7/30: Saratoga (Day 13; Vandy, Dandy)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Capture the Flag 4-1 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #4 Team Leader 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Swiss Guard 5-2 5th


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-Inner/18' (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Montepuliano 9-2 10th
Best Value: #3 Determinedly 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 C'est Magnifique 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #8 Deccan Prince 6-1 4th


Triple Play P3 Grid:

2: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x3x2 = 18 x $3 = $54


3rd: S/ALW, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Wolfe County 9-3 5th
Next Best: #8 Endowed 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Royal Tryst 8-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Kissalot 15-1 WON ($30.40)


4th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T/18' (Special P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Our Souper Love 12-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Devilly 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Creemore 10-1 10th
Super Add: #9 Union Dolly 10-1 WON ($22.60)


5th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

May not be good enough, but 5yo Finger Lakes invader Flying Emperor has never missed an exacta and has some tactical speed. 10-1 a good number to find out if he can be the next Top Shoter. (Stop Charlie Baker around the track and ask him if you don't recognize the reference to his plucky 11x winning Ormsby gelding who went 7/4-0-0 at the Spa)..

Best Value: #2 Flying Emperor 10-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Amundson 7-2 WON ($14.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Bank On Shea 9-2 9th
Super Add: #5 Bronx Bomber 6-1 4th


P5 Grid:

1: 4-5 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
2: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 8-9 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
4: 7-8 (A), 1-3-9-10 (B), - (C)
5: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups: $24 (2-3 in 1st) + $12 (3 in 3rd)


P4 Grid:

2: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 8-9 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
4: 7-8 (A), 1-3-9-10 (B), - (C)
5: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x6x2 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner/18' (P6, P3, DD

Most Likely: #9 Ensemble 7-2 6th
Best Value: #5 Blissful 9-2 7th
Next Best: #1 Marvelous Maude 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Finest Work 6-1 2nd


7th: NY-MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T/18' (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Built to Last 7-2 8th
Next Best: #4 Feathers Road 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Mister Chairman 4-1 WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #2 Heymackit'sjack 7-2 2nd


8th: 38th A. G. Vanderbilt (G1), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Jackie's Warrior 1-5 WON ($2.50)
Best Value: #1 Kneedeepinsnow 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Ny Traffic 6-1 4th


P5 Grid:

4: 1-7-8 (A), 3-9-10 (B), - (C)
5: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-4 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C)
8: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x3x4x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 5 (9/4/1,10,11,12/5,11,12,13/4) Paid $464.75


P4 Grid:

5: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x3x4x1 = $24 ($48 for $1)

$1 Pick 4 (4/1,10,11,12/5,11,12,13/4) Paid $64.50


9th: 59th Jim Dandy (G2), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Epicenter 3-2 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #4 Early Voting 8-5 4th


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T/18' (DD)

Best Value: #1 Bay Street Money 8-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Capensis 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Orchestration 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #10 Colosseo 6-1 11th


11th: CLM, 3+, 1m-T/18'

Best Value: #7 Jack the Cat 4-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Big Agenda 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Healing 5-2 5th
Super Add: #1 The Last Zip 5-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

7: 1-4 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C)
8: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
10: 1-3-12 (A), - (B), 5-10 (C)
11: 3-7 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x1x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $12 (3-5 in 9th) + $12 (5-10 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

8: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
10: 1-3-12 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
11: 3-7 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x5x4 = $40 ($20 for .50)
All A's: 1x2x3x2 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup (3-5 in 9th): 1x2x3x2 = $12 ($6 for .50)



DEL MAR ~ SPOT PLAY


PRE-SCRATCHES


8th (8:37p ET): Bing Crosby (G1), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Bagboss 8-1 8th ~ Walsh has proven adept at judging West Coast spots to invade..
Next Best: #2 Shaaz 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Principe Carlo 6-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Get Her Number 12-1 2nd


Good luck!
Steve