Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-21-2012, 11:50 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 10/21: Santa Anita ($61k C/O)

SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$61k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #1 Megastar 8-5 (A) 2nd
Best Value: #3 Unusual Jazz 10-1 (B) 3rd
Next Best: #7 Green Secret 4-1 (C) WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #5 SCR


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Somenchanted Evenin 6-1 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #5 Sweetrayofsunshine 3-1 (A) WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Burton's Angel 6-1 (B) 3rd
Super Add: #3 Itsphun 7-2 (C) 6th


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Downhill always super-competitive and will pass on short price returnee Eula B. off the break..

Most Likely: #6 Point Cadet 9-2 11th
Next Best: #13 (AE) SCR
Exotics Use: #1 Urania 4-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Pogonip 6-1 WON ($17.80)
SCR Sub: #8 Corinthian Melody 20-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Only 4 have experience in this group but there are debuting filles that could pop. Breeding on display with Baffert firster Heartless, a half to speedy Force Freeze, and Escape Act, half to Papa Clem for Bo Hirsch and Gary Stute..

Most Likely: #4 Lady Rosamond 7-2 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #10 Imwiththeblonde 3-1 (A) WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #11 Heartless 5-1 (B) 9th
Best Value: #2 SCR


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #6 No Silent 9-5 (A) 2nd
Next Best: #7 Accelerant 9-2 (B) 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Starspangled Heat 9-2 (C) WON ($9.20)


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #14 Awkward Mondays 3-1 (A) WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #8 Coranto 6-1 (B) 5th
Next Best: #10 Goodbye Charlie 8-1 (B) 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Late SCR
Super/Hi-5: #6 Star of America 4-1 (C) 7th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1
5: 4-5
6: 1-6-13 (1-6-9 if 13 not in)
7: #2 SCR-4-10-11
8: 6
9: 8-10-14

1x2x3x4x1x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-6-13 (1-6-9 if 13 not in)
7: #2 SCR-4-6-8-10-11
8: 6-7
9: 4/Late SCR-8-10-14

3x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 10-21-2012 at 08:24 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-22-2012, 10:40 AM
dino dino is offline
Turf Paradise
 
Join Date: Mar 2011
Posts: 245
Default

Great job Steve.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-22-2012, 04:44 PM
fantini33's Avatar
fantini33 fantini33 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,860
Default

Congrats! Ausable gets it done up at the Lakes after getting pounded at the windows!
__________________
Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window!

Ed
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-22-2012, 05:36 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by dino View Post
Great job Steve.
Quote:
Originally Posted by arizonadave View Post
When Steve does his picks on a carry over day in California, they are gold.Belmont has been a mess with all the rain and off tracks. Keenland too has been a tough track. Give Steve a reason to handicap Santa Anita and look at all that red. Thanks Steve.
dino.. dave..

Thanks very much. As I said on ATR today, I was quite disappointed to miss the big one but it was a fun afternoon with the some nice results. As Dave suggests, I've come to really enjoy the SA seasons and frequently have a lot of confidence going into their sequences. (As part of that, I will say straight out that Andy Harrington's National Turf clocker reports have been a HUGE asset playing California.)

Hope everyone did well!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-22-2012, 05:37 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fantini33 View Post
Congrats! Ausable gets it done up at the Lakes after getting pounded at the windows!
'tini!

THX a lot.. She actually floated up after opening at 3-2.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:44 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.