FRI - Breeders' Cup (Day 1) Churchill - Entire Card

[Bogey]

Churchill Downs


R1 - OC 62k/N2X

#8 Rothko (5-2) WON $5.00
#5 Grand Traverse (7-2)
#9 Shrill (6-1) 4TH
#1 Privilaged (5-1)

R2 - Alw 48k

#10 Bonaroo (12-1)
#9 Katz My Song (7-2) 3RD
#2 Gentle Tap (5-1) 4TH

R3 - G2 Ack Ack Handicap

#3 Gladding (4-1) 4TH
#1 Nacho Friend (5-1)
#7 Equestrio (5-1)
#2 Alma d'Oro (3-1) 2ND

R4 - Jimmy V 85k

#5 Southern Dude (6-1)
#2 Uncle Brent (6-1) 3RD
#10 Fast Bullet (5-1)
#11 Wine Police (4-1) 2ND

R5 - BC Juvenile Sprint 500k

#6 Secret Circle (6-5) - Most accomplished runner gets a nice draw. WON $2.80
#2 Sum of the Parts (15-1) - Has a win at CD.
#5 Shumoos (15-1) - Filly has a nice dirt pedigree. 2ND
#9 Vexor (5-1) - Beat a few of these in the G2 Nashua.

PK5 - 1 2 5 8 / 4 9 10 / 1 2 3 4 7 / 2 5 / 6 = $60 for $.50

R6 - G2 BC Juvenile Fillies Turf (8F)

#2 Dayatthespa (12-1) - Ramon will have options from an ideal post.
#6 Sweet Cat (10-1) - Improving filly should be in the mix throughout. 3RD
#10 Elusive Kate (2-1) - Proven in Europe for sharp connections.
#14 Somali Lemonade (3-1) - Wide post not a major concern for dead closer.
#13 Customer Base (12-1) - Should handle turf from brutal draw.

R7 - G1 BC F & M Sprint

#6 Switch (3-1) - BEST BET 2nd last year and peaks 2nd off a break. Possible singleton in Multi-wagers. 2ND
#8 Tanda (20-1) - Returns to dirt and has a huge shot at a price.
#3 Turbulent Descent (6-5) - 3 month layoff a bit of a concern.
#12 Pomeroys Pistol (6-1) - Made short work of G2 company in New York. 4TH
#5 Musical Romance (20-1) - Consistent sort must be considered underneath. WON $42.40

R8 - G1 BC Juvenile Fillies

#10 Northern Passion (12-1) - Gets plenty pace to uncork a late rally.
#11 Weemissfrankie (4-1) - Cali filly has enjoyed pace meltdowns before. 3RD
#9 My Miss Aurelia (5-2) - Speed and Class always a dangerous combo. WON $6.20
#5 Grace Hall (4-1) - Looks to stalk and pounce. 2ND
#7 Putthebabiesdown (30-1) - Has the right style and price.

R9 - BC F & M Turf (11F)

#5 Nahrain (GB) (7-2) - 3yr old filly dug in gamely in Group 1 win. 2ND
#6 Announce (GB) (9-2) - Comes across to pond to turn the tables on top choice? LATE SCRATCH
#1 Dubawi Heights (GB) (8-1) - Has been in top form for the entire year.
#2 Stacelita (Fr) (2-1) - Has done little wrong since her arrival to U.S.
#12 Misty For Me (Ire) (10-1) - Respect mulitple Group 1 winner, but looks to be wide throughout. 3RD

R10 - G1 BC Ladies' Classic

#2 Pachattack (12-1) - Versatile runner is battle tested. 3RD
#3 It's Tricky (5-1) - Look for her to bounce back with better a trip. 2ND
#8 Plum Pretty (2-1) - Will she have enough in the tank late?
#6 Royal Delta (5-2) - Probably better at 10F, but still capable. WON $6.40
#1 Miss Match (Arg) (10-1) - Gets a relief from facing the boys in G1's.

Ladies' Classic / Classic Double - $10 - 2 3 / 2 5 = $40

PK6 - 6 / 2 6 10 13 14 / 6 / 5 9 10 11 / 5 6 / 2 3 = $160

PK4 - 3 6 8 / 5 7 9 10 11 / 1 2 5 6 12 / 2 3 = $75 for $.50


Good Racing Luck

[dagolfer33]

Thanks for the hard work Gus, best wishes this weekend.

[Bogey]

Originally Posted by dagolfer33

Thanks for the hard work Gus, best wishes this weekend.

Thanks, DG - pulling for you guys on Saturday night.

[ADJMK]

Hey Gus your picks are similar to mine. Love Tanda as a shot. The one I am worried about is Northern Passion. I love who she beat last start but am concerned why no work since Oct 24. Casse other starters all worked the 31st and I haven't heard any mention of how she has gone over the dirt.

[Bogey]

Originally Posted by ADJMK

Hey Gus your picks are similar to mine. Love Tanda as a shot. The one I am worried about is Northern Passion. I love who she beat last start but am concerned why no work since Oct 24. Casse other starters all worked the 31st and I haven't heard any mention of how she has gone over the dirt.

Good luck this weekend. Northern Passion has gotten a couple of works over the CD dirt since her Natalma win and comes in to this race with a similar pattern (10 days prior to the race). I've read she's doing fine over the dirt and Casse has done it before with Delightful Mary (finished 3rd w/o a prior dirt start).

[ADJMK]

Originally Posted by Bogey

Good luck this weekend. Northern Passion has gotten a couple of works over the CD dirt since her Natalma win and comes in to this race with a similar pattern (10 days prior to the race). I've read she's doing fine over the dirt and Casse has done it before with Delightful Mary (finished 3rd w/o a prior dirt start).

Thanks for pointing that out. Was looking for some info and found this on Woodbine site

Norman Casse, assistant trainer for his father, Mark, has high hopes for his Grade 3 Grey Stakes champion, Prospective.

"He goes over the dirt so beautifully," said Norman Casse. "Ever since he got down here, he's really trained on the bridle."

The dark bay son of Malibu Moon-Spirited Away has shown ability on both the Polytrack and turf at Woodbine, and the assistant sees a striking similarity to how their Grade 1 Stephen Foster winner, Pool Play, trained in advance of a shock 36-1 score earlier this year at Churchill Downs.

"For the most part, he's a very professional race horse," said Casse. "This Malibu Moon colt trains just like Pool Play. He moves just like him and that's one of the things that's really encouraging us that he's going to run a good race on Saturday."

Prospective put in a mile and a half regular gallop on Thursday morning.

Stablemate Northern Passion, who captured the Grade 3 Natalma on the turf at Woodbine, will also try a new surface Friday when she contests the $2-million Juvenile Fillies over the main track.

Casse is impressed with how the filly has settled in at Churchill Downs.

"She's had two works over the track and worked well, finished strong," said Casse. "Dad believes that the dirt track here at Churchill Downs is a lot like Polytrack, and if you look at it historically, a lot of turf horses have run really well on the main here at Churchill. We're buying into that switchover. She's already won on two surfaces and breezes like she likes the dirt so we're not worried about that."

Both Casse trainees are owned by John C. Oxley.

[ADJMK]

my P6:

6/2,10/3,6,8/5,9/2/1,3,6 - $72

[dpkovalesky]

Gus--

No ladies classic/ classic double play??

you always seem to do well on those

GL today

[dylbert]

Originally Posted by dpkovalesky

Gus--

No ladies classic/ classic double play??

you always seem to do well on those

GL today

Where's Waldo? It's there just look for it!

[dpkovalesky]

Originally Posted by dylbert

Where's Waldo? It's there just look for it!

touche'

guess my eyes are glossed over from looking at pp's all night