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  #1  
Old 12-11-2010, 08:02 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 12/11: Aqueduct, Calder, Remington (P4's); My Charmer, Starlet

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Considering the price tags, this is a very competitive race with a number of solid and in form (such as it is) runners..

Most Likely: #7 Late SCR -- P4 play gets post time favorite 11
Best Value: #8 Conflicted 8-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Idol Image 6-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Payout 4-1 7th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super)

As discussed on ATR Friday with Nick Tammaro, this heat has almost no easy cross-outs, and favored pair inside appear no better than the next 5-6 choices..

Best Value: #6 Slevin 10-1 4th
Next Best: #9 E Knows Why 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Keep Me Informed 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #5 Gunfighter 8-1 5th


8th: 105th Queen's County (G3), 3+, 9.5f (DD)

Excluding Pedrolino, a group within a small handful of lengths of each other. Very little pace in here going the Preakness trip, and pesky Senior's Pride may be tough to reel in late if allowed to loaf up front. Very curious edition of this century-old standard, and I'll try to create value with the 4 & 5..

Best Value: #4 Seniors Pride 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Arson Squad 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 More Than a Reason 15-1 WON ($40.20)


9th: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Uggh. This is some bad bunch o' coconuts..

Most Likely: #8 Gotta Go Round 4-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Elsie's Warrior 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Jello Shot 7-2 WON ($15.00)
Super Add: #9 Goldenstatewarrior 10-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-7-8 (Late SCR gets 11 added)
7: 1-6-9
8: 1-4
9: 8-9-10-11

3x3x2x4 = $72



CALDER RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: S/ALW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Chon 4-1 8th
Best Value: #9 Flying Approval 8-1 WON ($18.80)
Next Best: #6 Peaceadaaction 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Special Song 10-1 6th


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 9f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Hannah's Princess 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Miss Olivia Rae 12-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Marquet Madness 7-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Crazy Catlady 6-1 2nd


9th: ALW/N1X, 2yo, 6f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Hugh and Me 5-2 5th
Next Best: #8 Gold for Cash 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Dual Exhauzt 6-1 WON ($13.60)


10th: ALW/N$Y, 3+, 7.5f-T (P3, Super)

Best Value: #4 Almuraad 8-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Exchanging Kisses 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Little Mike 3-1 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #1 Nineinthenine 10-1 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-6-9
8: 1-3-5-7
9: 4-7-8
10: 4-5-6

4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


11th: 27th Fred W. Hooper H. (G3), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Mambo Meister 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #8 Imperial Council 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 St. Maximus Gato 4-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Chirac 3-1 4th



TURFWAY PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: 31st My Charmer, F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Miss Blakely 4-1 11th
Best Value: #10 Haka 8-1 9th
Next Best: #12 Kiss Mine 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #11 My Baby Baby 4-1 3rd



HOLLYWOOD PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: 30th Hollywood Starlet (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Turbulent Descent 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #7 Zazu 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Tell a Kelly 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 May Day Rose 7-2 4th



REMINGTON PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: OC/N1X, 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Gray Cat 3-1 5th
Best Value: #11 Jazzin Okie 5-1 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #2 Texas Tempest 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Dilly Whopper 12-1 9th


9th: OK-End of the Trail, 3yo, 7f (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Vertical Vision 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Hollywood Ice 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 SCR
Super Add: #4 S C King of Hearts 20-1 9th


10th: Springboard Mile, 2yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Relatively unknown late season juvy route has lured some interesting players..

Most Likely: #7 Caleb's Posse 7-2 7th
Best Value: #1 Rampaige 8-1 9th
Next Best: #12 Chipshot 9-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Twinspired 5-1 8th


11th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f (Super)

Nearly impossible to seperate this group. Brutally tough anchor to the P4..

Best Value: #6 Glenbeigh 9-2 10th
Next Best: #11 Our Sacred Honor 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Berlioz 15-1 12th
Super Add: #4 No Walkin' Joe 15-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-3-11
9: 2-4-5
10: 1-7
11: 4-5-6-11

3x3x2x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 12-12-2010 at 06:00 AM.
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  #2  
Old 12-11-2010, 11:48 AM
MISTERGEE MISTERGEE is offline
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Location: MIAMI
Posts: 1,978
Default Calder Big 4

heres my stab at the crc pic 4

7)
#3 Chon-Fawkes & Moreno go for 3 in a row on this one
8)
#5 Miss Olivia Rae-may be biased as bro is part owner of this one but has been generally facing tougher and although I do like Galviz gets the switch to Coa-1 worry is that turf is not really turf at Crc as course is shot
#7 Hannahs Princess- comes off troubled trip in last and goes from Panici to Saez
9)
#5 Act of Defiance- won first time out and now tries winners also goes fron Galviz to Coa
10)
#4 Almuraad- beat Twilight Meteor 2 back with Alvarez who is now back on board
#9 Mean Sax- dont ever like to leave out a Dwoskin trained horse
#11 Livingston Street- might be set up for this ones late running kick
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  #3  
Old 12-11-2010, 12:50 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S

CRC SCR/CHG'S

TP SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #4  
Old 12-11-2010, 02:56 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Hittin the Note a Late SCR.. Uggh.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #5  
Old 12-11-2010, 04:47 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Carryover Pool $33,214 at Aqueduct

$40,800 Late P4 ($1). Anywhere between 3-6 winners.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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