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#1
10-22-2011, 07:38 AM
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10/22: Belmont Park (NY Showcase Day)
Coming to you from Willoughby, OH as I make my way to Louisville for ATR's two week coverage of Breeders' Cup, the 4th I will have attended at Churchill ('00, '06, '10). Want to get underway southbound to be able to enjoy the good card at Belmont with the NY Showcase stakes making for a fun afternoon of wagering. Elsewhere, Hawthorne features the Illini bred fall stakes slate, Laurel returns the DeFrancis Dash and Keeneland offers a nice sequence anchored by the G2 Raven Run where I want to try #5 Funny Sunny (10-1). Talk to you Monday from Churchill Downs.. Enjoy the weekend!
BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 1st: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) At 3-1, Bud White on the turf has no appeal. Look elsewhere.. Best Value: #11 Living Right 6-1 4th Next Best: #7 Fortissi More 6-1 2nd Exotics Use: #9 Gamblin Fever 8-1 5th Super Add: #1 Artie Luvsto Party 15-1 12th 2nd: 33rd Iroquois-NY, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Lovely Lil OK, but 8-5 a little heavy-handed.. Best Value: #9 Spa City Princess 8-1 3rd Next Best: #3 Lovely Lil 8-5 2nd Exotics Use: #8 Nicole's Miss El 12-1 9th Super Add: #4 Risky Rachel 5-2 WON ($7.50) 3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Of those that have run, Flea Flicker obviously stands out, and Pat Kelly's Paws Up is the first foal out of Fox Ridge's excellent SW Homerette. Among the firsters, note eye-opening $200k at OBS for the Kafwain ($5k fee) miss Peggy Jane, which was 9th most expensive purchase overall and 5th highest among fillies.. Most Likely: #7 Hot Splash 5-1 7th Best Value: #9 Appealetta 15-1 11th Next Best: #5 Flea Flicker 3-1 4th Exotics Use: 12 Peggy Jane 4-1 2nd Super Add: #8 Paws Up 30-1 10th 4th: 18th Bongard-NY, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1e Flying Zee entry 2-1 (#1x The Prize Fighter preferred) WON ($4.60)/3rd/4th/12th Best Value: #3 Ganador 12-1 9th Next Best: #4 Jaw Crusher 5-1 2nd Exotics Use: #7 Tug of War 30-1 5th (3rd for wagering) 5th: MSW-NY, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Ocala Queen 5-1 5th Next Best: #1 Late SCR Best Value: #8 Silver Prize 12-1 8th Super Add: #10 Grand Savanna 20-1 9th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 3-4-8-9 3: 5-7-9-12 4: 1-3-4 5: 1/SCR-3-8 4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 6th: 34th Hudson-NY, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #8 Preachintothedevil 10-1 8th Next Best: #1e Repole entry 7-2 4th/7th Exotics Use: #9 Pretty Boy Freud 5-2 9th Super Add: #7 General Maximus 4-1 WON ($10.40) 7th: 18th Gimma-NY, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Good race here with play against fave in girl over boys NYB Futurity winner Wildcat's Smile. Victory Island (7-2) solid but draws tricky rail slot for seven-eighths voyage, and three prices I'm using with her all look like potential winners. Have some fun here as formula is right for lucrative result.. Best Value: #11 Bellacourt 10-1 WON ($20.00) Next Best: #1 Victory Island 7-2 9th Eotics Use: #9 Harbor Mist 6-1 7th Super Add: #5 Newbie 8-1 11th 8th: 31st Ticonderoga-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Hessonite 7-2 WON ($7.50) Best Value: #4 Mystic City 12-1 5th Next Best: #3 Gitchee Goomie 9-5 2nd Exotics Use: #10 Rogue's Jewel 8-1 4th 9th: 36th Empire Classic-NY, 3+, 9f (DD) Best Value: #3 Johannesburg Smile 9-2 3rd Next Best: #5 Ichabad Crane 4-1 4th Exotics Use: #4 Haynesfield 8-5 WON ($3.70) Multi Include: #7 Inherit the Gold 5-2 7th 10th: 33rd Mohawk-NY, 3+, 8.5f-IT (Super) Most Likely: #5 Compliance Officer 8-5 WON ($2.80) Best Value: #2 Adirondack Summer 9-2 3rd Next Best: #10 Pocket Cowboys 4-1 7th Exotics Use: #1 Minnie Punt 10-1 5th <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-5-9-11 8: 3-4-6 9: 3-4-5-7 10: 2-5-10 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 $.50 Pick 4 (11-7-4-5) Paid $116.10 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 10-22-2011 at 06:33 PM. 
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#2
10-22-2011, 07:44 AM
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#3
10-22-2011, 07:57 AM
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Quote:
G/L this wknd!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
10-22-2011, 08:20 AM
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A Twilight Zone reference in a horse selection thread..............only at Derby Trail!! Loved that episode.
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A racehorse is an animal that can take several thousand people for a ride at the same time. ~Author Unknown
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#6
10-22-2011, 08:48 AM
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Steve - how bout a little DT love for BD racing stable's Lady Gracenote in the 2nd today
 were gonna need all the help we can get!BOL to all today! Race 2-7/3-4-6-9 Let's fool around with those numberes Chuck DT Partner BD racing stable
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Nelson and Union
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#8
10-22-2011, 12:17 PM
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#10
10-22-2011, 09:47 PM
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It's a shame that it chalked out after the $20 winner of the 7th, but regardless nice job anyway Steve.
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Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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