11/28: Churchill ($55k C/O); Golden Gate ($350k C/O)

[Kasept]

Huge Holiday Weekend winding down today, but not without some potential fireworks. Churchill has a mandatory payout P6 carryover that starts with $55k, and Golden Gate's sextet pool reached a shocking $350k when no one negotiated the skein again Saturday.

The explosions Saturday came on the track in the form of both bonus mutuels and eye-catching stakes babies. Tote shockers were delivered by Tagg's 35-1 Cigar Mile surprise Jersey Town and Harty's cycle-back Citation winner Victor's Cry (11-1). And while their trainees went postward as choices, Bill Mott and Ken McPeek got impressive efforts from their respective colt and filly. Charlotte Weber's To Honor and Serve wrapped up a nice juvenile campaign for Mott with a facile Remsen win that earned a 102 Beyer, and McPeek's Kathmanblu demolished the Golden Rod in faster time than Santiva in the KY JC.

Wagering was rolling along at Aqueduct until the late double derailed everything. Shug's Data Link started the Big A action off nicely keying a $115 triple and $360 super, before chalky results began lowering the exotics and multis. Today, let's help Churchill finishes its' fall meet and attack the mandatory pay P6. I'll take a budget swing at the Golden Gate bonanza sixas well...


CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Raipur Road 3-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Ash 4-1 WON ($13.40)
Best Value: #1 Elliday 20-1 5th
Super Add: #11 Miss Ziggy 5-1 2nd


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Lejadami 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Best Value: #9 Intercoastal 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Hurricane Day 3-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Romans Reward 5-1 2nd


8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Captain Cherokee 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #7 Silver Edition 10-1 6th
Next Best: #2 A Diehl 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Posse Cat 8-1 7th


9th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Eden Star 4-5 7th
Next Best: #1 Rhondda Gardens 6-1 8th
Best Value: #5 Chapella 20-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Lemon Loaf 5-1 6th


10th: ALW/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Guys Reward 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #10 Au Moon 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Harken Up 4-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Victory Notion 5-1 7th


11th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Strongly So 6-1 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #6 I'm Not Afraid 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Take Note 10-1 4th
Super Add: #13 Sariah 20-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #12 Chiloe 5-1 2nd

$1 Exacta (4-12) Paid $23.00
$1 Trifecta (4-12-6) Paid $82.80
$1 Superfecta (4-12-6-10) Paid $272.10
$2 Exact 5 (4-12-6-10-13) Paid $2,679.00


<$150 P6 Play:

6: 2-8
7: 6-9-11
8: 6-7
9: 1-3
10: 11
11: 4-6-10

2x3x2x2x1x3 = 72 x $2 = $144

$2 Pick 6 (8/4,5,6/6/13/1,11/4) 5 of 6 Paid $310.00 x 2 = $620.00


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-3-5-6-7
9: 1-3
10: 6-7-9-10-11
11: 4-6-10

5x2x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75



GOLDEN GATE FIELDS


PRE-SCRATCHES


<$50 P6 Play:

4: 4
5: 2-3-8
6: 5
7: 1-2-6-9
8: 4
9: 1-4

1x3x1x4x1x2 = 24 x $2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

CD SCR/CHG'S

[a_rookie]

if i am up by post time, my also-ran GG PK6
*/5 /6/128/1/5
1/2837/6/128/1/5
1/5/45/128/1/5
1/5/6/128/1/641
1/5/6/128/36/5461

[dagolfer33]

G/L Steve, just looking @ payoffs, consos should be OK you would think??

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by dagolfer33

G/L Steve, just looking @ payoffs, consos should be OK you would think??

Have to get one first. Don't like how well bet Chiloe is. Thx though. Made a run at the thing anyway...

[dagolfer33]

Please tell me you played the hi5......

[dagolfer33]

They are hard to hit, turned a decent profit though....great job.

[herkhorse]

Nice Job Steve

[Kasept]

Thx.. Didn't play the Hi-5. Was an OK day but am more than a little disappointed seeing that $200k payoff. Looked at the Arnold horse after the SCR's and recognized she wasn't impossible by any means. And as it happens, I had texted Rusty this morning about his debut winner Saturday. Would needed to spend considerably to get her on the ticket though.

Can't be too unhappy with the approach I guess. The favorite was ridiculously bad and ridden stupidly by Mo. The Pletcher missed the break but could have gotten involved if she was any good. Not sure what scenario gets me a winning play today.

Hope those that tagged along did well.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by herkhorse

Nice Job Steve

Thx Tom..

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by Kasept

And as it happens, I had texted Rusty this morning about his debut winner Saturday.

Liked his performance - what does he think of him moving forward?

[tanner12oz]

this golden gate might carry again....

6 Marsky's Pride 25.40
10 Cozzena Angelina 11.00
5 Eddie Coddana 7.40
7 Wise Student 38.80

[tanner12oz]

geez paid something like 420K to the winnner