Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #1  
Old 04-07-2007, 05:13 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,291
Default 4/7: 'First Saturday in April'

AQUEDUCT (6th-11th)


6th: Pleasant Colony, 4+, 14f (P6, P3)

1. #1e Contessa entry 6-5: Both ends of entry eligible WON/3rd
2. #6 SCRATCH
A. #7 Monopoly Pricing 2-1: Ignore incident last; Violette says he's A-OK 2nd
B. #1 Delta Sea 6-1: Places in marathons

EX: $2.75


7th: 47th Bay Shore (Gr. III), 3yo, 7f ($400k P4, DD)

1. #1 Les Grands Trois 1-1: Bobby unloads serious Live Oak runner 3rd
2. #5 Bill Place 3-1: A. Dutrow stakes winner rested, bulleting WON
3. #4 Hobbitontherocks 6-1: Respect Preciado; is lone winner at trip 2nd

EX: $28.75
TRI: $52.50



8th: 83rd Wood Memorial (Gr. I), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

1. #1a Any Given Saturday 8-5: Courageous TB Derby runner-up should make the most of this opportunity; classy animal 3rd
2. #5 Summer Doldrums 5-1: Best Violette-Klarman Derby candidate since Read the Footnotes sitting on a plus effort 4th
A. #2 Nobiz Like Shobiz 7-5: Have maintained talented Tagg runner was problematic since Holy Bull; must prove otherwise WON
B. #6 Reptilian Smarts 15-1: Snake in the grass from Ritvo progressing like a nice horse; should love added ground


9th: 107th Carter Handicap (Gr. I), 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

1. #4 Silver Wagon 5-2: Multiple stakes winner runs well fresh; owns AQU win WON
2. #5 Diabolical 6-1: Square number on Klesaris who's good 2nd off break 2nd
A. #3 Ah Day 8-1: Leatherbury gelding sharp 6 months; hasn't missed EXA in 3 tries 7f 3rd
B. #6 Latent Heat 9-5: Frankel Gr. I winner will be overbet; likes trip 4th


EX: $16.10
TRI: $67.00



10th: 95th Excelsior BCH (Gr. III), 3+, 9f (DD)

1. #4 Magna Graduate 2-1: Return to anything near Queens Cty win earns honors WON
2. #3 Naughty New Yorker 12-1: One of our faves pointed here by Kelly; flies late 2nd
3. #1 Corinthian 8-5: 3rd/layoff for J. Jerkens; got diploma this strip but needs best yet

EX: $46.50


11th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (Superfecta)

1. #6 It's All Good 7-2: Dutrow Wheelaway red adds Talamo
2. #1 Timirene 3-1: Contessa miss bumped early, came running in debut
A. #2 Golden Manna 5-1: Barker babe keeps earning checks while falling short
B. #8 Automatic Appeal 5-2: Nicely bred Tullock gal keep CC, moves outside for 2nd start WON

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #3 Never Settle 20-1: Away since 6/06 and now with 'betting barn'

2nd
<$50 Guaranteed ($400k) P4 Play:

7: 1-5
8: 1a-2
9: 3-4-5-6
10: 1-3-4

2x2x4x3 = $48

P4 pays $88.25


<$100 P6 Play:

6: 1e-6-scr
7: 1e-5
8: 1a-2
9: 4-5
10: 1-4
11: 3-6-8

1x2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x $2 = $96 (after scratch of #6 in 6th)

P6 pays $852.00..
Consos $21.40 (x6 = $128.40)



HAWTHORNE


7th: 50th Illinois Derby (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f (.10 Super)

1. #5 Cobalt Blue 9-5: Classy O'Neill colt seeks elusive Rose Run for Griffin
2. #7 Catman Running 8-1: Openly rooting for Reed to land Derby slot 5th
A. #4 Cowtown Cat 5-2: Pletcher 3rd stringer lands here; Gotham was odd race WON
B. #1 Sacrifice Bunt 12-1: Mott Lunsford colt saves ground; improving 4th

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #3 Reporting for Duty 15-1: May be right price inclusion here; race behind Ketchikan an eyecatcher 2nd

EX: $58.60


OAKLAWN


8th: 42nd Apple Blossom (Gr. I), F&M-4+, 8.5f (.10 Super, P4)

Taking stand against Round Pond (gives weight, loses ground) in selections but probably need to cover her in multi race wagers given her love of the oval..

1. #5 Take D'Tour 9-2: Fawkes doesn't make trip if she's not ready 2nd
2. #4 Ermine 5-2: Werner Gr. II winner underlaid but likes OP/trip WON
A. #3 India 9-2: Pletcher Hennessy red on stakes roll; prepped here
B. #2 Rahy's Appeal 10-1: Price inviting on Bush mare firing bullets

EX: $20.10


10th: 61st Oaklawn Handicap (Gr. II), 4+, 9f (DD)

1. #5 Lawyer Ron 6-5: "Most likely winner"; perfect at Hot Springs; Edgar WON
2. #4 Papi Chullo 12-1: Sitting on a big effort; great value
A. #6 McCann's Mohave 4-1: On a nice run for likeable connections
B. #2 Jonesboro 6-1: Bounce back to Essex win takes them a long way


P4 Play:

8: 2-3-4-5-7
9: 5-6
10: 4-5
11: 5-6-7

5x2x2x3 = $60


SANTA ANITA


5th: 25th Portero Grande (Gr. II), 4+, 6.5f (DD, P3)

A great race spoiled by Bill Spawr's gutless scratching of Bordonero..

1. #4 Smokey Stover 1-1: Hard to go against new Gilchrist-Aleo star WON
2. #6 Sailor's Sunset 4-1: Polanco-Everest Gr. III winner capable on best
3. #3 Greg's Gold 8-5: '05 Crosby winner came back well from 18 mo. layoff 2nd

EX: $3.50


6th: 70th Santa Anity Derby (Gr. I), 3yo, 9f (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #5 LIQUIDITY 5-2: O'Neill bay best this strip; simply faster than any here 4th
2. #3 Bwana Bull 8-1: Hard to know what Hollendorfer has; forward moving though
A. #2 Sam P. 4-1: Blinker add curious; Ramon in to ride; has kept nice company 3rd
B. #9 Tiago 20-1: 'Team Giacomo' believes they've figured this PTap colt out WON

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #4 Boutrous 12-1: Pace scenario, Desormeaux and blinks give Dollase closer a shot: son of Forty Niner mare should love the added ground


7th: 27th: Providencia (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #3 Super Freaky 8-1: Take all the 8-1 you can on Smart Strike miss from 'Team Thor's Echo' WON
2. #4 Princess Iris 10-1: Great tab on import whose 1st N.A. was better than appears
A. #5 Silver Swallow 7-2: Underlaid but fast and a threat in grass bow
B. #10 Valbenny 5-2: Gr. III winner closes well; not killed by post

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #8 Macadamia 20-1: 'Nuts' for this one from slick Lobo


9th: 48th Arcadia (Gr. II), 4+, 1m-T (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #2 El Roblar 6-1: Respect Mandella and Mig big on cards like these 2nd
2. #7 Icy Atlantic 9-2: May slip on board and can adjust to cutback WON
A. #10 Willow O Wisp 4-1: Cohen will have to use early to get to turn 3rd
B. #9 Milk It Mick 7-2: Hasn't been same since '06 Kilroe win; 2nd off long break though

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #4 Hello Sunday 8-1: Expect improvement from Frankel import in 2nd North American try

EX: $50.20
TRI: $357.80



KEENELAND LATE P4


8th: 70th Lafayette, 3yo, 7f (P3, .10 Super)

1. #3 Izzie's Halo 3-1: Draws tough 7f post; saves ground but needs trip
2. #10 Prom Shoes 10-1: Fires going well and Raphy sees fit to ride
A. #7 Call Me Clash 8-1: Rose had choice of 2 Lake runners in this
B. #8 Out of Gwedda 5-2: Typical Pletcher entrant; can't use/can't toss

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ALERT: #11 Barkley Sound 15-1: Scott very good and looks ready for big effort


9th: 70th Ashland (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 8.5f (.10 Super)

1. #2 Mistical Plan 7-2: [i]O'Neill bay rarely runs a bad one; adjusts to pace[i]
2. #5 Octave 2-1: Best of rest behind top pick last time at New Orleans
A. #9 Silver Knockers 5-1: Zito filly a threat with return to one 2 back
B. #7 SCRATCH

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #1 Elitist 20-1: McGee bay can invade gimmicks with move forward


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 4
8: 1-6-7-8-10-11
9: 1-2-5-7
10: 4-5

1x6x4x2 = $48


Good luck! Enjoy the day..
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 04-08-2007 at 08:24 PM.
Reply With Quote
 


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:42 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.