4/12: Keeneland (5th-10th)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-OFF/TURF ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Purloin 2nd
Next Best: #10 Just Better WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #14 Spice 5th


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

A tricky group to read..

Most Likely: #12 Bellofthebluegrass 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Lotsandlotsofcandy 15-1 12th
Next Best: #9 On Command 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Elegant Vision 20-1 9th


7th: Limestone, 3yo-F, 5.5f-OFF/TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Foxxy Cleopatra 7th
Best Value: #14 Hot Beach WON ($3.98)
Next Best: #4 Zoe's Prime 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Kodiac Wintergreen 3rd


8th: ALW/N2L, 4+, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Classic Legacy 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #11 Tunisian Spring 9-5 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Polster 12-1 10th
Super Add: #5 Suncroft 7-2 WON ($16.76)


9th: Maker's Mark Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Fairly confusing group with soft-ish conditions adding murkiness. Can't you make a case that Emmanuel gets control from on/near lead?

Best Value: #2 Emmanuel 8-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Integration 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Master of the Seas 4-5 WON ($3.54)
Super Add: #5 Kubrick 20-1 6th


10th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5d (Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Gilded Craken 8-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Midnight Raid 3-1 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #10 Ejtimaa 10-1 -
Super Add: #1 Laughinalltheway 9-2 2nd


P5 Grid:

6: 5-9-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-9 (A), 14 (B), - (C)
8: 3-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)
10: 4-5 (A), 10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x1x3 = 81 x .50 = $40.50
All A's: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (4-8 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

7: 4-9 (A), 5-14 (B), - (C)
8: 3-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), 8 (B), 4 (C)
10: 4-5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (AACA): 2x3x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9 (4 in 9th)


Good luck!
Steve