4/8: Keeneland (5th-11th; Cross Country P5)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: Commonwealth (G3), 4+, 7f (STK P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Run Classic 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Heart Rythym 10-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Nakatomi 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Pro Oxidant 12-1 5th


6th: Appalachian (G2), 3yo-F, 1m-T (STK P4, $3 Turf P3/6-8-11, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Be Your Best 8-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Pleasant Package 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Papilio 6-1 WON ($13.98)
Super Add: #3 Cairo Consort 3-1 2nd


7th: Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

#2 Goodnight Olive 2-5 WON ($2.74)
Next Best: #3 Society 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Maryquitecontrary 6-1 2nd


AQU 6th: Bay Shore (G3), 3yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Prove Right 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Joey Freshwater 2-1 WON ($8.30)
Exotics Use: #4 Daydreaming Boy 8-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Gilmore 7-2 2nd


Cross Country P5 Grid:

AQU 6: 4-5-7 (A), 2-3-6 (B), - (C)
AQU 8: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
KEE 8: 2-8 (A), 3-5 (B), 10-12 (C)
KEE 9: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
AQU 11: 5-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x4x2x2 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (10-12 in KEE 8)


AQU 8th: Carter H. (G1), 4+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

SCR White Abarrio; A repeat of his last, or anything close to a repeat, will make Bold Journey a G1 winner..

Best Value: #2 Bold Journey 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Repo Rocks 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Today's Flavor 6-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Doppelganger 30-1 WON ($37.80)


8th: Shakertown (G2), 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Half of this field (2-3-5-8-10-12) can win. Mark of the Z is a dangerous commodity with E.T. Baird and on this surface..

Best Value: #2 Mark of the Z 20-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Mister Mmmmm 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #8 Caravel 8-5 WON ($6.30)
Super Add: #3 Artemus Citylimits 5-1 11th


9th: Blue Grass (G1), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Blazing Sevens 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Verifying 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Sun Thunder 10-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Tapit Trice 5-2 WON ($5.28)


All STK P5 Grid:

5: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-5-8 (A), 3-10-12 (B), - (C)
9: 3-8 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x1x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 + $18


All STK P5 Grid:

6: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-5-8 (A), 3-10-12 (B), - (C)
9: 1-3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x6x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's: 2x1x3x4 = 24 x .50 + $12


AQU 11th: Wood Memorial (G2), 3yo, 9f

Best Value: #5 Slip Mahoney 6-1 6th
Next Best: #13 Hit Show 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Crupi 12-1 9th
Super Add: #11 Classic Catch 10-1 5th


10th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Squire Creek 6-5 WON ($3.22)
Next Best: #2 Gilcrease 5-2 4th
Best Value: #6 Frog Town 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Blue Light 7-2 2nd


11th: MSW, 3yo, 9f-T (Hi-5)

Scott Shapiro is on to something with 20-1 Wimhof as Thomas a stunning 38% (64% ITM) with his 2nd time MDN 3yo ($3.13 ROI)..

Best Value: #2 Wimhof 20-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Operation Torch 8-5 WON ($4.92)
Exotics Use: #1 Mondego 5-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Decanted 20-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

7: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-5-8 (A), 3-10-12 (B), - (C)
9: 3-8 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
10: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 5 (2-8-1-1-3) Paid $24.50


P4 Grid:

8: 2-5-8 (A), 3-10-12 (B), - (C)
9: 3-8 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C)
10: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-7 in 9th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (8-1-1-3) Paid $24.50



SANTA ANITA ~ SPOT PLAYS


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Santa Anita Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 National Treasure 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Skinner 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Practical Move 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #1 I Don’t Get It 20-1 5th


10th: Monrovia (G3), F&M-4+, 6.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Amy C 7-2
Best Value: #9 Big Summer 5-1
Next Best: #10 Leggs Galore 4-1
Exotics Use: #2 Awake At Midnyte 15-1


Good luck!
Steve