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  #1  
Old 03-21-2013, 07:38 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 3/21: Aqueduct ($15k C/O); Santa Anita (4th-8th)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$15k P6 C/O starts here..

Very tricky start to the P6 sequence with sackful of in-n-out types. Superstitious Love is 2 lengths faster than the rest of the field early and has potential to be loose and steal it..

Best Value: #5 Superstitious Love 5-1 WON ($9.90)
Next Best: #1 Smarty Bull 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Salvar 7-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Born Flirt 12-1 DNF-Clipped heels, lost rider


5th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 B Shanny 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Cat in the Forest 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Hackleton 3-1 WON ($7.20)


6th: OC/S-ALW, 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Not sure what the appeal of Dynamic Host is at the short price..

Most Likely: #2 Best Actor 6-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Metaurus 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Dynamic Host 8-5 WON ($4.50)
Exotics Use: #5 Drink With Pride 5-2 3rd


7th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Going to be interesting to see who makes the lead. Group has potential to get spirited up front but also for riders to look at each other out of the gate. Channing Hill gets to survey everything from outside and react accordingly..

Most Likely: #8 Verbosity 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Isn'tlovejustgrand 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Obviously Tuesday 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Toque 8-1 2nd


8th: Compelling Word-NY, 4+, 1m (DD)

Pretty fun group with 35 wins -- half by Saginaw -- between them..

Most Likely: #1 Saginaw 7-5 WON-DH ($2.70)
Next Best: #4 Johannesburg Smile 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Socialsaul 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Mine Over Matter 5-1 4th


9th: NY-MDN CLM ($16k), F&M-3+, 6f

Most Likely: #7 Westerday 3-1 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #8 Ms. True Way 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Gracie Too 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Baal Perazim 12-1 3rd


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1-5-7
5: 5
6: 2-4-8
7: 8
8: 1-4
9: 4-5-7-8

3x1x3x1x2x4 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-4-5-6-8
7: 8
8: 1-2-4
9: 4-5-7-8

6x1x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Wittgenstein 7-2 WON ($12.40)
Best Value: #5 Sweet Red Cat 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Incredible Journey 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Branding 5-2 5th


<$75 P4 Play:

5: ALL (4-$20.40)
6: 1-2-5-6
7: 5 ($5.40)
8: 1-4-7

8x4x1x3 = 96 x .50 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 03-21-2013 at 07:32 PM.
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  #2  
Old 03-21-2013, 10:58 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default

AQU SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 03-21-2013, 02:39 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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SA SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #4  
Old 03-21-2013, 03:03 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Hard to argue against gold rail at AQU..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #5  
Old 03-21-2013, 03:51 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
Randwyck
 
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Posts: 1,298
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Tough beat on Metaurus. I thought he put the #4 away and was home free.Tried to be brave and singled him in P4.
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  #6  
Old 03-21-2013, 06:30 PM
lazytom lazytom is offline
Bowie
 
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Posts: 215
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steve- played your pick 4, everything i have done lately has sucked- couldn't pass up the all button(felt great to win a race).thanks again and good luck the rest of the way.
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  #7  
Old 03-21-2013, 07:10 PM
lazytom lazytom is offline
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very nice call on american blend-
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  #8  
Old 03-21-2013, 07:33 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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THX Tom but sorry I missed the 6th. Saved $12 by leaving the winner off costing us a chance to be live here for real money. Roger Stein tough to use.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #9  
Old 03-21-2013, 07:36 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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I feel better now..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #10  
Old 03-21-2013, 07:37 PM
lazytom lazytom is offline
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no problem-thanks, enjoy your evening
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