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Old 02-08-2014, 06:46 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
Default 2/8: Gulfstream (6th-12th); Santa Anita (4th-9th)

Glad I came back for another quad pass at Santa Anita Friday as three straightforward events and the open finale produced a nice 5-1 return. Focusing on the top 2 candidates in the 5th-7th (Friendswith K Mill, Fury Kapcori, Magic Spot) made getting to the more open nightcap easy. In a bad maiden race where the faves looked utterly beatable, leaning on 12-1 ML second timer Dream Baby as a salient alternative tripped the $305 P4 off a $16.40 win mutuel. The result helped make up for the agonizing Sagebrush Queen beat Thursday. Hope everyone did well. Great weekend on tap!


GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T/96' (P3, DD)

Race lies outside the big multi-race sequences and as such offers a great opportunity to take shots. Ignore stuttered start of Morethanawarning (20-1) in seasonal debut and take chance she's sharper today. Closers excel with rails out where they
are for this and Garcia suits her off pace style..


Best Value: #11 Morethanawarning 20-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Sea Queen 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Sea Bubble 12-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Miss Besilu 3-1 WON ($5.60)


7th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (Jackpot Rainbow P6, P3, DD)

Wildly deep 2 turn opportunity for graduation of highly pedigreed sophomores including Slip By (Slews Final Answer), Bag of Plenty (Fortify), Special Agent (Dunkirk), Legend (Ol Donyo), Grand Strand (Barcola), Goodnewsisnonews (Fly Down), Moon Gun (Meistersigner)..

Most Likely: #2 Bay of Plenty 4-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Mill Creek 8-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Special Agent 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Ulanbator 10-1 8th


8th: OC/N3X, 4+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Tarpy's Surprise 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #8 Indygo Prince 12-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Wabbajack 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Fast Falcon 4-1 3rd


9th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 1m-T/24' (P4, P3, DD)

Not sure there's enough pace here to set Quay & Rosario up for the rally, but it's worth 10-1 to build around them. Motion/Strawbridge favorite Kitten's Point (3-1) has been away since last spring (Ashland, 3rd) and may need one. Interesting breeding note to make here as Farish/Lanes End offer heritage display via Profetiza, a daughter of Private Gift (Unbridled). In the 7th, you saw Special Agent who is out of Kentucky Oaks/Mother Goose winner Secret Status (A. P. Indy). Private Gift and Secret Status are sisters who dropped from G1 placed Private Status (Alydar)..

Best Value: #8 Quay 10-1 5th
Next Best: #1 English Class 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Profetiza 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Bella Castani 8-1 2nd


10th: 70th Suwannee River (G3), F&M-3+, 9f-T/96' (P3, DD)

More so than usual this year, in the wake of Peter O'Toole's passing, this event makes me think of 'My Favorite Year', Alan Swann and the impossibly hysterical Brooklyn dinner scene: "Ma, he's an actor, not a river"..

Most Likely: #5 Abaco 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Riposte 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Caroline Thomas 3-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Parranda 4-1 WON ($6.20)


11th: 39th GP Sprint (G3), 7f (DD)

Despite a big cast, this sprint is not speed-laden. Is Singanothersong (5-1) as good at 7f as he has been at 6f? He may be isolated in front. Using many here in the multis..

Most Likely: #1 Laugh Track 5-2 7th
Next Best: #10 Singanothersong 5-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Reveron 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Catron 3-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Jackson Bend 6-1 9th


12th: OC/N1X, 4+, 5f-T/24' (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Drunken Love 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Awakino Cat 5-1 -
Exotics Use: #13 Bold Perspective 20-1 -
Super Add: #1 Kingston Bay 3-1 -
Hi-5 Play: #6 Band of Joy 4-1 WON ($4.80)


<$50 P5 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,8 with 5 with 1,10 with 2,8 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 4 with 5 with 1,10 with 2,8 - $2.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,8 with 1 with 1,10 with 2,8 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,8 with 5 with 2,9 with 2,8 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,8 with 5 with 1,10 with 1,6,13 - $6.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 4 with 1 with 1,10 with 2,8 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 4 with 5 with 2,9 with 2,8 - $2.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 4 with 5 with 1,10 with 1,6,13 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,8 with 1 with 2,9 with 2,8 - $4.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,8 with 1 with 1,10 with 1,6,13 - $6.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,8 with 5 with 2,9 with 1,6,13 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 7,9 with 5 with 1,10 with 2,8 - $4.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 2 with 1,8 with 5 with 4 with 2,8 -$2.00

Total: $49.00


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 5 with 1,10 with 2,8 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 5 with 1,10 with 2,8 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1 with 1,10 with 2,8 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 5 with 2,4,9 with 2,8 - $6.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 5 with 1,10 with 1,13 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 1 with 1,10 with 2,8 - $4.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 5 with 2,4,9 with 2,8 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 4,7 with 5 with 1,10 with 1,13 - $4.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1 with 2,4,9 with 2,8 - $6.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 1 with 1,10 with 1,13 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 5 with 2,4,9 with 1,13 - $6.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 9 with 5 with 1,10 with 2,8 - $2.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 2,7 with 1,10 with 2,8 - $8.00
14 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 5 with 5,6,11 with 2,8 - $6.00
15 $0.50 pick P4: 1,8 with 5 with 1,10 with 6 - $2.00

Total: $70.00



SANTA ANITA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: MSW, 3yo-F, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Nashoba's Gold a half to Nashoba's Key but 9f a lot to ask in debut. Not likely today but certainly down the road..

Best Value: #7 Scene Queen 12-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Nazareth 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Live for Now 12-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Star Act 3-1 2nd


5th: San Antonio (G2), 4+, 9f (P3)

Most Likely: #5 Game On Dude 3-5 5th
Best Value: #2 American Blend 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Majestic Harbor 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Blueskiesnrainbows 3-1 6th


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Beautiful Spirit 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #2 Secret Memo 7-2 -
Best Value: #5 Citizen Jane 6-1 -
Exotics Use: #8 Miracle Merger 6-1 4th


7th: San Marcos (G2), 4+, 10f-T (P3)

Big field of 13 (SCR Artic North) here and entire group is separated by 3-4 lengths. Pace and aptitude for trip your key questions..

Most Likely: #7 Lucayan 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Vagabond Shoes 9-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #12 Si Sage 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #13 Temeraine 6-1 6th


8th: Robert B. Lewis (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Being billed as Midnight Hawk v. Candy Boy; Chitu and Cool Samurai will try to inject themselves into the conversation..

Most Likely: #1 Candy Boy 2-1 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #3 Midnight Hawk 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #5 Cool Samurai 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Chitu 7-2 2nd


9th: CLM, 4+, 1m-T (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #9 Trelawny 2-1 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: 4 Swift Eagle 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Dreamcatcher 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Diamondsdiplomat 4-1 6th


<$120 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 7 with 2,7 with 1 with 4,9 - $8.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 3,6 with 5 with 7 with 2,7 with 1 with 4,9 - $16.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 2 with 2,7 with 1 with 4,9 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 7 with 2,7 with 3 with 4,9 - $8.00

A's with Two B's

5 $2.00 pick P6: 3,6 with 5 with 2 with 2,7 with 1 with 4,9 - $16.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 3,6 with 5 with 7 with 2,7 with 3 with 4,9 - $16.00
7 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 2 with 2,7 with 3 with 4,9 - $8.00

A's with One C

8 $2.00 pick P6: 1,2,5 with 5 with 7 with 2,7 with 1 with 4,9 - $24.00 $2 Pick 6 (1/6/7/2,3,9,11/1/5,9,10) Paid $162.20 (5OF6)
9 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 7 with 12,13 with 1 with 4,9 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 7 with 5 with 7 with 2,7 with 1 with 7,8 - $8.00

Total: $120.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 7 with 2,7 with 1,3 with 4,9 - $8.00 $1.00 Pick 4 (7/2,3,9,11/1/5,9,10) Paid $115.90

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,7 with 1,3 with 4,9 - $4.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 12,13 with 1,3 with 4,9 - $4.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 2,7 with 7 with 4,9 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

5 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 12,13 with 1,3 with 4,9 - $4.00
6 $0.50 pick P4: 2 with 2,7 with 7 with 4,9 - $2.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 12,13 with 7 with 4,9 - $2.00

A's with One C

8 $0.50 pick P4: 5,8 with 2,7 with 1,3 with 4,9 - $8.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 1,4,5,6,8,10,14 with 1,3 with 4,9 - $14.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 2,7 with 5,6 with 4,9 - $4.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 7 with 2,7 with 1,3 with 7,8 - $4.00

Total: $56.00


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 02-08-2014 at 07:51 PM.
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  #2  
Old 02-08-2014, 09:25 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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GARY YOUNG PREVIEWING SA WITH PINCAY/HAZLETON YESTERDAY: http://www.hrtv.com/videos/gary-youn...t-santa-anita/

..includes classic Young nickname use for his pal Gary Stevens, "The Hick"
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 02-08-2014, 11:16 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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GP SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #4  
Old 02-08-2014, 01:25 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,286
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SA SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #5  
Old 02-08-2014, 07:53 PM
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atolunch atolunch is offline
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Posts: 2,218
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Another great day, extra bonus with the last 3 Tri's!!

Congrats and thanks as always.

Here's to keeping it rolling tomorrow
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  #6  
Old 02-09-2014, 06:48 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Larry.. Dave.. Thanks. Rallied OK at SA. San Marcos was a big boost. Hope everyone did OK. Another fun afternoon in the offing..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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