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Old 08-28-2016, 11:56 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 8/28: Saratoga ~ Day 33 (Smart N Fancy)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Saratoga Wildcat 3-1 WON ($9.60)
Next Best: #3 Monster Mash 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Draxhall 5-2 6th
Super Add: #2 Metaurus 12-1 4th


2nd: MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hawk Alley 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #7 Bajan Breeze 12-1 7th
Next Best: #2 On the List 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Princessofthieves 9-2 2nd


3rd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Fastener 10-1 6th
Next Best: #6 True Romance 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Shayna Lady 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Malibu Princess 8-5 4th


4th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Doinwhatshelikes 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Littlemissbusiness 7-2 WON ($8.10)
Exotics Use: #3 Sober On Sunday 10-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Pawley's Express 3-1 2nd


5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Heaven's Runway 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1e Rodriguez entry 2-1 4th/7th
Exotics Use: #4 Summer Breezing 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Jrock 12-1 5th


P5 Grid:

1: 1-3-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 4-7 (A), - (B), 2-5-8 (C)
3: 3-6 (A), 5 (B), 2 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), 3-5 (B), 2-8 (C)
5: 1-3 (A), - (B), 2-4-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

2: 4-7 (A), 2-5-8 (B), (C)
3: 3-6 (A), 5 (B), 2 (C)
4: 1-6 (A), 3-5 (B), 2-8 (C)
5: 1-3 (A), - (B), 2-4-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x4x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x2x2x2 = $16 ($8 for .50)


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Oiseau de Guerre 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Master Plan 3-1 4th
Best Value: #11 Danny's Rush 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Have Another 12-1 8th


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Glad this isn't in the late P4. Very murky group of 2yo's with tons of mixed signals..

Most Likely: #5 Sky Gesture 6-1 WON ($13.40)
Best Value: #3 Moonlightnmidnight 15-1 4th
Next Best: #4 One Call Away 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Skylar's Pass 12-1 8th


8th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Great Stuff 5-1 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #4 Homespun Hero 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Two Weeks Off 7-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Formal Summation 20-1 7th


9th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Swear By It 9-2 6th
Next Best: #10 Ack Naughty 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Feeling Bossy 5-1 5th
Super Add: #7 C d'Cat 4-1 2nd


10th: 4th Smart N Fancy, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Miss Ella 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Fair Point 5-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #10 Animal Appeal 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Sanctifica 9-2 4th


11th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #1 Merger Arbitrage 5-2 8th
Best Value: #9 Cleo 15-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Lunation 8-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Chastise 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Warrior Hall 10-1 2nd

.10 SUPER: Key 1 1st/2nd with 3-5-9-10 (1x4x3x2 = 24 x 2 = 48 x .10 = $4.80)


P4 Grid:

8: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), 2-7-8 (C)
9: 2-10 (A), 3-7 (B), 4-5-8 (C)
10: 3-8-10 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C)
11: 1 (A), 9 (B), 3-5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = $72 (#36 for .50)
All A's: 3x2x3x1 = $18 ($9 for .50)


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 08-28-2016 at 09:29 PM.
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