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Old 05-17-2023, 07:02 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 5/19: Hi Ho Pimlico! (Black-Eyed Susan Day)

HI HO PIMLICO


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Favored #13 Battle of Normandy (5-2) has to run new top to win and is outposted. Irad sticks and does get pace to chase. Iffy..

Best Value: #8 Tiz a Giant 12-1 10th
Next Best: #13 Battle of Normandy 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Evan Harlan 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Monjid 12-1 7th


2nd: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Robbie Bailes runs Outkissed SCR for his long-time client Marshall Dowell who passed away 2 weeks ago. The pair famously campaigned Scrappy T. Outkissed broke MDN firing off bench last winter and Xavier Perez gets call, a Bailes go to move..

Most Likely: #4 Ruggs 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #7 Cees Get Degrees 2-1 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Holy Synchronicity 6-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Saffa's Day 9-2 2nd


3rd: MSW, F&M-3/4/5yo, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Firsters won't have to be all that special to intercede here..

Best Value: #11 Caroline Krystyna 6-1 WON ($15.80)
Next Best: #12 Lady Wildcat 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Up For It 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Watch This Birdie 4-1 4th


4th: Allaire DuPont, F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Cox returns last year's B/E Susan winner (Interstatedaydream) back for this, but Falconet looks loose up front and could be tough to reel in..

Most Likely: #6 Falconet 5-2 4th
Next Best: #2 Interstatedaydream 1-1 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Le Da Vida 7-2 3rd


5th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 American Starlet 5-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Roses for Debra 9-2 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #5 Above the Limit 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Respectfully 10-1 9th


P5 Grid:

1: 8-13 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
2: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 11-12 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
4: 2-6 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (1-2 in 3rd)


P4 Grid:

2: 4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 11-12 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
4: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick 4 (3,5,7/11/2/7) Paid $90.00 (A-A-A-A)


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Liquidator 9-2 5th
Next Best: #1 Royal Whisper 2-1 WON ($3.20)
Exotics Use: #3 Italian Dressing 6-1 4th
Super Add: #4 And Whistle 10-1 6th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Doctor Davis stretches out from sprints and will provide target for lone route speed (and not Sicilian) Tom Hagen..

Best Value: #13 Tom Hagen 12-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Chulainn 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Cannon's Roar 10-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Shadow Sphinx 5-2 3rd


P5 Grid:

3: 11-12 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
4: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
6: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

4: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x3x2x2 = $36 ($18 for .50)


8th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 6f (2-day/All Dirt P5,

Most Likely: #6 Johnyz From Albany 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Fort Warren 7-5 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Contempt 15-1 5th


9th: The Very One, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Can the Queen 6-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Spicy Marg 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Spun Glass 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Her World 7-2 7th


P5 Grid:

5: 6 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
6: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-6-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 1x2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

6: 1-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-6-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x2x2x4 = $32 ($16 for .50)


10th: Miss Preakness (G3), 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Key of Life has won without the lead but feels disadvantaged with Maple Leaf Mel to her outside. Can a different filly pounce on the pace-depending top pair? Afternoon Tea perhaps?

Most Likely: #6 Maple Leaf Mel 8-5 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #2 Key of Life 1-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Afternoon Tea 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Bound by Destiny 30-1 6th

11th: Hilltop, 3yo-F, 1m-T (2-day All STK P5, P3, DD)

ATR listeners know more about After Eight than the betting public..

Best Value: #10 After Eight 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Aspray 8-1 WON ($10.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Breath Away 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Up and Down 6-1 4th


2-day/All STK P5 Grid:

FRI 11: 3-10 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C) ~ Hilltop
FRI 13: 9-10 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 10: 1-10-13 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Jim McKay
SAT 12: 5-7-9 (A), 1-6-8 (B), - (C) ~ James Murphy
SAT 13: 3 (A), - (B), 6 (C) ~ Preakness

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x6x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6 in SAT 13th)


P5 Grid:

7: 4-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-6-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 6 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
11: 3-10 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x2x2 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A's: 2x2x4x1x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup: 2x2x4x1x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (1-8 in 11th)


P4 Grid:

8: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-6-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-10 (A), - (B), 1-8 (C)

All A's: 2x4x2x2 = $32 ($16 for .50)
Backup: 2x4x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $24 (1-8 in 11th)


12th: Pimlico Special (G3), 3+, 9.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Law Professor 5-2 6th
Next Best: #2 Rattle N Roll 9-5 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #7 Speed Bias 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Clapton 6-1 3rd


2-day/All Dirt P5 Grid:

FRI 8: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ OC/N1X
FRI 12: 5 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C) ~ PIM Special
FRI 13: 8-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 11: 4-7-8 (A), 2-3-10 (B), - (C) ~ MD Sprint
SAT 13: 3-6 (A), - (B), - (C) ~ Preakness

Simple (A+B): 2x1x3x6x2 = $72 ($36 for .50)
All A's: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x2x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (2-7 in FRI 12th)


13th: Black-Eyed Susan (G2), 3yo-F, 9f (Susan/Preakness DBL, DD, $1 Jackpot Hi-5)

Faiza obviouslty the one to beat, but Taxed was second only to Pretty Mischievous preparing for Kentucky Oaks and I can't miss opportunity to use her liberally here..

Most Likely: #9 Faiza 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #10 Taxed 15-1 WON ($24.00)
Next Best: #8 Balpool 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Hoosier Philly 10-1 2nd
Super/Hi-5: #1 Sacred Wish 10-1 9th


$1 Exacta (10-3) $94.80
$1 Tri (10-3-9) $270.70
$1 Super (10-3-9-8) $1,484.20



$100 Black-Eyed Susan/Preakness DBL:

FRI 13: 9 (A), - (B), 8-10 (C) ~ B/E Susan
SAT 13: 3 (A), - (B), 6 (C) ~ Preakness

1.) 9 with 3 (1x1 x $40 = $60) A-A
2.) 8-10 with 3 (2x1 = 2 x $10 = $20) C-A
3.) 9 with 6 (1x1 x $10 - $10) A-C
4.) 8-10 with 6 (2x1 = 2 x $5 = $10) C-C


P5 Grid:

9: 4-6-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-3/SCR-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-10 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
12: 5 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
13: 9 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x1x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 4x2x2x1x1 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup: 4x2x2x1x1 = 16 x .50 = $8 (2 in 12th)


P4 Grid:

10: 2-3/SCR-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-10 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
12: 5 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
13: 8-9-10 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x5 = $40 ($20 for .50)
All A's: 2x2x1x3 = $12 ($6 for .50)
Backup: 2x2x1x3 = 12 x .50 = $6

$0.50 Pick 4 (6/3/2,6/10 Paid $195.40 (A-A-C-A)


14th: MCLM/$45k, 3/4/5yo, 5f-T

Most Likely: #10 S. Muffin 7-5 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #2 Covert Kat 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Mission Man 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Certain 9-2 4th


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 05-20-2023 at 05:40 AM.
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