Saratoga Wednesday Aug. 19th Analysis

[Kitan]

Race 2:
#4 The Undersheriff: Second place finisher from the debut came back to win earlier this meet and his works since have a bit more pep to them. Eligible to improve second time out.
#1 You Got It: Fit enough and flashed his quickest work over this surface.
#3 Forever in Love is SCR...
#9 Governor Malibu: A big lumbering type that went 10.3 in unspectacular fashion in March. Clement can get them ready and he can plod up late.
#7 not bred to win early and not much to like from his debut in the mud (by Super Savers who generally love the slop).

Race 3:
#6 Laxfield Road
#1 Celestial Sighting
#4 Simple Surprise

Race 4:
#8 Lady Gracenote: Has previously won over this distance on the green and attracts Irad this time around. Didn't like the way she looked on the track when I used her earlier this meet. Balsamo has done well with limited starters on this surface here before.
#3 Asperites is SCR...
#2 Rhythm Queen
#12 Bargaining Table

Race 5:
#2 Gametown: Casse has burned money this meet so far but his 2yos on the lawn have done well. This is a fast looking colt who went in 9.4 when shown the whip a few times. Works have held that standard and his dam won her debut at 2yo.
#3 Little Schmo: Cuts back to a more reasonable distance after blazing the way going long. Went back and watched his sales work when he was a well held 10.1. Think he's got more ability than shown so far.
#1 Light Brigade: Chad has a great record bringing them out sprinting on the turf but there isn't much pedigree for it and his work on the surface doesn't appear to be overly convincing.
#5 Argot

Race 6:
#7 Don Dulce: Old-timer still has ability as he's kept on well in good company recently. Last win came around two turns as did his win here in '13. Levine hasn't had a great start to the meet but his record here off the claim is phenomenal.
#8 Hereditary: Shug brings them back firing, but I just can't have him on top at what should be a short price on a runner who does have a few questions and really only has the one race that "towers" over these.
#6 Face of Winner: Holds the pace advantage but could be pushed by stretch-out towards the inside. Generally has seemed to regress off his peak performances.
#2 So Clutch
#4 with the constant bar shoe concerns me...

Race 7:
#4 Charming Indy is SCR...
#5 Extinct Charm: Ran on after an awkward start in his debut and flashed a bit more early speed with a better beginning when battling on well at big odds in stakes company. Don't think he's found a tough spot here and the jock upgrade is eminent. Dam won as a baby so I'm not too worried about his sibs not being overly precocious.
#10 Fish Trappe Road
#8 Spin Cycle
#1 was thoroughly unimpressive in his sales work and I am completely baffled as to why he sold for 300k, never mind 162k here last year as a yearling. Dutrow is 9 for 10 ITM at the meet but I can't have him on the win line.

Race 8:
#5 Sylvia T
#4 Winner's Legacy
#7 Hail Cornell
#9 Khaleesi Kat
Wonder about #10 wiring them...

Race 9:
#8 Trophee: Clement is 0-for when bringing maiden winners back in turf routes at Saratoga. Even without that I thought her run wasn't that bad and the distance won't be an issue, or so her pedigree says.
#7 Wigwam Baby: Dam won at 9f on the turf and then became a hurdler for these same connections. Shep' will get his win at some point and it would only be fitting should it happen at 11f.
#3 Rock Me Mama
#5 Lahinch Classics

Race 10:
#4 Wild Finish: Think he needed the run last time and his stalking style sets up perfectly for this. Like him getting back out to 7f and have to go with a bit of a price in a race like this.
#2 American Creed: Beaten by a couple of these foes in his last two but gets a positive barn change and has the inside speed.
#7 Jeter
#11 Flying Zealous
#5 has a chance switching back to dirt, #8 isn't one I want but can't get beat by him, and #10 has done well at FL with the barn change. Have to go deep in this.

$0.60 Pick Five
Race 2: 1, 4
Race 3: 1, 6
Race 4: 2, 8
Race 5: 1, 2, 3
Race 6: 6, 7, 8
$43.20

$0.60 Early Pick Four
Race 3: 1, 4, 6
Race 4: 2, 8, 12
Race 5: 1, 2, 3, 5
Race 6: 6, 7, 8
$64.80

$0.60 Late Pick Four
Race 7: 5, 10
Race 8: 4, 5, 7, 9
Race 9: 7, 8
Race 10: 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11
$67.20

Good luck!