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#1
10-20-2012, 05:15 AM
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10/20: Belmont Park (NY Showcase); Keeneland (7th-10th)
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES 1st: NY-MSW, 2yo-D, 6f (P3, DD) Kenneally can win with a firster and introduces Graceful Meghan, a full sister to 2010 Ballerina (G1) winner Rightly So.. Best Value: #9 Graceful Meghan 4-1 8th Next Best: #7 Nonnie Connie 5-2 WON ($4.80) Exotics Use: #5 Shake Senora 8-1 8th Super Add: #8 Miss Rubycubes 10-1 10th <$25 DD: 9 with 4-6-7 (1x3 x $6 = $18); 9 with 1-3-9 (1x3 x $2 = $6) 2nd: 33rd Iroquois-NY, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Interesting start to the Showcase action with all but 2-5-8 looking capable on best. Make sure to appreciate the difference between success sprinting 7f v. success at 6f.. Most Likely: #7 Risky Rachel 5-2 5th Next Best: #6 Beautiful But Blue 7-2 4th Best Value: #4 Miss Valentine 8-1 2nd Exotics Use: #3 Agave Kiss 2-1 7th 3rd: MSW-NY, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD) Best Value: #2 Prime Devil 3-1 5th Next Best: #8 U Whippersnapper 10-1 6th Exotics Use: #5 Readtheprospectus 5-1 WON ($7.60) Super Add: #12 Post Pattern 5-1 2nd 4th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD) This turned kind of ugly with the move to the main.. Most Likely:#2 A Prettydixie 4th Next Best: #3 Group Therapy 5th Exotics Use: #5 Isn'tshewonderful 2nd Super Add: #9 Jersusalem Stone WON ($8.80) 5th: 34th Bongard-NY, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD) Tough to argue against Serpe and Weekend Hideaway who exit middling G2 Futurity try.. Most Likely: #4 Weekend Hideaway 5-2 WON ($4.10) Next Best: #2 In Harm's Way 4-1 3rd Best Value: #11 Tequila Hero 15-1 12th Exotics Use: #12 Meet the Mets 8-1 8th <$75 P4 Play: 2: 4-6-7 3: 2-5-8 4: 2-3-5-9 5: 2-4-11-12 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72 6th: 35th Hudson-NY, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 Saginaw 4-5 2nd Best Value: #7 Neatie the Cat 15-1 5th Next Best: #4 Mine Over Matter 6-1 WON ($15.00) Exotics Use: #6 Shrewd One 3-1 3rd 7th: 32nd Ticonderoga-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Hessonite 4-5 WON ($2.70) Best Value: #11 Considerate 30-1 10th Next Best: #12 Prize Doll 12-1 12th Exotics Use: #5 Kibosh 10-1 4th .10 SUPER: 1 with 5-11-12 with 2-5-8-10-11-12 with 2-5-6-7-8-10-11-12 (1x3x5x6 = 90 x .10 = $9.00) 8th: 19th Gimma-NY, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD) Best Value: #6 Kelli Got Frosty 6-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Agilion 4-1 2nd Exotics Use: #9 Heidi's Holiday 6-1 9th Super Add: #5 Carameaway 5-1 7th 9th: 36th Empire Classic-NY, 3+, 9f (DD) Not making any bones about rooting interest for Saratoga Snacks here, but Lunar Victory has been close to perfect since coming stateside. Gets outside draw for stalking trip and will take some beating. Snacks dismantled a quality open company ALW field last month stretching to mile and finishes races like the next 220 yards will be OK with him. Needs to make up about 3 lengths on Lunar Victory; gets about half that in weight so must take another forward step to win. Sailmate (6-1) and Fiddlers Afleet are the interesting prices to use along with the top pair.. Most Likely: #8 Lunar Victory 8-5 WON ($3.60) Next Best: #6 Saratoga Snacks 9-5 2nd Best Value: #1a Fiddlers Afleet 5-1 5th Exotics Use: #3 Sailmate 6-1 3rd 10th: 32nd Mohawk-NY, 3+, 8.5f-T Compliance Officer will come out with an ankle injury. Minnie Punt's owners told Andy Serling in Friday chat that they were coming out as well due to the soft turf.. Most Likely: #5 Lubash 3-1 4th Best Value: #4 Street Game 5-1 5th Next Best: #1 Strong Impact 5-2 6th Exotics Use: #8 Unbridled Command 4-1 WON ($7.30) <$50 P4 Play: 7: 1 8: 2-5-6-9-10 9: 6-8 (1-3) 10: 5 (4) 1x5x2x1 = 10 x $2 = $20 1x5x4x2 = 40 x .50 = $20 KEENELAND POST-SCRATCHES 7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD) Wide open scramble to start the P4.. Most Likely: #10 O T B Bob 9-2 4th Best Value: #4 Hey Leroy 20-1 2nd Next Best: #6 Forward Thinker 4-1 7th Exotics Use: #11 Saylor's Creek 6-1 3rd 8th: ALW/M2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD) Most Likely: #9 Kiss in the Forest 5-2 WON ($7.40) Best Value: #7 SCR Next Best: #3 Cat Lore 3-1 4th Exotics Use: #5 Standing By 5-1 2nd 9th: 14th Raven Run (G2), 3yo-F, 7f (DD) Outrageous 14 horse lineup with some legit logicals and fun prices to mix and match.. Most Likely: #10 Via Villagio 4-1 10th Best Value: #3 La Tia 8-1 11th Next Best: #11 Gypsy Robin 3-1 WON ($4.40) Exotics Use: #14 Sacristy 8-1 2nd Super Add: #5 Yankee Union 30-1 8th 10th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f (Super Hi-5) Best Value: #8 Eddie Set Go 8-1 WON ($13.20) Next Best: #12 Codoy 5-1 3rd Exotics Use: #7 Proud Warrior 5-1 8th Super Add: #9 Kid Galahad 9-2 4th <$75 P4 Play: 7: 4-6-9-10-11 8: 7/SCR-9 9: 3-5-10-11-14 10: 7-8-12 5x2x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 10-20-2012 at 11:48 PM. 
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#2
10-20-2012, 07:07 AM
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BELMONT SHOWCASE DAY TURF:
Mohawk-10th, Ticonderoga-7th & MSW-3rd remain ON the turf.. Only MSW-4th comes OFF..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#3
10-20-2012, 10:30 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 10-20-2012 at 10:44 AM.
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