8/24: Saratoga (Day 30; NY Turf Writer's Cup)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY Turf Writer's Cup H. (NSA-G1), 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Modem 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #12 Choral Society 15-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Swansea Mile 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Diplomat 8-1 WON ($37.40)


2nd: MCLM/$50k, 2yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Tied Up 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 La Contessa 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Strategic Dreams 4-1 WON ($11.60)
Super Add: #2 Little Lu 8-1 5th


3rd: CLM/N3L, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Gotham News 15-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Strike Midnight 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Twenty Four Seven 4-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Caribbean 5-2 3rd


4th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Very deep state bred sprint ALW.. 3-1 a bad low price on Born for a Storm, but he's going to get a good trip behind the speed while 2nd off the long break. Tough group to read..

Most Likely: #4 Born for a Storm 3-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Fleet Irish 5-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Jewel Can Disco 2-1 WON ($9.70)
Exotics Use: #2e Shay entry 6-1 5th/9th


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Industrial Policy 3-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Baronet 20-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Miss Aja Brown 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Queenofthechannel 12-1 8th


6th: NY-MCLM/$25k, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Iwishirish 5-2 WON ($5.10)
Next Best: #7 Indian Gem 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Scarlett Jo Hansen 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Desert Affair 6-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

2: 3-5 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
3: 7-8 (A), 5-10 (B), 3-6 (C)
4: 4-6-7 (A), 1-2-3-5 (B), - (C)
5: 5 (A), - (B), 2-4-7-8-10 (C)
6: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), 4-5-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x7x1x3 = 168 x .50 = $84
All A's: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

3: 7-8 (A), 5-10 (B), 3-6 (C)
4: 2-4-6-7 (A), 1-3-5 (B), - (C)
5: 5 (A), - (B), 2-4-7-8-10 (C)
6: 4-5-6-7 (A), - (B), 1-9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x7x1x4 = 112 x .50 = $56
All A's: 2x4x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16


7th: NY-OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Bareeqa 7-2 WON ($11.60)
Best Value: #3 Eighth Commandment 15-1 9th
Next Best: #8 Table for Six 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Mo Promise Late SCR


8th: NY-ALW, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Weekend Hideaway 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Bustin It 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Celtic Chaos 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #1a Brimstone 4-1 5th


9th: Riskaverse-R, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Danceland 6-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Let It Ride Mom 20-1 6th
Exotics Use: #12 Cherry Lodge 7-2 5th
Super Add: #7 Fizzy Friday 6-1 2nd


10th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T

Best Value: #9 Nate Can't Wait 8-1: Dam an OK turf router.. Late SCR
Next Best: #5 Phone Funky Munky 5-2: Got education in debut.. WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Fun Prospect 7-2: Motion adds blinks, stretches out.. 3rd
Super Add: #4 Now a Factor 6-1: Maker/Three Diamonds FTS.. -


P5 Grid:

6: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), 4-10 (C)
7: 3-8-10 (A), - (B), 6-11-12/SCR (C)
8: 3 (A), - (B), 1-6-7-8 (C)
9: 8-13 (A), 2-12 (B), 7-10-11 (C)
10: 5-9/SCR (A), 4-8 (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x1x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x1x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 3-8-10 (A), 6-11-12/SCR (B), - (C)
8: 3 (A), - (B), 1-6-7-8 (C)
9: 2-8-12 (A), 7-10-11 (B), 4-5-9 (C)
10: 4-5-8-9/SCR (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x3x4 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve