2/26: Oaklawn (5th-12th)

[Kasept]

OAKLAWN


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Honeybee (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Secret Oath is a serious filly who's running figs on a par with the boys. Understand those looking for her to regress, but she appears able to stalk and go which fits this perfectly. Yuugiri makes seasonal debut and makes the most sense as an alternative..

Most Likely: #3 Secret Oath 3-2 WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #2 Yuugiri 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Ice Orchid 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Optionality 7-2 6th


6th: CLM/N1X, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Favored Awesome Saturday makes sense but Diodoro barn in a coma (1 for 36 last 4 weeks)..

Best Value: #4 American Joey 20-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Secretary At War 4-1 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #10 Awesome Saturday 7-2 10th
Super Add: #7 Skyscanner 6-1 5th


7th: OC/N$Y, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

SCR McLaren Vale who wouldn't load for flight..

Most Likely: #5 Sky and Sand 3-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Ignitis 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Call Me Jamal 15-1 WON ($9.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Costa Terra 6-1 4th


8th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Those that have run are OK with Western River (full to Belmont winner and Japan-based stallion Creator) and Rider's Special making 3yo debut here..

Best Value: #9 Curly Tail 5-1 WON ($14.40)
Next Best: #2 Quick to Blame 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Life On the Nile 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Rider's Special 12-1 5th


9th: ALW/N$Y, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Prioritization 3-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Santos Dumont 12-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #1 Pats Property 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Hunt the Front 15-1 5th


P5 Grid:

5: 3 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
6: 3-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-7 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)
8: 2-8-9 (A), - (B), 4-6-10 (C)
9: 2-10 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (2) + $18 (4-6-10)

$0.50 Pick 5 (3/1,3,6/2/9/2) Paid $483.35


P4 Grid:

6: 3-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-7 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
8: 2-8-9 (A), 6-10 (B), 4 (C)
9: 2-10 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $18 (2-3) + $6 (4)

$0.50 Pick 4 (1,3,6/2/9/2) Paid $197.40


10th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Stayed in for Half 3-1 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #11 Plausible Denile 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Magnificus 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Mumayaz 15-1 3rd


11th: Rebel (G2), 3yo, 8.5f (DD)

Inclination is to look for new faces on the scene given how slowly the Southwest set came home..

Best Value: #8 Chasing Time 8-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Barber Road 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Newgrange 9-5 6th
Super Add: #5 Texas Red Hot 12-1 11th


12th: AR-OC/N$Y, 3+, 6f

Most Likely: #11 Rolling Fork 7-2 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #7 Heritage Park 10-1 11th
Next Best: #13 J. E.'s Handmedown 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 You Vee Cee 6-1 4th


P5 Grid:

8: 2-9 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)
9: 2-10 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
10: 8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-5-8-9 (A), - (B), 3-6-7-11 (C)
12: 11 (A), - (B), 7-13 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x4x1 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x4x1 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups: $16 (3-6-7-11) + $32 (7-13)


P4 Grid:

9: 2-10 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
10: 8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-5-8-9 (A), - (B), 3-6-7-11 (C)
12: 7-11 (A), 13 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups: $16 (3-6-7-11)


Good luck!
Steve