in.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 10-05-2006, 08:40 PM
Nostradamus Nostradamus is offline
Ak-Sar-Ben
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 679
Default

I will predict nobody will hit this until Columbus Day.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 10-06-2006, 01:54 AM
dalakhani's Avatar
dalakhani dalakhani is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Washington dc
Posts: 5,277
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
The carryover at Belmont swelled to more than $160,000 Wednesday when Jimmy Ferraro's Salt and Pepper spiced up the P6 stew at $77. The sextet Thursday is torturous with five turf events no less than four maiden events (2 claiming, 2 specials), with one of each featured for state breds. A third carry would not be a surprise given the full fields...

The weekend kicks off Friday night with big stakes at Hoosier (Oaks) and Meadowlands (Pegasus) as well as the opening of Keeneland's fall meet. That card features a quality edition of the 1.5 mile Sycamore (Gr. III), and an incredible gathering of juvy fillies in the Gr. II Alcibiades. Saturday is Gold Cup Day at Belmont with 5 Gr. I stakes lined up, and Hoosier's biggest 48 hours caps the day with the $500,000 Indiana Derby. Full coverage of the weekend starts tonight on "At the Races and Beyond" (SIRIUS 125, 4-7pm EST) and on Derby Trail.com...


SELECTIONS -- Belmont Park, Thurs., October 5, Races 4-9 (P6+)


4th: MSW, 3+, 6f-IT (Superfecta, P6, P3)

Tough way to start a P6 as favorite (#1 Kal El, 3-1) looks very beatable..

1. #9 The Cuban Hawk 12-1: Hushion red hot; tabs Santos (T-J 3/6 @ meet)
2. #6 Tempt Fortune 7-2: Not in love with Pletcher-JV here, but red better on sod
A. #4 One Run Cat 5-1: J. Jerkens lawn firster adds to intrigue with blinks
B. #3 Swinn 8-1: Tab inviting on Lewis Swain bay that exits serious MSW

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #8 Quail Call (15-1) is by serious grass dad War Chant and has had consistant trouble exiting gate.. Threat under Luzzi with good start and predilection for loam..


5th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Grand Slam, P3)

A cluster of losers greets us if we get past Leg A... Five board hits from this group in 58 starts...

1. #4 Cathedral Lodge 7-5: The frog with the fewest worts
2. #7 I'm So Brave 5-1: Campo gelding showed a little in slop last; Mudlark?
A. #1e Paraneck entry 12-1: DeMola/Klanfer pair interesting at tab
B. #3 Lion Song 7-2: Dropper has regularly earn money against state's worst


6th: CLM, 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD, P4)

1. #8 UNBRIDLED BEHAVIOR 7-2: Counting on Bailes dropper as first P6 single
2. #1e Klesaris entry 5-1: #1 Western Missle OK; #1a Mascot tough as draw-in
A. #2 Acadiano 3-1: By Royal Academy, Pletch player away since Gulfstream
B. #4 Humdinger 6-1: Phipps homebred got it right with drop to M/CLM's last


7th: MDN CLM, 2yo fillies, 1m-T (P3)

Always thrilling to find maiden claiming juvy fillies lawn routing in the middle of your P6 play...

1. #9 Il Posto's Bambino 20-1: 1 of 5 droppers, red one of 2 with grass route tries
2. #8 Boxin Bob 7-2: Jump Start killing with grass bows; Hennig miss gets JJ
A. #1e Mott entry 5-2: Firsters from lawn maestro don't have to be stars
B. #4 Kim's Concern 20-1: Bailes Concerto red the other here with lawn route in view


8Th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-T (Superfecta, DD)

1. #1 Fairway Drive 8-1: 2nd single of P6; Gelding returns to prefered surface
2. #5 Cozadoro 10-1: Farro grey has been way better on lawn
A. #10 Here's Ya Souvenir 12-1: No win machine, but ITM 8 of 14 on BEL sod
B. #4 Dixie Baghdad 9-2: Figures in the mix with new technique shown last

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #11 (AE) Please Be Quick (15-1) would be a use if able to get into fray with sire Crowd Pleaser tossing turf winners with alacrity..


9th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (Superfecta)

1. #9 Your Hour's Up 2-1: Hard to argue with Pletcher Freud bay here
2. #5 Logic Way 12-1: 2nd Freud progeny here had debut washed off lawn
A. #6 Sir Cryptomite 12-1: Half to Galloping Grocer stumbled in first start
B. #10 Citifest 3-1: DQ'd from debut win and an underlaid ML 2nd choice
C. #8 Chasing the Crown 8-1: Land here desperate for a 'super' inclusion


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 3-4-6-9
5: 4-7
6: 8
7: 8-9-1e
8: 1
9: 5-9

4x2x1x3x1x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


Good luck..
Steve
Your red selections were excellent Mr. Byk. If you played those all to win, you had a nice day.

If you play that pick 6 tommorow you have more guts than me. I studied it tonight but by my math it would take at very least a 500+ ticket to even have a small puncher's chance. Too tough a card for me.

Good luck.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 10-06-2006, 07:16 AM
Hickory Hill Hoff's Avatar
Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: the "Sand Flats"
Posts: 6,903
Default Did the same Steve!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Wish we had had the chance to re-check the scratches here.. This horse of Gary's is in fabulous form and was absolutely usable with this group. Wow...

Get knocked out of the "6", but it's OK because it's C-Ack-Ah!!

You can't stop him.. you can only hope to contrain him.. 3rd win of the meet, and Grosvenor Square wins tomorrow for racing's Round Mound of Sound...!
I scored with last time out and overlooked him today...bad bad move for me!
Usually, I stay with a horse when he wins @ a price, but totally left him out
and he gets up in time again!
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction"

http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 06:12 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.