11/1 (SA): Breeders' Cup Friday

[Kasept]

Here it is.. The 'Breeders' Cup invocation' ~ These 2 days offer unique opportunities with chances to be rewarded for creative thinking and audacious risk-taking. Some will come away delighted and some maddeningly frustrated, but all should approach these races as the curious and challenging puzzles they've become. No matter how well you 'handicap' the races, fields this deep and mysterious will produce several nearly unforeseeable results. Remember that you could be taking an '0-fer' well into Saturday and get it all back (and more) in the weekend's waning moments.

But no matter how the ledger looks when it's over, appreciate that your ability as a horseplayer won't be defined over the course of the 2 days. Spend as freely as you can afford, get a little lucky, and here's hoping that everyone nets something that fills their account and makes them proud.

For the 14th year in a row, it's been a pleasure bringing the Cup to everyone listening to At the Races. I hope the 15 hours here and the time leading up offered each of you something you can convert into winning tickets. Thanks to Breeders' Cup, Santa Anita staff, ATR sponsors, SXM, everyone who contributed so generously to the shows and most importantly, the listeners..

Let's get them all around and home safe and let's get lucky this weekend!


SANTA ANITA ~ BREEDERS' CUP FRIDAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: TAA Marathon (G2), 3+, 16f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Itsinthepost 5-2 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #4 Zestful 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Campaign 4-5 6th-Eased
Exotics Use: #2 American Tattoo 4-1 3rd


2nd: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Rayana 4-1 WON ($9.60)
Best Value: #3 Kookie Gal 10-1 DH-3rd
Next Best: #9 Heathers Grey 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Arctic Roll 8-1 10th


3rd: CA-Golden St. Juvenile Fillies, 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Warren's Showtime 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Bulletproof One 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Been Studying Her 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Super Add: #9 Cholula Lips 12-1 4th


4th: CA-Golden St. Juvenile, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Great Ulysses 8-1 10th
Next Best: #2 Cali Dude 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Chipper 8-1 11th
Super Add: #11 Square Deal 7-2 6th


5th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (G2), 2yo, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Kimari 7-2 4th
Next Best: #9 Four Wheel Drive 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #10 A'Ali 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #4 Dream Shot 15-1 7th


$150 BUDGET (.50) ROLLING P3: 7-9-10 with 2-3-4-5-12 with 1-7 (3x5x2 = 30 x .50 = $15)

$100 BUDGET REVERSE TRI KEY (#6 Alligator Alley, 12-1): 3-4-7-9-10 with 3-4-7-9-10 with 6 (5x4x1 = 20 x .50 = $10)


P5 Grid:

1: 1-4 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C)
2: 1-3 (A), - (B), 9 (C)
3: 4-8-11 (A), - (B), 9 (C)
4: 2-7-8 (A), - (B), 11 (C)
5: 7-9 (A), - (B), 4-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 1-3 (A), 9 (B), 7 (C)
3: 4-8-11 (A), - (B), 9 (C)
4: 2-7-8 (A), - (B), 11 (C)
5: 7-9 (A), 4-6-10 (B), 1-3 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x5 = 135 x .50 = $67.50
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


6th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf (G1), 2yo, 8f-T (P4, P3, 2-day DBL, DD, Hi-5)

J-Turf/Turf DBL here.. (1-2-3-4-12-14 with 9: 6x1 = 6 x $8 = $48)

Most Likely: #4 Decorated Invader 4-1 4th
Best Value: #14 Hit the Road 10-1 DQ'd-14th
Next Best: #12 Arizona 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Peace Achieved 10-1 12th
Super/Hi-5: #2 Structor 5-1 WON ($12.60)

$150 BUDGET (.50) ROLLING P3: 2-3-4-12-14 with 1-7 with 5-7-9-11 (5x2x4 = 40 x .50 = $20)

$100 BUDGET REVERSE TRI KEYS (#1 Our Country, 15-1; #14 Hit the Road, 10-1): 2-3-4-5-12 with 2-3-4-5-12 with 1-14 (5x4x1 = 20 x .50 = $10 x 2 = $20)


7th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, 2-day DBL, DD, Hi-5)

J-Fillies/Distaff DBL here.. (1-7 with 1-4-11: 2x3 = 6 x $8 = $48)

Most Likely: #7 Wicked Whisper 7-2 5th
Next Best: #1 Donna Veloce 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Lazy Daisy 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Bast 7-2 3rd

$150 BUDGET (.50) ROLLING P3: 1-4-5-6-7 with 5-7-9-11 with 1 (5x4x1 = 20 x .50 = $10)

$100 BUDGET REVERSE TRI KEY (#8 K P Dreamin, 20-1): 1-4-5-6-7 with 1-4-5-6-7 with 8 (5x4x1 = 20 x .50 = $10)


8th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1), 2yo-F, 8f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #11 Sharing 12-1 WON ($29.60)
Next Best: #5 Daahyeh 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Albigna 9-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Crystalle 8-1 11th
Hi-5 Play: #3 Shadn 10-1 9th

$10 REVERSE TRI KEY (#3 Shadn, 10-1): 5-7-9-11-13 with 5-7-9-11-13 with 3 (5x4x1 = 20 x .50 = $10)


9th: Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (2-day DBL, DD, Hi-5)

Juvenile/Classic DBL here.. 1 with 2-5-7-8-10-11: 1x6 = 6 x $8 = $48)

Most Likely: #1 Dennis' Moment 8-5 8th
Best Value: #3 Shoplifted 20-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Eight Rings 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Scabbard 8-1 4th


P5 Grid:

5: 7-9-10 (A), - (B), 3-4-6 (C)
6: 4-12-14 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-6-7
7: 1-7 (A), 4-5-6 (B), - (C)
8: 5-11 (A), - (B), 3-7-9-11-13 (C)
9: 1 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x5x2x1 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

6: 4-12-14 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-6-7
7: 1-5-7 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
8: 5-7-9-11 (A), 3-13 (B), 1-8-10-12 (C)
9: 1 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x6x1 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x3x4x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


10th: OC/N1X, 3+, 7f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Rogollo 6-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Secret Courier 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Candy Cornell 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Justinian 6-1 10th
Super/Hi-5: #3 Heartfullofstars 15-1 7th


P4 Grid:

7: 1-5-7 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
8: 3-5-7-9-11-13 (A), - (B), 1-8-10-12 (C)
9: 1 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
10: 1-7 (A), 2-11 (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x6x1x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x6x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve