#1
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How do you approach a new meet?
With Saratoga and Del Mar opening this week, any tips for handicapping the start of a new meet?
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#2
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For Del Mar, go buy yourself a dart board and a blindfold.
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#3
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same with saratoga for the 1st week.
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#4
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For most of the first couple of weeks I'm focusing on Turf races and maybe those trainers who were hot coming out of Belmont.
Oh, and watching for signs of the Kasept train to start rolling too.
__________________
“Once there was only dark. If you ask me, light’s winning.”–Rust Cohle – True Detective |
#5
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....And a bottle of that Kirkland vodka from Costco. You know, the Grey Goose knock off.
__________________
"I guess it comes down to a simple choice, really. Get busy livin' or get busy dyin'." |
#6
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go get some jim mazur meet trainer angles for toga...go with the trends..
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#7
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Not a fan. Formulator, put the time in and follow Serling and Byk.
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#8
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training over the track
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#9
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bad faves
focus on the bad faves at the Spa. only 1 in 3 faves win and 1 in 3 are out of the money. Also vary your first end of the pick 4. If BTW and EL JEFE are on the same guy, this might be where to take a rare stand against, for the sake of value. make it a pick 3, but start with only double digit or better hosses in the first leg
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#10
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Spa meet is a couple weeks longer so sitting out the first week until you get a gauge on what is working isn't going to kill you. If you need action look for Byks value horses on Top or Andy's Tweets that are 5-1 or better.
__________________
Game Over |
#11
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Dean Peterson firsters at Del Mar
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#12
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Quote:
Scat |
#13
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Quote:
Don't get caught up in the recent pp's, the surface is so different than HP, and to a greater extent, SA, so they don't have the same correlation regarding performance. There is a greater inefficiency in the pools and opportunity because of this, but its not for the lazy, quick handicapping style.
__________________
"To learn who rules over you, simply find out who you are not allowed to criticize"...Voltaire |
#14
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Saratoga: Watch closely the first week and black book horses likely to come back and win their second race at the end of the meet, when the competition is more a bunch of leftover stuff thrown all together during closing week repeat/2nd chance races.
__________________
"Have the clean racing people run any ads explaining that giving a horse a Starbucks and a chocolate poppyseed muffin for breakfast would likely result in a ten year suspension for the trainer?" - Dr. Andrew Roberts |
#15
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Wow, lots of good stuff. Thanks everyone.
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#16
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Please to you... Im to the point where I defer to them for any claiming race. Serling is the goods. I consider myself a MSW, Allowance and Stakes kingpin.
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#17
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MSW? As in Municipal Solid Waste?
I like the kingpin thing too. I looked up what that means, and one of the definitions sorta fit you, though I think there was a typo... A main or large bolt in a central position. I think the 'b' in bolt was supposed to be a 'd'. |
#18
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Oops, I forgot to include a
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#19
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Quote:
Its been a while now, you won't get another response out of me. Don't waste your time. |
#20
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Quote:
It has everything to do with you being a POS. |